19:08 Bellewstown

Ireland

John Purfield Memorial Handicap Hurdle (Div II)

2m1f · Hurdle · Good · 15 runners · €6,000 · Wednesday, 26 August 2026

This race has been abandoned.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Laurie BlueDiffers from our pick

Laurie Blue rates narrowly behind Premier Rogue on these figures but is preferred on the strength of a progressive profile and a perceived fitness edge, which can count for plenty in a big field over this testing seventeen-furlong trip at Bellewstown. Premier Rogue remains the obvious threat as the top-rated runner and cannot be dismissed, while Mc Swagger and Tropical Twist are also respected in a competitive seventeen-runner heat on good ground. On balance, a horse continuing to improve and hitting this race in fine order looks the value call, and the selection is Laurie Blue.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Syosset

Eoin Staples(5) · John C McConnell · 5yo

Top-rated of 17

score 60.0 · +6.6 clear of next best (53.4)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
18d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
64average
Last 6: 0-3-2-2-3
Ratings50% weight
61average
OR 92
Trainer20% weight
33weak
John C McConnell: 3/23 winners last 14d (13%)

MarketBest price 5.60 (Betfair Exchange) · 2nd in the market of 17.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Front-runners(1)
3Premier Rogue
Prominent(4)
1Mc Swagger 5Laurie Blue 6Syosset 11Centaq
Mid-division(5)
9Grennanstown Lady 10Frontier Rose 13Vairue 16Xquise Sonna Lady
Hold-up / closers(4)
4Kome Dans Un Reve 12Cinnabar Moth 15Doyen Og Tropical Twist
Unknown(3)
7Colin's Friend 8Kashel Spring 14Lucky This Time

