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16:31 Bath

Wiltshire And Bath Air Ambulance Charity Handicap Stakes

1m3½f · Flat · Class 6 · Firm · 8 runners · £3,454 · Wednesday, 15 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 5th
  1. 1st
    Yokkell (IRE)
    Finley Marsh·Adrian Wintle
    11/8F·2.38
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Jimmy Mark (IRE)
    Kieran O'Neill·Zoe Hawkins·beaten 1.25 lengths
    11/4·3.75
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Sea Of Charm (FR)
    William Cox·Georgina Nicholls·beaten 1.25 lengths
    22/1·23.00
    SP
Race time
2m 28.15s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Yokkell (IRE))

“settled towards the back - short of room passing the 3f marker - made up ground on the pack 2f out - finished strongly from 1f out - hit the front inside the final 110 yards and kept finding more to the line”

AI top-rated Man Is King (score 50.6) finished 5th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 7.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →
v1.11.75 score
Hope Rising
5.00SmarketsSBK

segment +26.1% · Flat · Firm · Class 6

Each-way50.6/100 rating
Man Is King
8.50Bet365
Place portion settles at 2.50 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Yokkell

Yokkell rates well clear of this big field at 70 despite being without a win in her last five starts, with a third three runs back and a fair fourth last time out underlining she stays competitive. Bug Boy and Sea Of Charm are the most obvious dangers on the figures, while Hope Rising, fourth in the same list, cannot be ruled out either. Yokkell remains our selection on the strength of that clear rating edge.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Man Is King

Josephine Gordon · David Flood · 7yo

Top-rated of 8
score 50.6 · +0.4 clear of next best (50.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    15d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    63small sample (n=4)
    David Flood: 1/4 winners last 14d (25%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Form20% weight
    45below average
    Last 6: 1-4-1-5-4-6
  • Ratings50% weight
    38below average
    OR 57
MarketBest price 8.50 (Bet365) · 4th in the market of 8.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Bath 1m3½f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 1.06
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.08
High (7–8)
IV 0.87

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 85 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
11
Yokkell
J: Finley Marsh · T: Adrian Wintle · draw 4
7yo · M · b
76354
6050.2
11/8F·2.38
SP
26
Jimmy Mark
J: Kieran O'Neill · T: Zoe Hawkins · draw 3
6yo · G · b
68525
5534.7
11/4·3.75
SP
32
Sea Of Charm
J: William Cox · T: Georgina Nicholls · draw 2
8yo · M · bp
358676
5833.4
22/1·23.00
SP
45
Hope Risingv1.1
J: Charles Bishop · T: Jamie Snowden · draw 6
5yo · M · b
77660
5537.8
5/1·6.00
SP
54
Man Is King
J: Josephine Gordon · T: David Flood · draw 8
7yo · G · bt
141546
5750.6
15/2·8.50
SP
67
Offiah's Boy
J: Taylor Fisher · T: Joe Tickle · draw 1
5yo · G · b
87005
5237.4
17/2·9.50
SP
73
Bug Boy
J: Jack Doughty · T: A G Newcombe · draw 7
10yo · G · b
8456
5742.9
28/1·29.00
SP
88
Cezarro
J: Dylan Hogan · T: Max Young · draw 5
4yo · G · b
244638
4729.7
80/1·81.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:31 Bath on 15 July 2026?

Yokkell (IRE) won the 16:31 Bath at SP 2.38. Ridden by Finley Marsh. Trained by Adrian Wintle.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:31 Bath?

No — the AI top pick (Man Is King) finished 5.

What were the placings in the 16:31 Bath?

Top finishers: 1. Yokkell (IRE) (2.38), 2. Jimmy Mark (IRE) (3.75), 3. Sea Of Charm (FR) (23.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:31 Bath?

The winning time was 2m 28.15s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org