16:25 Fontwell

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Hurdle

2m1½f · Hurdle · Class 5 · Good · 8 runners · £3,697 · Saturday, 3 October 2026

Compare all prices

E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (9 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Birthday Angel

No. 2 · score 65.4 · +3.6 clear of next best · best 11/4·3.85

Best value vs consensus

No book currently stands out from the market consensus in this race. Prices refresh every few minutes.

Model testThis race is on v1.0's public test card: Birthday Angel advised 4/1·5.00 (Betfair Exchange), frozen at publication — win or lose, it stays on the ledger.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

v1.10.16 score

Desert Halo

6.007Bet

segment +6.2% · Hurdle · Good · Class 5

Each-way61.8/100 rating

Desert Halo

6.007Bet

Place portion settles at 2.00 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Begin The LuckDiffers from our pick

Begin The Luck looks the call in this Fontwell event over 18 furlongs, as a progressive sort who arrives fit and has already shown he is at home over this sort of test. Diamond Egg is the top-rated runner on our figures and sits four pounds ahead of him, so he is the chief threat, but the fitness edge and upward trajectory of our selection are enough to tip it the other way. King of The Bronx and Birthday Angel, both on 99, are the other dangers and sit only a few pounds behind. Begin The Luck is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Birthday Angel

Rex Dingle · Lydia Richards · 6yo

Top-rated of 9

score 65.4 · +3.6 clear of next best (61.8)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
24d since last run (race-fit window)
Ratings50% weight
66strong
OR 99
Form20% weight
62average
Last 6: P-1-1-5
Trainer20% weight
50no sample
Lydia Richards — no runners last 14 days — too few recent runs to judge the yard

MarketBest price 3.85 (Matchbook) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: No confirmed front-runner — likely a slow start, race may turn into a sprint.

Front-runners(0)—
Prominent(2)
6Crown of India 9A Tickatickatiming
Mid-division(1)
7Black Dakota
Hold-up / closers(4)
1King of The Bronx 2Birthday Angel 3Devon Red 5Begin The Luck
Unknown(2)
8Diamond Egg Desert Halo

