18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha
Next · 26m18:10Wolverhampton (AW)

Race And Rest - Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (For Horses In Band D) (GBB Race)

7f · Flat · Class 4 · Standard · 9 runners · £5,400 · Monday, 17 August 2026

Compare all prices

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 3 · score 51.9 · +20.8 clear of next best · best 7/2·4.50
Best value vs consensus
Forest Berry (also top rated)
7/2·4.50 Octobet · +19% vs fair (consensus 3.80)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 35 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Model testThis race is on v1.0's public test card: Forest Berry advised 4/1·5.00 (Bet365), frozen at publication — win or lose, it stays on the ledger.
v1.11.25 score
Forest Berry
5.20Matchbook

segment +6.3% · Flat · Standard · Class 4

Each-way51.9/100 rating
Forest Berry
4.50Octobet
Place portion settles at 1.70 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Forest Berry

Luke Morris · Sir Mark Prescott Bt · 2yo

Top-rated of 9
score 51.9 · +20.8 clear of next best (31.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    16d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    56average
    Last 6: 7-2-4-2-4
  • Trainer20% weight
    45below average
    Sir Mark Prescott Bt: 4/22 winners last 14d (18%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    43below average
    OR 65 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketBest price 4.50 (Octobet) · 2nd in the market of 9.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Wolverhampton (AW) 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 1.05
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.09
High (7–9)
IV 0.86

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 403 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
3
Forest BerryPickv1.1
J: Luke Morris · T: Sir Mark Prescott Bt · draw 6 · combo 12/67 (18%)
2yo · F · b
72424
6551.911/4·3.807/2·4.50
Octobet · +19% vs fair
All 35 books ▾
1
J: Olivia Tubb(5) · T: Jonathan Portman · draw 5 · combo 2/18 (11%)
2yo · F · bOnly rideOnly runner
7506
5431.122/1·22.2024·24.00
Smarkets · +8% vs fair
All 35 books ▾
6
J: Marco Ghiani · T: Marco Botti · draw 8 · combo 8/48 (17%)
2yo · F · b
5
26.53/1·4.093/1·4.00
PricedUp Bet · -2% vs fair
All 35 books ▾
8
J: Darragh Keenan · T: George Scott · draw 1 · combo 5/43 (12%)
2yo · F · bOnly rideOnly runner
7
25.510/1·10.5211/1·12.00
10 Bet · +14% vs fair
All 35 books ▾
7
J: Stevie Donohoe · T: Dylan Cunha · draw 2 · combo 1/21 (5%)
2yo · F · bOnly runner
73
24.540/1·39.7350·50.00
Smarkets · +26% vs fair
All 35 books ▾
4
J: Sean Kirrane · T: Tim Easterby · draw 7 · combo 7/101 (7%)
2yo · F · ch
3
22.011/2·6.436.6·6.60
Matchbook · +3% vs fair
All 35 books ▾
2
J: Daniel Muscutt · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 3 · combo 1/8 (13%)
2yo · F · chOnly pairing
8
20.08/1·8.7617/2·9.50
PricedUp Bet · +8% vs fair
All 35 books ▾
5
J: Silvestre De Sousa · T: Michael Bell · draw 9
2yo · F · bOnly runner
18.018/1·19.8633/1·34.00
BetAhoy · +71% vs fair
All 35 books ▾
9
J: Clifford Lee · T: Faye Bramley · draw 4
2yo · F · bOnly runner
09
17.8150/1·147.23170·170.00
Matchbook · +16% vs fair
All 35 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 35 bookmakers per horse with the 17% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Race And Rest - Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (For Horses In Band D) (GBB Race)?

The Race And Rest - Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (For Horses In Band D) (GBB Race) is off at 17:40 on 17 August 2026 at Wolverhampton (AW) (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 17:40 Wolverhampton (AW)?

7f, Class 4, Flat, 9 runners declared.

What is the going for the 17:40 Wolverhampton (AW)?

Going is reported as Standard on AW.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 17:40 Wolverhampton (AW)?

The AI top-rated runner is Forest Berry (score 51.9, best price 4.50). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 17:40 Wolverhampton (AW)?

The market favourite is Pon Pon Dalia at a best price of 4.00. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Forest Berry.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org