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
6	SyossetPick J: Eoin Staples(5) · T: John C McConnell · draw 0 5yo · G · chhpFT HP	03223	11-06	92	—	—	60.0	11/2·6.46	5.6·5.60 Betfair Exchange · -13% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange5.6·5.60Smarkets5.5·5.50SmarketsSBK4/1·5.00 7Bet7/2·4.50 BetMGM7/2·4.50 Ladbrokes7/2·4.50 Quinn Bet7/2·4.50 10 Bet7/2·4.50 SportingIndex7/2·4.50 Unibet7/2·4.50Hollywood Bets7/2·4.50Boyle Sports7/2·4.50 Star Sports7/2·4.50 Betano7/2·4.50 Dragon Bet7/2·4.50Virgin Bet7/2·4.50Bet3657/2·4.50 BetWright7/2·4.50 Coral7/2·4.50 Bet Victor7/2·4.50 BetTom7/2·4.50 LiveScore Bet7/2·4.50 Spreadex7/2·4.50 Betfred10/3·4.33 BresBet10/3·4.33 Midnite10/3·4.33Betfair Sportsbook3/1·4.00Paddy Power3/1·4.00Matchbook1.2·1.20
—	Tropical Twist J: Jack Kennedy · T: Gordon Elliott · draw 0 5yo · M · b	P5418	12-00	100	—	—	53.4	18/1·18.65	15·15.00 Betfair Exchange · -20% vs fair All 22 books ▾ Betfair Exchange15·15.00 Paddy Power12/1·13.00 10 Bet12/1·13.00 Boyle Sports12/1·13.00 Unibet12/1·13.00 Coral12/1·13.00 BetMGM12/1·13.00 BetWright12/1·13.00 Bet36512/1·13.00 Betfred12/1·13.00 BresBet12/1·13.00 Quinn Bet12/1·13.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00 Star Sports12/1·13.00 William Hill12/1·13.00Hollywood Bets12/1·13.00Dragon Bet12/1·13.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.00Midnite11/1·12.00Matchbook3.9·3.90
1	Mc Swagger J: Phillip Enright · T: Eoin Christopher McCarthy · draw 0 5yo · G · bhFT H	9U900	12-00	100	—	—	50.7	28/1·30.13	30·30.00 Betfair Exchange All 28 books ▾ Betfair Exchange30·30.00Smarkets29·29.00SmarketsSBK25/1·26.00Hollywood Bets22/1·23.00Bet36522/1·23.00 Coral20/1·21.00 10 Bet20/1·21.00 Ladbrokes20/1·21.00 Bet Victor20/1·21.00 Quinn Bet20/1·21.00Virgin Bet20/1·21.00Betano20/1·21.00 Betfred20/1·21.00 BetTom20/1·21.00 Boyle Sports20/1·21.00 LiveScore Bet20/1·21.00 BetMGM18/1·19.00 7Bet18/1·19.00 Paddy Power18/1·19.00 Star Sports18/1·19.00 SportingIndex18/1·19.00 Dragon Bet18/1·19.00 Midnite18/1·19.00 Spreadex18/1·19.00 Unibet18/1·19.00 BetWright16/1·17.00Betfair Sportsbook16/1·17.00BresBet16/1·17.00
7	Colin's Friend J: Darragh O'Keeffe · T: Henry De Bromhead · draw 0 5yo · G · b	9760	11-05	91	—	—	49.3	3/1·3.95	3·3.00 Betfair Exchange · -24% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange3·3.00 BresBet2/1·3.00 BetWright2/1·3.00 Dragon Bet2/1·3.00Matchbook2.96·2.96Smarkets2.94·2.94Hollywood Bets15/8·2.88Star Sports15/8·2.88 SmarketsSBK15/8·2.88 BetMGM15/8·2.88 LiveScore Bet15/8·2.88Virgin Bet15/8·2.887Bet13/7·2.86 Bet Victor7/4·2.75 BetTom7/4·2.75 Coral7/4·2.75 Unibet7/4·2.75 Betano7/4·2.75 10 Bet7/4·2.75 Ladbrokes7/4·2.75Betfair Sportsbook7/4·2.75Paddy Power7/4·2.75 Quinn Bet7/4·2.75 Boyle Sports7/4·2.75 Bet3657/4·2.75 Betfred7/4·2.75 Midnite7/4·2.75 SportingIndex13/8·2.63 Spreadex13/8·2.63