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
2	Birthday AngelPick J: Rex Dingle · T: Lydia Richards · draw 0 6yo · G · grOnly rideOnly runner	P115	11-10	99	—	—	65.4	4/1·5.03	3.85·3.85 Matchbook · -23% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook3.85·3.85Smarkets3.8·3.80Ladbrokes11/4·3.75 Paddy Power11/4·3.75Betfair Sportsbook11/4·3.75Coral11/4·3.75 Betfair Exchange3.75·3.75 Betfred11/4·3.75 Star Sports11/4·3.75 William Hill11/4·3.75 7Bet11/4·3.75 Bet36511/4·3.75 BetTom11/4·3.75 10 Bet11/4·3.75 Boyle Sports11/4·3.75 LiveScore Bet11/4·3.75 Quinn Bet11/4·3.75Virgin Bet11/4·3.75Hollywood Bets11/4·3.75SmarketsSBK13/5·3.60 BetWright5/2·3.50 Betano5/2·3.50 Dragon Bet5/2·3.50 Midnite5/2·3.50 SportingIndex5/2·3.50 Spreadex5/2·3.50 Unibet5/2·3.50 BetMGM5/2·3.50 Bet Victor5/2·3.50
—	Desert Halov1.1 J: Harry Bannister · T: Richard Bandey · draw 0 7yo · G · bOnly ride	73124	11-08	97	—	—	61.8	7/1·8.04	5/1·6.00 7Bet · -25% vs fair Compare 8 books ▾ 7Bet5/1·6.00 BetWright5/1·6.00 Dragon Bet5/1·6.00 Paddy Power5/1·6.00Smarkets6·6.00BetMGM9/2·5.50Betfair Sportsbook9/2·5.50Matchbook1.1·1.10
3	Devon Red J: Jack Quinlan · T: Nick Scholfield · draw 0 · combo 0/8 (0%) 7yo · G · chbClass dropOnly runner	42429	11-08	97	—	—	54.9	13/2·7.37	6·6.00 Smarkets · -19% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Smarkets6·6.00Matchbook6·6.00Betfair Exchange6·6.00 Ladbrokes9/2·5.50 Star Sports9/2·5.50 William Hill9/2·5.50 Midnite9/2·5.50Virgin Bet9/2·5.50SmarketsSBK9/2·5.50 Coral9/2·5.50 10 Bet9/2·5.50 LiveScore Bet9/2·5.50 Unibet9/2·5.50 Bet3659/2·5.50Hollywood Bets9/2·5.50Quinn Bet4/1·5.00 SportingIndex4/1·5.00 Spreadex4/1·5.00Betfair Sportsbook4/1·5.007Bet4/1·5.00 BetMGM4/1·5.00 BetWright4/1·5.00 Paddy Power4/1·5.00 Dragon Bet4/1·5.00 Betano4/1·5.00 BetTom4/1·5.00 Boyle Sports4/1·5.00 Betfred4/1·5.00 Bet Victor4/1·5.00
1	King of The Bronx J: Ellis Collier(5) · T: Syd Hosie · draw 0 · combo 0/8 (0%) 5yo · G · bClass drop	07516	12-00	103	—	—	52.6	50/1·54.95	100·100.00 Matchbook · +82% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook100·100.00Smarkets95·95.00SmarketsSBK90/1·91.00 Betfair Exchange85·85.00 Bet36550/1·51.00 Midnite50/1·51.00 BetMGM40/1·41.00 Coral40/1·41.00 Dragon Bet40/1·41.00Virgin Bet40/1·41.0010 Bet40/1·41.00 BetTom40/1·41.00 Paddy Power40/1·41.00 Ladbrokes40/1·41.00 Boyle Sports40/1·41.00 Spreadex40/1·41.00 William Hill40/1·41.00 Betfred40/1·41.00Hollywood Bets40/1·41.00LiveScore Bet40/1·41.00 Star Sports40/1·41.00 Unibet40/1·41.00 Quinn Bet40/1·41.00 SportingIndex40/1·41.00 BetWright40/1·41.00 7Bet40/1·41.00Betfair Sportsbook35/1·36.00Betano33/1·34.00 Bet Victor33/1·34.00
5	Begin The Luck J: Ben Godfrey · T: Daisy Hitchins · draw 0 10yo · G · bpOnly ride	51238	11-07	96	—	—	52.0	28/1·28.14	28·28.00 Matchbook Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook28·28.00Betfair Exchange26·26.00Smarkets26·26.00Bet36522/1·23.00 Betfred20/1·21.00 Spreadex20/1·21.00Virgin Bet20/1·21.00Coral20/1·21.00 10 Bet20/1·21.00 BetTom20/1·21.00 BetMGM20/1·21.00 BetWright20/1·21.00 7Bet20/1·21.00 SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00 Midnite20/1·21.00Hollywood Bets20/1·21.00LiveScore Bet20/1·21.00 Quinn Bet20/1·21.00 SportingIndex20/1·21.00 Star Sports20/1·21.00 William Hill20/1·21.00 Paddy Power20/1·21.00 Ladbrokes20/1·21.00 Dragon Bet20/1·21.00 Boyle Sports20/1·21.00Betfair Sportsbook18/1·19.00Bet Victor18/1·19.00 Unibet18/1·19.00 Betano18/1·19.00
