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Next · 3h 23m14:50Beverley

14:50 Beverley

Churchill Tyres EBF Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (For Horses In Band D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)

5f · Flat · Class 4 · Heavy · 13 runners · £5,400 · Sunday, 30 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 4 · score 50.8 · +10.1 clear of next best · best 10/3·4.20
Best value vs consensus
12.5·12.50 Matchbook · +17% vs fair (consensus 10.70)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 29 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

v1.11.57 score
Eleven Eighty Two
4.30Betfair Exchange

segment +22.5% · Flat · Heavy · Class 4

Each-way40.6/100 rating
Last Dandelion
9.60Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Eleven Eighty Two

Andrew Mullen · Ben Haslam · 2yo

Top-rated of 13
score 50.8 · +10.1 clear of next best (40.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    34d since last run (fresh)
  • Form20% weight
    52average
    Last 6: 4-2-2-6
  • Ratings50% weight
    46below average
    OR 69 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    45below average
    Ben Haslam: 2/11 winners last 14d (18%)
MarketBest price 4.20 (Matchbook) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Beverley 5f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.19).

Low (1–5)
IV 1.19
Mid (6–9)
IV 1.06
High (10–13)
IV 0.74

Today: Dorothea Hope (draw 1) and Get On That Baby (draw 4) get the bias; Last Dandelion (draw 11) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 130 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
4
J: Andrew Mullen · T: Ben Haslam · draw 8 · combo 4/52 (8%)
2yo · F · b
4226
6950.84/1·5.034.2·4.20
Matchbook · -17% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
7
J: Ethan Tindall(5) · T: Stuart Williams · draw 11
2yo · F · bOnly runner
304532
6140.69/1·10.079.6·9.60
Matchbook · -5% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
1
J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 13 · combo 20/214 (9%)
2yo · F · bbFT B
237793
6036.610/1·10.7012.5·12.50
Matchbook · +17% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
3
J: Jason Hart · T: Tim Easterby · draw 1 · combo 3/8 (38%)
2yo · F · bOnly pairing
458
5636.28/1·8.818.6·8.60
Smarkets · -2% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
8
J: Shane Gray · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 12 · combo 0/24 (0%)
2yo · F · bOnly pairing
22.516/1·16.3619·19.00
Matchbook · +16% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
6
J: Joanna Mason · T: Michael & David Easterby · draw 4 · combo 7/88 (8%)
2yo · F · b
19.528/1·28.9424·24.00
Smarkets · -17% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
9
J: Tom Eaves · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 2 · combo 4/82 (5%)
2yo · F · ch
19.59/1·10.079.4·9.40
Smarkets · -7% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
5
J: Cam Hardie · T: Brian Ellison · draw 6 · combo 2/20 (10%)
2yo · F · chOnly pairing
18.022/1·23.9123·23.00
Matchbook · -4% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
12
J: Oisin Orr · T: Ed Dunlop · draw 5
2yo · F · bOnly runner
059
17.633/1·36.4938·38.00
Matchbook · +4% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
10
J: Sam James · T: Phillip Makin · draw 9 · combo 3/25 (12%)
2yo · F · ch
8
17.025/1·26.4222/1·23.00
Paddy Power · -13% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
13
J: M. P. Sheehy · T: Brian Ellison · draw 7
2yo · F · b
05
15.520/1·21.3917.5·17.50
Matchbook · -18% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
2
J: Alistair Rawlinson · T: Sara Ender · draw 3
2yo · F · bOnly runner
6
12.59/1·10.079.6·9.60
Matchbook · -5% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
11
J: Connor Beasley · T: Gemma Tutty · draw 10 · combo 0/18 (0%)
2yo · F · chOnly pairing
305
12.020/1·21.3936·36.00
Smarkets · +68% vs fair
All 29 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 29–30 bookmakers per horse with the 26% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Churchill Tyres EBF Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (For Horses In Band D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)?

The Churchill Tyres EBF Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (For Horses In Band D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race) is off at 14:50 on 30 August 2026 at Beverley (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 14:50 Beverley?

5f, Class 4, Flat, 13 runners declared.

What is the going for the 14:50 Beverley?

Going is reported as Heavy on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 14:50 Beverley?

The AI top-rated runner is Eleven Eighty Two (score 50.8, best price 4.20). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 14:50 Beverley?

The market favourite is Eleven Eighty Two at a best price of 4.20.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org