9	Grennanstown Lady J: Eoghan Finegan(5) · T: Gerard Keane · draw 0 5yo · M · br	9540	11-00	86	—	—	46.7	50/1·48.79	55·55.00 Betfair Exchange · +13% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Betfair Exchange55·55.00Smarkets55·55.00SmarketsSBK45/1·46.00 Bet36540/1·41.00 7Bet35/1·36.00 Bet Victor33/1·34.00 Coral33/1·34.00 Boyle Sports33/1·34.00 Quinn Bet33/1·34.00 BetTom33/1·34.00 Ladbrokes33/1·34.00 SportingIndex33/1·34.00 BresBet33/1·34.00Virgin Bet33/1·34.00Betano33/1·34.00 Spreadex33/1·34.00 Dragon Bet33/1·34.00 Midnite33/1·34.00 10 Bet33/1·34.00 LiveScore Bet33/1·34.00 Star Sports33/1·34.00Betfair Sportsbook30/1·31.00Paddy Power30/1·31.00 Betfred28/1·29.00 Unibet28/1·29.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00 BetWright25/1·26.00Hollywood Bets16/1·17.00
3	Premier Rogue J: Donagh Meyler · T: Noel Meade · draw 0 5yo · G · b	30090	11-13	99	—	—	43.1	9/1·10.04	9·9.00 Betfair Exchange · -10% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Betfair Exchange9·9.00Smarkets8.8·8.80SmarketsSBK7/1·8.00 Betano6/1·7.00 Betfred6/1·7.00 Ladbrokes6/1·7.00 SportingIndex6/1·7.00 BetTom6/1·7.00 7Bet6/1·7.00 Coral6/1·7.00 Spreadex6/1·7.00 Boyle Sports6/1·7.00Virgin Bet6/1·7.00Bet3656/1·7.00 BetMGM6/1·7.00 10 Bet6/1·7.00 Quinn Bet6/1·7.00 Star Sports6/1·7.00 LiveScore Bet6/1·7.00 Bet Victor6/1·7.00 Midnite6/1·7.00 BetWright6/1·7.00 BresBet11/2·6.50 Dragon Bet11/2·6.50 Unibet11/2·6.50Betfair Sportsbook5/1·6.00Hollywood Bets5/1·6.00Paddy Power5/1·6.00
16	Xquise J: Danny Gilligan · T: Cian Collins · draw 0 6yo · M · gr	760	11-07	93	—	—	42.8	150/1·144.93	290·290.00 Smarkets · +100% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Smarkets290·290.00SmarketsSBK250/1·251.00 Betfair Exchange200·200.00 7Bet150/1·151.00 Bet365125/1·126.00 LiveScore Bet125/1·126.00Virgin Bet125/1·126.00BetTom100/1·101.00 Star Sports100/1·101.00 Bet Victor100/1·101.00 Betano100/1·101.00 Quinn Bet100/1·101.00 SportingIndex100/1·101.00 Ladbrokes100/1·101.00 10 Bet100/1·101.00 BetMGM100/1·101.00 Coral100/1·101.00 Midnite100/1·101.00 Spreadex100/1·101.00 Boyle Sports100/1·101.00Betfair Sportsbook90/1·91.00Paddy Power90/1·91.00 Unibet80/1·81.00 Betfred80/1·81.00 BresBet80/1·81.00 Dragon Bet80/1·81.00 BetWright66/1·67.00Hollywood Bets28/1·29.00
14	Lucky This Time J: Shane O'Callaghan(3) · T: P J Rothwell · draw 0 5yo · G · btpFT TP	0000	10-03	75	—	—	42.5	66/1·73.18	100·100.00 Smarkets · +37% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Smarkets100·100.00Betfair Exchange85·85.00 SmarketsSBK80/1·81.00 SportingIndex66/1·67.00 Spreadex66/1·67.00 Bet36566/1·67.00 Betano50/1·51.00 7Bet50/1·51.00Virgin Bet50/1·51.00Quinn Bet50/1·51.00 Bet Victor50/1·51.00 Ladbrokes50/1·51.00 Star Sports50/1·51.00 Boyle Sports50/1·51.00Betfair Sportsbook50/1·51.00Coral50/1·51.00 LiveScore Bet50/1·51.00 Paddy Power50/1·51.00 10 Bet50/1·51.00 BetTom50/1·51.00 Dragon Bet50/1·51.00 Midnite50/1·51.00 Unibet40/1·41.00 BresBet40/1·41.00 Betfred40/1·41.00 BetWright40/1·41.00Hollywood Bets40/1·41.00BetMGM25/1·26.00
8	Kashel Spring J: Daniel King · T: Denis Gerard Hogan · draw 0 4yo · F · bp	0000	11-03	92	—	—	41.7	66/1·73.18	75·75.00 Betfair Exchange · +3% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Betfair Exchange75·75.00Smarkets75·75.00SmarketsSBK60/1·61.00 7Bet50/1·51.00 Bet Victor50/1·51.00 Coral50/1·51.00Virgin Bet50/1·51.00Bet36550/1·51.00 Betano50/1·51.00 LiveScore Bet50/1·51.00 Ladbrokes50/1·51.00 BetTom50/1·51.00 Midnite50/1·51.00 Boyle Sports50/1·51.00 Dragon Bet50/1·51.00 Star Sports50/1·51.00 Quinn Bet50/1·51.00Betfair Sportsbook40/1·41.00Paddy Power40/1·41.00 BetMGM40/1·41.00 10 Bet40/1·41.00 Unibet40/1·41.00 SportingIndex40/1·41.00 Betfred40/1·41.00 Spreadex40/1·41.00 BetWright33/1·34.00 BresBet33/1·34.00Hollywood Bets28/1·29.00