6	Crown of India J: Bryan Carver · T: Alex Hales · draw 0 · combo 1/15 (7%) 5yo · G · bGoing 1/4Only runner	91226	11-06	95	—	—	51.5	5/1·6.03	5.8·5.80 Betfair Exchange · -4% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange5.8·5.80Matchbook5.8·5.80Smarkets5.8·5.80SportingIndex4/1·5.00 Spreadex4/1·5.00 SmarketsSBK4/1·5.00 Bet3654/1·5.00 William Hill4/1·5.00 BetMGM7/2·4.50 Coral7/2·4.50 Star Sports7/2·4.50 10 Bet7/2·4.50Hollywood Bets7/2·4.50LiveScore Bet7/2·4.50 Midnite7/2·4.50 Quinn Bet7/2·4.50 Ladbrokes7/2·4.50 Unibet7/2·4.50 BetTom7/2·4.50 7Bet7/2·4.50 Betfred7/2·4.50Betfair Sportsbook7/2·4.50BetWright7/2·4.50 Dragon Bet7/2·4.50 Paddy Power7/2·4.50 Boyle Sports7/2·4.50Virgin Bet7/2·4.50Bet Victor3/1·4.00 Betano3/1·4.00
7	Black Dakota J: Robbie David(5) · T: Daisy Hitchins · draw 0 · combo 0/5 (0%) 7yo · G · brhFT HClass dropOnly ride	25464	11-06	95	—	—	49.4	14/1·14.74	14·14.00 Matchbook · -5% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook14·14.00Betfair Exchange13.5·13.50Smarkets13.5·13.50SmarketsSBK12/1·13.00 Bet36511/1·12.00 BetMGM11/1·12.00 BetWright10/1·11.00 William Hill10/1·11.00Virgin Bet10/1·11.00Betfred10/1·11.00Hollywood Bets10/1·11.00Quinn Bet10/1·11.00 Star Sports10/1·11.00 Boyle Sports10/1·11.00 Midnite10/1·11.00 10 Bet10/1·11.00 Unibet10/1·11.00 Dragon Bet10/1·11.00 SportingIndex10/1·11.00 Spreadex10/1·11.00 Paddy Power10/1·11.00Betfair Sportsbook10/1·11.00Ladbrokes9/1·10.00 7Bet9/1·10.00 Coral9/1·10.00 LiveScore Bet9/1·10.00 BetTom9/1·10.00 Betano17/2·9.50 Bet Victor17/2·9.50
9	A Tickatickatiming J: Marc Goldstein · T: Sheena West · draw 0 · combo 1/11 (9%) 8yo · M · bOnly rideOnly runner	3P454	10-13	88	—	—	43.0	5/1·6.03	5.2·5.20 Betfair Exchange · -14% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange5.2·5.20Matchbook5.1·5.10Smarkets5.1·5.10William Hill7/2·4.50Hollywood Bets7/2·4.50LiveScore Bet7/2·4.50 Spreadex7/2·4.50Virgin Bet7/2·4.50Boyle Sports7/2·4.50 Ladbrokes7/2·4.50 SmarketsSBK7/2·4.50 BetMGM7/2·4.50 SportingIndex7/2·4.50 Star Sports7/2·4.50Betfair Sportsbook7/2·4.50Coral7/2·4.50 Bet3657/2·4.50 BetTom7/2·4.50 Quinn Bet7/2·4.50 Paddy Power7/2·4.50 BetWright10/3·4.33 Unibet10/3·4.33 Dragon Bet10/3·4.33 7Bet10/3·4.33 Midnite10/3·4.33 Betfred10/3·4.33 10 Bet3/1·4.00 Bet Victor3/1·4.00 Betano3/1·4.00
8	Diamond Egg J: Bradley Harris(3) · T: Neil Mulholland · draw 0 · combo 1/22 (5%) 8yo · G · bht	160P2	11-03	92	—	—	40.2	10/1·11.39	8.8·8.80 Matchbook · -23% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook8.8·8.80Smarkets8.6·8.60Betfair Exchange8.6·8.60 Unibet15/2·8.50 Boyle Sports15/2·8.50 Ladbrokes15/2·8.50 SportingIndex15/2·8.50 Spreadex15/2·8.50 William Hill15/2·8.50Hollywood Bets15/2·8.50Star Sports15/2·8.50 Quinn Bet15/2·8.50 LiveScore Bet15/2·8.50 Coral15/2·8.50 Bet36515/2·8.50 Betfred15/2·8.50Virgin Bet15/2·8.50BetTom7/1·8.00 SmarketsSBK7/1·8.00 BetWright7/1·8.00 Midnite7/1·8.00 10 Bet7/1·8.00 Paddy Power7/1·8.00Betfair Sportsbook7/1·8.00BetMGM7/1·8.00 Dragon Bet7/1·8.00 7Bet7/1·8.00 Bet Victor13/2·7.50 Betano13/2·7.50

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 8–29 bookmakers per horse with the 34% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Hurdle?

The Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Hurdle is off at 16:25 on 3 October 2026 at Fontwell (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 16:25 Fontwell?

2m1½f, Class 5, Hurdle, 8 runners declared.

What is the going for the 16:25 Fontwell?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 16:25 Fontwell?

The AI top-rated runner is Birthday Angel (score 65.4, best price 3.85). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 16:25 Fontwell?

The market favourite is Birthday Angel at a best price of 3.85.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org