Who won the 20:53 Bath on 1 July 2026?
Barak Warrior (IRE) won the 20:53 Bath at SP 5.00. Ridden by Silvestre De Sousa. Trained by James Keane.
20:53 Bath
Magnum Scaffolding Contracts Handicap
1m3½f · Flat · Class 6 · Firm · 7 runners · £3,454 · Wednesday, 1 July 2026
Result
AI top pick wonat SP 4/1·5.00Race report
- 1stBarak Warrior (IRE)AI top pick · 51.7Silvestre De Sousa·James Keane4/1·5.00SP
- 2ndCampeona (GB)Luke Morris·Sir Mark Prescott Bt·beaten 2 lengths11/8F·2.38SP
- 3rdLakota Chief (IRE)Pierre-Louis Jamin·Archie Watson·beaten 4.25 lengths18/1·19.00SP
Race time
2m 27.04s+4.24s vs std
Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.
In-running (Barak Warrior (IRE))
“Settled towards the rear - picked up over 2f out - driven over 1f out - powered through to lead inside final furlong”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Barak Warrior
Barak Warrior is a type to improve as he steps up in distance for his handicap bow; held up in running and likely to stay beyond 10f, the conditions suit his profile well. We Ride At Dawn was placed over 10f last time and is bred for middle-distance tests, making her the most obvious threat. Offiah's Boy drops to a workable mark on fast ground he handles, while Campeona has the breeding to see out this trip on her return from a long absence. Barak Warrior is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Barak Warrior
Silvestre De Sousa · James Keane · 3yo
Top-rated of 7
score 51.7 · +13.7 clear of next best (38.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight100small sample (n=1)James Keane: 1/1 winners last 14d (100%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Freshness10% weight85very strong43d since last run (fresh)
- Ratings50% weight41below averageOR 62
- Form20% weight13weakLast 6: 7-7-8
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Bath 1m3½f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–3)
IV 1.06
Mid (4–5)
IV 1.08
High (6–7)
IV 0.87
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 85 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | J: Silvestre De Sousa · T: James Keane · draw 4 3yo · G · ch | 778 | 62 | 51.7 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 2 | 7 | J: Luke Morris · T: Sir Mark Prescott Bt · draw 7 3yo · F · b | 877 | 58 | 36.2 | 11/8F·2.38 SP |
| 3 | 4 | J: Pierre-Louis Jamin · T: Archie Watson · draw 6 3yo · G · b | 447 | 63 | 38.0 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 4 | 5 | J: Joe Leavy · T: Robert Edwards · draw 5 3yo · F · ch | 96502 | 63 | 36.5 | 9/4·3.25 SP |
| 5 | 3 | J: Taylor Fisher · T: Joe Tickle · draw 3 5yo · G · b | 88700 | 54 | 37.5 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 6 | 2 | J: William Cox · T: Georgina Nicholls · draw 1 8yo · M · bb | 135867 | 60 | 35.1 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 7 | 1 | J: Ashley Lewis(5) · T: Syd Hosie · draw 2 4yo · G · b | 98570 | 63 | 30.4 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 20:53 Bath?
Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Barak Warrior, won the race (AI score 51.7).
What were the placings in the 20:53 Bath?
Top finishers: 1. Barak Warrior (IRE) (5.00), 2. Campeona (GB) (2.38), 3. Lakota Chief (IRE) (19.00).
What was the winning time for the 20:53 Bath?
The winning time was 2m 27.04s, 4.24s slower than standard.
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