5	Laurie Blue J: Jordan Gainford · T: E D Delany · draw 0 8yo · M · bt	6P40P	11-06	92	—	—	41.2	33/1·37.31	38·38.00 Betfair Exchange · +2% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Betfair Exchange38·38.00Smarkets36·36.00Hollywood Bets28/1·29.00Spreadex25/1·26.00 Bet36525/1·26.00 LiveScore Bet25/1·26.00 BetWright25/1·26.00 10 Bet25/1·26.00 Quinn Bet25/1·26.00Virgin Bet25/1·26.00BetMGM25/1·26.00 SmarketsSBK25/1·26.00 SportingIndex25/1·26.00 Bet Victor25/1·26.00 Ladbrokes25/1·26.00 Coral25/1·26.00 BetTom25/1·26.00 Star Sports25/1·26.00 Betano25/1·26.00 Boyle Sports25/1·26.00 Dragon Bet25/1·26.00 BresBet22/1·23.00 Betfred22/1·23.00Betfair Sportsbook22/1·23.00Unibet22/1·23.00 Midnite22/1·23.00 Paddy Power22/1·23.00 7Bet20/1·21.00
10	Frontier Rose J: Alex Harvey · T: Thomas Coyle · draw 0 5yo · M · b	00866	10-11	83	—	—	40.5	12/1·12.91	11·11.00 Smarkets · -15% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Smarkets11·11.00Betfair Exchange11·11.00 SmarketsSBK9/1·10.00Hollywood Bets17/2·9.50BetWright17/2·9.50 7Bet8/1·9.00 Quinn Bet8/1·9.00 Betfred8/1·9.00 BresBet8/1·9.00 BetMGM8/1·9.00 Bet Victor8/1·9.00 10 Bet8/1·9.00 Boyle Sports8/1·9.00 Bet3658/1·9.00 Ladbrokes8/1·9.00 Star Sports8/1·9.00 Betano8/1·9.00 LiveScore Bet8/1·9.00Virgin Bet8/1·9.00BetTom8/1·9.00 Coral8/1·9.00 Dragon Bet8/1·9.00 Midnite15/2·8.50 Unibet15/2·8.50 SportingIndex15/2·8.50 Spreadex15/2·8.50Betfair Sportsbook13/2·7.50Paddy Power13/2·7.50Matchbook1.2·1.20
11	Centaq J: Alix Balfe(7) · T: Dermot A McLoughlin · draw 0 6yo · G · bp	26468	10-08	80	—	—	40.3	10/1·10.76	10.5·10.50 Matchbook · -2% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Matchbook10.5·10.50Hollywood Bets9/1·10.00Betfair Exchange9.6·9.60Smarkets9.6·9.60SmarketsSBK8/1·9.00 BetWright7/1·8.00 BresBet7/1·8.00 10 Bet13/2·7.50 7Bet13/2·7.50 Bet Victor13/2·7.50 Boyle Sports13/2·7.50 Bet36513/2·7.50 Star Sports13/2·7.50 Dragon Bet13/2·7.50 Ladbrokes13/2·7.50 SportingIndex13/2·7.50 Quinn Bet13/2·7.50 Betano13/2·7.50 BetMGM13/2·7.50 Coral13/2·7.50 Spreadex13/2·7.50 BetTom13/2·7.50 Betfred6/1·7.00 LiveScore Bet6/1·7.00 Midnite6/1·7.00Virgin Bet6/1·7.00Paddy Power11/2·6.50 Unibet5/1·6.00Betfair Sportsbook5/1·6.00
—	Sonna Lady J: · T: John Joseph Hanlon · draw 0 4yo · F · b	970P	10-02	77	—	—	39.9	33/1·37.31	33/1·34.00 Midnite · -9% vs fair All 21 books ▾ Midnite33/1·34.00 William Hill28/1·29.00 Star Sports28/1·29.00 Coral28/1·29.00 Ladbrokes28/1·29.00 BresBet25/1·26.00 Dragon Bet25/1·26.00 Spreadex25/1·26.00 Betfred25/1·26.00 SportingIndex25/1·26.00 Unibet25/1·26.00 Quinn Bet25/1·26.00 10 Bet25/1·26.00 Bet36525/1·26.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00 Boyle Sports25/1·26.00Betfair Sportsbook25/1·26.00Paddy Power25/1·26.00 BetWright25/1·26.00Hollywood Bets25/1·26.00Betfair Exchange8.8·8.80
