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Next · 12m17:00Market Rasen

16:30 Listowel

Ireland

Kathleen Walsh Memorial Handicap Hurdle

2m6f · Hurdle · Good To Yielding · 17 runners · €6,899 · Saturday, 26 September 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 5 · score 69.8 · +1.4 clear of next best · best 12/1·13.50
Best value vs consensus
22·22.00 Matchbook · +2% vs fair (consensus 21.50)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 29 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Model testThis race is on v1.0's public test card: Ladiam advised 10/1·11.00 (Matchbook), frozen at publication — win or lose, it stays on the ledger.
Each-way69.8/100 rating
Ladiam
13.50Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: LadiamAgrees with our pick

Ladiam rates narrowly behind the top two on paper but is preferred on the strength of a progressive profile and a more solid book of form, which gives confidence that the rating reflects genuine ability rather than a flattering run or two. Lecale's Diamond holds the highest rating in the field and must be respected, while Liberated Light and Barryroe Madam are dangers at their best over this marathon trip on good ground at Listowel. With any fitness edge telling over twenty-two furlongs in a competitive eighteen-runner field, the nod goes to Ladiam.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Ladiam

Conor Smithers(7) · Norman Lee · 9yo

Top-rated of 21
score 69.8 · +1.4 clear of next best (68.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100small sample (n=2)
    Norman Lee: 1/2 winners last 14d (50%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    19d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    61average
    OR 91 — above field median
  • Form20% weight
    47below average
    Last 6: 5-5-3-4-7-2
MarketBest price 13.50 (Matchbook) · 8th in the market of 21.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
5
LadiamPick
J: Conor Smithers(7) · T: Norman Lee · draw 0 · combo 2/9 (22%)
9yo · M · btOnly rideOnly runner
553472
9169.816/1·16.5413.5·13.50
Matchbook · -18% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
2
J: Philip Byrnes · T: C Byrnes · draw 0 · combo 4/27 (15%)
8yo · G · bOnly ride
63B14
9568.411/1·12.4110.5·10.50
Betfair Exchange · -15% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
1
J: Mr J L Gleeson · T: John E & Thomas Kiely · draw 0 · combo 1/5 (20%)
7yo · G · btOnly runner
07201
9665.715/2·8.276.4·6.40
Matchbook · -23% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
11
J: Danny Gilligan · T: Peter John Flood · draw 0
6yo · M · bOnly runner
P2610
8462.712/1·13.2312·12.00
Betfair Exchange · -9% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
12
4yo · G · baybrownOnly rideOnly runner
07802
8653.29/1·9.937.8·7.80
Matchbook · -21% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
6
J: Thomas O'Connor(7) · T: Eoin Christopher McCarthy · draw 0 · combo 1/18 (6%)
9yo · M · btpOnly pairing
76253
9148.39/1·9.938·8.00
Matchbook · -19% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
8
6yo · M · b
F8360
8848.125/1·24.8120·20.00
Matchbook · -19% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
17
J: Alan O'Sullivan(5) · T: Eugene M O'Sullivan · draw 0 · combo 0/14 (0%)
5yo · M · bOnly pairing
00476
7647.814/1·14.0611·11.00
Matchbook · -22% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
—
J: Keith Donoghue · T: Gavin Cromwell · draw 0 · combo 8/91 (9%)
6yo · G · btbGoing 1/3
64189
9446.216/1·16.5410/1·11.00
Midnite · -33% vs fair
Compare 19 books ▾
4
J: Darragh O'Keeffe · T: John Joseph Hanlon · draw 0 · combo 0/13 (0%)
6yo · M · bOnly pairing
F43U00
9244.750/1·56.2495·95.00
Betfair Exchange · +69% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
7
8yo · G · bpOnly runner
323879
9043.720/1·21.5016/1·17.00
BetTom · -21% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
18
J: Tom Kelly(7) · T: P Corkery · draw 0
5yo · M · bpFT POnly rideOnly runner
0000U0
7543.566/1·67.82110·110.00
Matchbook · +62% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
21
J: Mr R Sugrue(7) · T: Terence O'Brien · draw 0
7yo · M · bhOnly rideOnly runner
00405
8742.820/1·21.5022·22.00
Matchbook · +2% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
10
J: Cian Quirke · T: David Harry Kelly · draw 0 · combo 2/14 (14%)
5yo · M · btOnly rideOnly runner
P5705
8541.780/1·84.37160·160.00
Matchbook · +90% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
—
J: · T: Edward F Power · draw 0
5yo · M · bOnly runner
04P05
8441.228/1·28.1216/1·17.00
10 Bet · -39% vs fair
Compare 21 books ▾
—
J: · T: Dermot A McLoughlin · draw 0
7yo · M · btp
952509
7940.733/1·34.7420/1·21.00
10 Bet · -39% vs fair
Compare 21 books ▾
9
J: Daniel King · T: Eoin Christopher McCarthy · draw 0 · combo 1/10 (10%)
5yo · M · ch
08569
8738.428/1·31.4324·24.00
Matchbook · -24% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
15
J: Harry Sexton(7) · T: John Joseph Hanlon · draw 0 · combo 1/38 (3%)
8yo · M · bt
9PP00
7837.6150/1·133.99210·210.00
Matchbook · +57% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
—
J: Kevin Sexton · T: Gavin Cromwell · draw 0 · combo 0/5 (0%)
7yo · M · btFT TOnly ride
78800
8136.433/1·34.7420/1·21.00
10 Bet · -39% vs fair
Compare 17 books ▾
14
J: Conor Clarke(7) · T: E Seymour · draw 0
5yo · M · bbFT BOnly runner
0P00
8035.2150/1·133.99500·500.00
Smarkets · +273% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
16
J: Kevin A Murphy(7) · T: Paul O'Flynn · draw 0
5yo · M · gtpFT TPOnly rideOnly runner
8P00
7734.480/1·84.37390·390.00
Matchbook · +362% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 17–29 bookmakers per horse with the 65% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Kathleen Walsh Memorial Handicap Hurdle?

The Kathleen Walsh Memorial Handicap Hurdle is off at 16:30 on 26 September 2026 at Listowel (Ireland).

What is the field size and distance of the 16:30 Listowel?

2m6f, Hurdle, 17 runners declared.

What is the going for the 16:30 Listowel?

Going is reported as Good To Yielding on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 16:30 Listowel?

The AI top-rated runner is Ladiam (score 69.8, best price 13.50). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 16:30 Listowel?

The market favourite is Liberated Light at a best price of 6.40. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Ladiam.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org