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RacingAlpha

Quinnbet.com Fillies' Handicap Stakes

1m4½f · Flat · Class 5 · Standard · 6 runners · £4,397 · Saturday, 5 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 5th
  1. 1st
    Rubellite (IRE)
    Conor Whiteley·Stephen Hanlon
    4/1·5.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Jujubella (IRE)
    David Nolan·Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore·beaten 1.5 lengths
    6/4F·2.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Velvet Whisper (IRE)
    Cian Horgan·Edward Bethell·beaten 4 lengths
    4/1·5.00
    SP
Race time
2m 41.48s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Rubellite (IRE))

Slow to begin - settled towards the back - progress under 2f out - pushed into command inside final furlong and kept going to the line

AI top-rated Recobella (score 58.4) finished 5th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way58.4/100 rating
Recobella
5.5010 Bet
Place portion settles at 2.13 · 1/4 odds · 2 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Velvet Whisper

Velvet Whisper holds a narrow edge over the chasing pack on our assessments, sitting five pounds clear of Dior Noir and Jujubella, who share the same rating and represent the most credible threats over this twelve-furlong Newcastle all-weather trip. Princess Niyla is not without a chance either, though she is rated a further four pounds back and faces a stiffer task against this level of opposition. The selection's superiority, while modest, is consistent enough to give confidence at this Class 5 level, and Velvet Whisper is taken to prove the best of the six.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Recobella

Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) · Philip Kirby · 5yo

Top-rated of 6
score 58.4 · +11.1 clear of next best (47.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    22d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    79strong
    Last 6: 5-2-5-1-2-1
  • Trainer20% weight
    63average
    Philip Kirby: 4/16 winners last 14d (25%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    40below average
    OR 60
MarketBest price 5.50 (10 Bet) · 2nd in the market of 6.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newcastle (AW) 1m4½f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 1.06
Mid (4–5)
IV 0.90
High (6–7)
IV 1.02

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 150 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
15
6yo · M · b
241145
6241.3
4/1·5.00
SP
23
5yo · M · bp
953230
6638.7
6/4F·2.50
SP
31
J: Cian Horgan(5) · T: Edward Bethell · draw 3
4yo · F · b
11886
7247.3
4/1·5.00
SP
42
J: Cam Hardie · T: Mike Sowersby · draw 5
4yo · F · btFT T
9802
6833.9
33/1·34.00
SP
56
5yo · M · ch
525121
6058.4
7/2·4.50
SP
67
J: Alex Jary(3) · T: Alan Brown · draw 4
6yo · M · b
565373
5734.0
11/1·12.00
SP
J: William Pyle · T: Jessica Bedi · draw 7
5yo · M · chtpFT TP
0094
6231.6

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:10 Newcastle (AW) on 5 September 2026?

Rubellite (IRE) won the 16:10 Newcastle (AW) at SP 5.00. Ridden by Conor Whiteley. Trained by Stephen Hanlon.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:10 Newcastle (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Recobella) finished 5.

What were the placings in the 16:10 Newcastle (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Rubellite (IRE) (5.00), 2. Jujubella (IRE) (2.50), 3. Velvet Whisper (IRE) (5.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:10 Newcastle (AW)?

The winning time was 2m 41.48s.

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