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Border Minstrel Pub Apprentice Handicap Stakes

1m2f · Flat · Class 6 · Standard · 7 runners · £3,245 · Wednesday, 2 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 11/8F·2.38
  1. 1st
    Koko Blue (GB)AI top pick · 48.5
    Molly Keegan-Price·Tom Clover
    11/8F·2.38
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Ravenscraig Castle (GB)
    Cara Tuke·Iain Jardine·beaten 4.75 lengths
    5/1·6.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    It's A Love Thing (GB)
    Cian Horgan·Sam England·beaten .75 lengths
    11/1·12.00
    SP
Race time
2m 11.00s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Koko Blue (GB))

Bumped at the start and pulled hard - in the pack early - travelled well to close on the front and hit the front - edged right in the closing furlong - stayed on powerfully to win

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.38 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way45.2/100 rating
Love You More
7.80Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Ravenscraig Castle

Ravenscraig Castle holds a narrow edge over Kameel at the head of this Class 6 Newcastle all-weather mile-and-a-quarter contest, with Koko Blue and Game Management also capable of making life difficult on comparable figures. The selection's advantage over the field is slender, and Kameel in particular represents a live threat just a pound adrift, so this is far from a formality. That said, Ravenscraig Castle's position at the top of the ratings provides a marginal but genuine reason to side with him, and he is taken to hold on in what promises to be a competitive finish.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Koko Blue

Molly Keegan-Price(5) · Tom Clover · 4yo

Top-rated of 8
score 48.5 · +0.6 clear of next best (47.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    29d since last run (fresh)
  • Form20% weight
    61average
    Last 6: 0-3-3-2-3
  • Trainer20% weight
    53average
    Tom Clover: 3/14 winners last 14d (21%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    35weak
    OR 52
MarketBest price 3.40 (BresBet) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newcastle (AW) 1m2f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 0.94
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.07
High (7–8)
IV 1.01

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 165 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
15
4yo · F · ch
03323
5248.5
11/8F·2.38
SP
22
J: Cara Tuke(5) · T: Iain Jardine · draw 5
8yo · G · grb
48549
5540.2
5/1·6.00
SP
31
J: Cian Horgan · T: Sam England · draw 1
8yo · G · b
67808
5535.6
11/1·12.00
SP
47
J: Jake Dickson(3) · T: Lizzie Quinlan · draw 7
5yo · G · b
9874
4947.9
6/1·7.00
SP
54
J: Jack Dace · T: Jessica Macey · draw 3
4yo · G · bv
524445
5343.3
5/1·6.00
SP
66
J: Rhys Elliott · T: Ewan Whillans · draw 6
5yo · G · btb
303723
4936.3
12/1·13.00
SP
78
J: Conor Whiteley · T: Stephen Hanlon · draw 4
4yo · F · grb
60935
4831.7
18/1·19.00
SP
J: Harry Vigors · T: Joseph Parr · draw 2
4yo · F · bh
270716
5345.2

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 13:45 Newcastle (AW) on 2 September 2026?

Koko Blue (GB) won the 13:45 Newcastle (AW) at SP 2.38. Ridden by Molly Keegan-Price. Trained by Tom Clover.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 13:45 Newcastle (AW)?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Koko Blue, won the race (AI score 48.5).

What were the placings in the 13:45 Newcastle (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Koko Blue (GB) (2.38), 2. Ravenscraig Castle (GB) (6.00), 3. It's A Love Thing (GB) (12.00).

What was the winning time for the 13:45 Newcastle (AW)?

The winning time was 2m 11.00s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org