17:00 Wolverhampton (AW)

Follow @AtTheRaces On X Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)

1m6f · Flat · Class 4 · Standard · 8 runners · £5,234 · Friday, 17 July 2026

Compare all prices

E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (8 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

St Mawes

No. 5 · score 60.5 · +4.4 clear of next best · best 3/1·4.10

Best value vs consensus

Scottish Anthem

66/1·67.00 Bet365 · +15% vs fair (consensus 58.21)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 32 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Model testThis race is on v1.0's public test card: St Mawes advised 7/2·4.50 (Betfair Exchange), frozen at publication — win or lose, it stays on the ledger.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

v1.1-0.29 score

Arcturus Flame

6.00Bet365

segment +6.3% · Flat · Standard · Class 4 | settled void 2026-08-08: no result ever issued by Racing API for rac_13000002301 (17 Jul Wolverhampton 5:00) — race abandoned/void per published void rule

Each-way56.0/100 rating

Heathen

8.20Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: CabreraDiffers from our pick

Cabrera heads our figures on 90, a pound better than the next best in this staying Class 4 event, and gets the nod as our selection. Scottish Anthem (89) and Heathen (88) sit only marginally behind and loom as the most obvious dangers, with Mersea Island (86) also given a squeak on the figures. It's a competitive heat over the extended trip, so confidence is only medium, but Cabrera's edge in the figures gives her the best claim in this Class 4 test.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

St Mawes

Darragh Keenan · George Scott · 4yo

Top-rated of 8

score 60.5 · +4.4 clear of next best (56.0)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
85very strong
56d since last run (fresh)
Form20% weight
77strong
Last 6: 5-1-1-3-2
Ratings50% weight
54average
OR 81
Trainer20% weight
48below average
George Scott: 4/21 winners last 14d (19%)

MarketBest price 4.10 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Front-runners(1)
5St Mawes
Prominent(1)
3Scottish Anthem
Mid-division(1)
6Arcturus Flame
Hold-up / closers(3)
2Heathen 4Cabrera 7Gentle Warrior
Unknown(2)
1Mersea Island 8Dance Time

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Wolverhampton (AW) 1m6f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)

IV 0.89

Mid (4–6)

IV 1.11

High (7–8)

