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15:24 Newcastle (AW)

Christmas Parties At Newcastle Racecourse Handicap Stakes

2m½f · Flat · Class 5 · Standard · 4 runners · £3,978 · Thursday, 3 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 30/100F·1.30
  1. 1st
    Home Secretary (GB)AI top pick · 57.5
    Dylan Hogan·Sir Mark Prescott Bt
    30/100F·1.30
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Tarbat Ness (GB)
    Paul Mulrennan·John Berry·beaten .5 lengths
    7/2·4.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    It's All About You (IRE)
    Rowan Scott·Ewan Whillans·beaten 3 lengths
    9/1·10.00
    SP
Race time
3m 39.43s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Home Secretary (GB))

“Set the pace from the off - pushed along 3f out - driven out 2f out to see off a rival's bid - kept finding more to prevail by a whisker”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.30 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →
v1.12.76 score
Tarbat Ness
3.40Matchbook

segment +9.3% · Flat · Standard · Class 5

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: It's All About You

It's All About You heads this small field on ratings, sitting narrowly ahead of Tarbat Ness and with a more meaningful edge over the remainder, and at this extended trip over sixteen furlongs on the Newcastle all-weather surface there is plenty to suggest the selection can see matters out in style. Tarbat Ness represents the most obvious danger and will need to be watched, while Home Secretary and Sharona will need to find significant improvement to get involved. It's All About You is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Home Secretary

Dylan Hogan · Sir Mark Prescott Bt · 3yo

Top-rated of 4
score 57.5 · +13.5 clear of next best (44.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    59d since last run (fresh)
  • Trainer20% weight
    83very strong
    Sir Mark Prescott Bt: 6/18 winners last 14d (33%)
  • Form20% weight
    49below average
    Last 6: 7-9-5-5-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    45below average
    OR 68
MarketBest price 1.50 (Hollywood Bets) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newcastle (AW) 2m½f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–2)
IV 1.06
Mid (3–3)
IV 0.90
High (4–4)
IV 1.02

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 150 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
14
Home Secretary
J: Dylan Hogan · T: Sir Mark Prescott Bt · draw 3
3yo · G · bv
79551
6857.5
30/100F·1.30
SP
22
Tarbat Nessv1.1
J: Paul Mulrennan · T: John Berry · draw 1
7yo · G · brb
453103
7244.0
7/2·4.50
SP
31
It's All About You
J: Rowan Scott · T: Ewan Whillans · draw 2
6yo · G · bt
01808
7535.2
9/1·10.00
SP
43
Sharona
J: William Pyle · T: Jessica Bedi · draw 4
5yo · M · cht
1009
6230.1
80/1·81.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:24 Newcastle (AW) on 3 September 2026?

Home Secretary (GB) won the 15:24 Newcastle (AW) at SP 1.30. Ridden by Dylan Hogan. Trained by Sir Mark Prescott Bt.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:24 Newcastle (AW)?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Home Secretary, won the race (AI score 57.5).

What were the placings in the 15:24 Newcastle (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Home Secretary (GB) (1.30), 2. Tarbat Ness (GB) (4.50), 3. It's All About You (IRE) (10.00).

What was the winning time for the 15:24 Newcastle (AW)?

The winning time was 3m 39.43s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org