4	Kome Dans Un Reve J: Niall Moore(5) · T: Philip Fenton · draw 0 6yo · G · ch	U806	11-06	92	—	—	39.7	100/1·116.23	200·200.00 Smarkets · +72% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Smarkets200·200.00Betfair Exchange170·170.00 SmarketsSBK125/1·126.00 Bet365100/1·101.00 Paddy Power90/1·91.00Betfair Sportsbook90/1·91.00Betano80/1·81.00 7Bet80/1·81.00 Bet Victor80/1·81.00 Spreadex80/1·81.00 Midnite80/1·81.00 SportingIndex80/1·81.00 Boyle Sports80/1·81.00 10 Bet80/1·81.00 BetTom80/1·81.00 Quinn Bet80/1·81.00 Dragon Bet66/1·67.00 BresBet66/1·67.00 Unibet66/1·67.00 Coral66/1·67.00 Ladbrokes66/1·67.00Virgin Bet66/1·67.00Star Sports66/1·67.00 LiveScore Bet66/1·67.00 Betfred66/1·67.00 BetWright50/1·51.00 BetMGM50/1·51.00Hollywood Bets40/1·41.00
12	Cinnabar Moth J: Sean Flanagan · T: Liz Doyle · draw 0 5yo · M · br	055694	10-08	80	—	—	38.7	28/1·30.13	30·30.00 Smarkets All 29 books ▾ Smarkets30·30.00Betfair Exchange30·30.00 SmarketsSBK25/1·26.00Hollywood Bets22/1·23.00BetWright20/1·21.00 7Bet20/1·21.00 Betano20/1·21.00 Boyle Sports20/1·21.00 BetTom20/1·21.00 Dragon Bet20/1·21.00 10 Bet20/1·21.00Virgin Bet20/1·21.00Star Sports20/1·21.00 BetMGM20/1·21.00 Bet Victor20/1·21.00 Quinn Bet20/1·21.00 Coral20/1·21.00 LiveScore Bet20/1·21.00 Bet36520/1·21.00 BresBet20/1·21.00 SportingIndex20/1·21.00 Spreadex20/1·21.00 Ladbrokes20/1·21.00 Midnite18/1·19.00 Betfred18/1·19.00 Unibet18/1·19.00Betfair Sportsbook16/1·17.00Paddy Power16/1·17.00Matchbook2.02·2.02
13	Vairue J: Josh Williamson(3) · T: Ms Helen P Markham · draw 0 10yo · G · b	097F9	10-08	80	—	—	34.8	33/1·37.31	46·46.00 Betfair Exchange · +23% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Betfair Exchange46·46.00Smarkets46·46.00Bet36533/1·34.00 SmarketsSBK33/1·34.00 Bet Victor28/1·29.00 Quinn Bet28/1·29.00 BetTom28/1·29.00 Spreadex28/1·29.00 SportingIndex28/1·29.00 Paddy Power28/1·29.00Hollywood Bets28/1·29.00Boyle Sports28/1·29.00 Betano28/1·29.00 7Bet25/1·26.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00 Star Sports25/1·26.00 Midnite25/1·26.00 10 Bet25/1·26.00 BresBet25/1·26.00Betfair Sportsbook25/1·26.00Coral25/1·26.00 Ladbrokes25/1·26.00 LiveScore Bet25/1·26.00Virgin Bet25/1·26.00Betfred25/1·26.00 Dragon Bet25/1·26.00 BetWright22/1·23.00 Unibet22/1·23.00
15	Doyen Og J: Conor Lamon(7) · T: Adrian Sexton · draw 0 7yo · M · b	0P787	10-00	72	—	—	33.1	16/1·17.22	17·17.00 Betfair Exchange All 28 books ▾ Betfair Exchange17·17.00Smarkets16.5·16.50SmarketsSBK15/1·16.00 Spreadex11/1·12.00 Bet Victor11/1·12.00 SportingIndex11/1·12.00 7Bet11/1·12.00 Quinn Bet11/1·12.00 BetWright11/1·12.00 Star Sports11/1·12.00 BetTom11/1·12.00 BetMGM11/1·12.00 Boyle Sports11/1·12.00 Coral11/1·12.00 Ladbrokes11/1·12.00Virgin Bet11/1·12.00BresBet11/1·12.00 Dragon Bet11/1·12.00 LiveScore Bet11/1·12.00 Betano11/1·12.00 Betfred11/1·12.00 Bet36511/1·12.00 10 Bet11/1·12.00 Paddy Power10/1·11.00 Midnite10/1·11.00 Unibet10/1·11.00Betfair Sportsbook9/1·10.00Hollywood Bets8/1·9.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 21–29 bookmakers per horse with the 44% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org