IV 1.02

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 125 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
5	St MawesPick J: Darragh Keenan · T: George Scott · draw 7 · combo 5/53 (9%) 4yo · G · bClass dropOnly runner	51132	9-05	81	—	—	60.5	10/3·4.28	4.1·4.10 Betfair Exchange · -4% vs fair Compare 32 books ▾ Betfair Exchange4.1·4.10 Bet36511/4·3.75 William Hill11/4·3.75 Coral11/4·3.75 Betfred11/4·3.75 Boyle Sports11/4·3.75 Ladbrokes11/4·3.75 Unibet11/4·3.75 BetTom11/4·3.75 Bet Victor11/4·3.75 10 Bet11/4·3.75 Grosvenor Sports11/4·3.75Virgin Bet11/4·3.75talkSPORT BET11/4·3.75 LiveScore Bet11/4·3.75 Betano11/4·3.75 Dragon Bet11/4·3.75 CopyBet11/4·3.75 PricedUp Bet11/4·3.75 BetAhoy11/4·3.75 Spreadex11/4·3.75Octobet11/4·3.75BresBet11/4·3.75 BetMGM11/4·3.75BestOdds11/4·3.757Bet11/4·3.75 Star Sports11/4·3.75 Midnite11/4·3.75 SportingIndex11/4·3.75 Quinn Bet11/4·3.75 SmarketsSBK2.75·3.75 BetWright5/2·3.50
2	Heathen J: Marco Ghiani · T: Jennie Candlish · draw 3 7yo · G · bOnly runner	42443	9-10	86	—	—	56.0	15/2·8.56	8.2·8.20 Betfair Exchange · -4% vs fair Compare 32 books ▾ Betfair Exchange8.2·8.20 William Hill13/2·7.50 Coral13/2·7.50 Betfred13/2·7.50 Boyle Sports13/2·7.50 Ladbrokes13/2·7.50 Unibet13/2·7.50 Bet Victor13/2·7.50 10 Bet13/2·7.50 Grosvenor Sports13/2·7.50Virgin Bet13/2·7.50talkSPORT BET13/2·7.50 LiveScore Bet13/2·7.50 Betano13/2·7.50 Dragon Bet13/2·7.50 CopyBet13/2·7.50 PricedUp Bet13/2·7.50 BresBet13/2·7.50 BetMGM13/2·7.50BestOdds13/2·7.507Bet13/2·7.50 Star Sports13/2·7.50 Quinn Bet13/2·7.50 SmarketsSBK6.5·7.50 Bet3656/1·7.00 BetTom6/1·7.00 BetWright6/1·7.00 BetAhoy6/1·7.00 Spreadex6/1·7.00Octobet6/1·7.00Midnite6/1·7.00 SportingIndex6/1·7.00
4	Cabrera J: Rob Hornby · T: Edward Bethell · draw 1 5yo · M · grClass drop	5459	9-06	82	—	—	55.0	13/2·7.42	7.6·7.60 Betfair Exchange · +2% vs fair Compare 32 books ▾ Betfair Exchange7.6·7.60 Betfred6/1·7.00 SmarketsSBK6·7.00 Bet36511/2·6.50 William Hill11/2·6.50 Coral11/2·6.50 Boyle Sports11/2·6.50 Ladbrokes11/2·6.50 Unibet11/2·6.50 Bet Victor11/2·6.50 10 Bet11/2·6.50 Grosvenor Sports11/2·6.50Virgin Bet11/2·6.50talkSPORT BET11/2·6.50 BetWright11/2·6.50 LiveScore Bet11/2·6.50 Betano11/2·6.50 Dragon Bet11/2·6.50 CopyBet11/2·6.50 Spreadex11/2·6.50 BresBet11/2·6.50 BetMGM11/2·6.50BestOdds11/2·6.507Bet11/2·6.50 Star Sports11/2·6.50 Midnite11/2·6.50 SportingIndex11/2·6.50 Quinn Bet11/2·6.50 BetTom5/1·6.00 PricedUp Bet5/1·6.00 BetAhoy5/1·6.00Octobet5/1·6.00
1	Mersea Island J: Oliver Stammers · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 6 · combo 3/21 (14%) 4yo · G · b	31214	9-10	86	—	—	53.6	9/2·5.71	5.6·5.60 Betfair Exchange · -2% vs fair Compare 32 books ▾ Betfair Exchange5.6·5.60 Bet3654/1·5.00 William Hill4/1·5.00 Betfred4/1·5.00 Boyle Sports4/1·5.00 Unibet4/1·5.00 BetTom4/1·5.00 Bet Victor4/1·5.00 10 Bet4/1·5.00 Grosvenor Sports4/1·5.00Virgin Bet4/1·5.00talkSPORT BET4/1·5.00 LiveScore Bet4/1·5.00 Betano4/1·5.00 Dragon Bet4/1·5.00 CopyBet4/1·5.00 PricedUp Bet4/1·5.00 BetAhoy4/1·5.00 Spreadex4/1·5.00Octobet4/1·5.00BresBet4/1·5.00 BetMGM4/1·5.00BestOdds4/1·5.007Bet4/1·5.00 Star Sports4/1·5.00 Midnite4/1·5.00 SportingIndex4/1·5.00 Quinn Bet4/1·5.00 SmarketsSBK4·5.00 Coral7/2·4.50 Ladbrokes7/2·4.50 BetWright7/2·4.50
8	Dance Time J: Laura Pearson · T: David Loughnane · draw 4 · combo 3/42 (7%) 6yo · M · b	45973	8-10	72	—	—	53.4	12/1·12.55	13·13.00 Betfair Exchange · +4% vs fair Compare 32 books ▾ Betfair Exchange13·13.00 Bet36510/1·11.00 Coral10/1·11.00 Boyle Sports10/1·11.00 Ladbrokes10/1·11.00 Unibet10/1·11.00 Bet Victor10/1·11.00 Grosvenor Sports10/1·11.00Virgin Bet10/1·11.00talkSPORT BET10/1·11.00 LiveScore Bet10/1·11.00 Betano10/1·11.00 Dragon Bet10/1·11.00 PricedUp Bet10/1·11.00 BresBet10/1·11.00 Star Sports10/1·11.00 Midnite10/1·11.00 Quinn Bet10/1·11.00 SmarketsSBK10·11.00 William Hill9/1·10.00 Betfred9/1·10.00 BetTom9/1·10.00 10 Bet9/1·10.00 BetWright9/1·10.00 CopyBet9/1·10.00 BetAhoy9/1·10.00 Spreadex9/1·10.00Octobet9/1·10.00BetMGM9/1·10.00 SportingIndex9/1·10.00BestOdds17/2·9.507Bet17/2·9.50
6	Arcturus Flamev1.1 J: Finley Marsh · T: Richard Hughes · draw 2 · combo 9/111 (8%) 4yo · G · bp	35325	8-13	75	—	—	52.7	9/2·5.71	5.5·5.50 Betfair Exchange · -4% vs fair Compare 32 books ▾ Betfair Exchange5.5·5.50 Bet3654/1·5.00 William Hill4/1·5.00 Coral4/1·5.00 Betfred4/1·5.00 Boyle Sports4/1·5.00 Ladbrokes4/1·5.00 Unibet4/1·5.00 BetTom4/1·5.00 Bet Victor4/1·5.00 10 Bet4/1·5.00 Grosvenor Sports4/1·5.00Virgin Bet4/1·5.00talkSPORT BET4/1·5.00 BetWright4/1·5.00 LiveScore Bet4/1·5.00 Betano4/1·5.00 Dragon Bet4/1·5.00 CopyBet4/1·5.00 PricedUp Bet4/1·5.00 BetAhoy4/1·5.00 Spreadex4/1·5.00Octobet4/1·5.00BresBet4/1·5.00 BetMGM4/1·5.00BestOdds4/1·5.007Bet4/1·5.00 Star Sports4/1·5.00 Midnite4/1·5.00 SportingIndex4/1·5.00 Quinn Bet4/1·5.00 SmarketsSBK4·5.00
7	Gentle Warrior J: Jack Nicholls(5) · T: K. R. Burke · draw 5 · combo 5/39 (13%) 4yo · G · bpFT P	50246	8-11	73	—	—	52.1	14/1·14.84	16.5·16.50 Betfair Exchange · +11% vs fair Compare 32 books ▾ Betfair Exchange16.5·16.50 Bet36512/1·13.00 William Hill12/1·13.00 Coral12/1·13.00 Betfred12/1·13.00 Boyle Sports12/1·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00 Unibet12/1·13.00 Bet Victor12/1·13.00 10 Bet12/1·13.00 Grosvenor Sports12/1·13.00Virgin Bet12/1·13.00talkSPORT BET12/1·13.00 LiveScore Bet12/1·13.00 Betano12/1·13.00 Dragon Bet12/1·13.00 CopyBet12/1·13.00 BresBet12/1·13.00 BetMGM12/1·13.00BestOdds12/1·13.007Bet12/1·13.00 Star Sports12/1·13.00 Quinn Bet12/1·13.00 SmarketsSBK12·13.00 BetTom11/1·12.00 BetWright11/1·12.00 BetAhoy11/1·12.00 Spreadex11/1·12.00Octobet11/1·12.00Midnite11/1·12.00 SportingIndex11/1·12.00 PricedUp Bet10/1·11.00
3	Scottish Anthem J: Millie Wonnacott(5) · T: Stuart Edmunds · draw 8 7yo · G · btpOnly rideOnly runner	53497	9-07	83	—	—	41.3	50/1·58.21	66/1·67.00 Bet365 · +15% vs fair Compare 32 books ▾ Bet36566/1·67.00 SmarketsSBK60·61.00 Betfair Exchange60·60.00 Betfred50/1·51.00 Boyle Sports50/1·51.00 Bet Victor50/1·51.00 10 Bet50/1·51.00 Grosvenor Sports50/1·51.00Virgin Bet50/1·51.00talkSPORT BET50/1·51.00 LiveScore Bet50/1·51.00 Betano50/1·51.00 Dragon Bet50/1·51.00 CopyBet50/1·51.00 BresBet50/1·51.00BestOdds50/1·51.007Bet50/1·51.00 Star Sports50/1·51.00 Midnite50/1·51.00 Quinn Bet50/1·51.00 William Hill40/1·41.00 Unibet40/1·41.00 BetTom40/1·41.00 BetWright40/1·41.00 PricedUp Bet40/1·41.00 BetAhoy40/1·41.00 Spreadex40/1·41.00Octobet40/1·41.00BetMGM40/1·41.00 SportingIndex40/1·41.00 Coral33/1·34.00 Ladbrokes33/1·34.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 32 bookmakers per horse with the 14% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Follow @AtTheRaces On X Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)?

The Follow @AtTheRaces On X Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race) is off at 17:00 on 17 July 2026 at Wolverhampton (AW) (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 17:00 Wolverhampton (AW)?

1m6f, Class 4, Flat, 8 runners declared.

What is the going for the 17:00 Wolverhampton (AW)?

Going is reported as Standard on AW.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 17:00 Wolverhampton (AW)?

The AI top-rated runner is St Mawes (score 60.5, best price 4.10). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 17:00 Wolverhampton (AW)?

The market favourite is St Mawes at a best price of 4.10.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org