Who won the 16:45 Newcastle (AW) on 19 September 2026?
West Sleekburn Lad (GB) won the 16:45 Newcastle (AW) at SP 7.50. Ridden by Billy Garritty. Trained by Peter Niven.
16:45 Newcastle (AW)
Quinnbet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Stakes
1m4½f · Flat · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners · £3,768 · Saturday, 19 September 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 7thRace report
- 1stWest Sleekburn Lad (GB)Billy Garritty·Peter Niven13/2·7.50SP
- 2ndManbearpig (IRE)Rhys Clutterbuck·Rebecca Menzies·beaten .75 lengths9/2·5.50SP
- 3rdWyvill (GB)Stevie Donohoe·Ian Williams·beaten 1.75 lengths7/2F·4.50SP
Race time
2m 48.24s
Race time recorded.
In-running (West Sleekburn Lad (GB))
“Sat handy early on a firm grip - fourth at halfway - asked for effort with 2f left - moved into second soon after - hit the front a furlong out and challenged again - stayed on strongly to prevail”
AI top-rated Raise The Stakes (score 41.8) finished 7th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way41.8/100 rating
Raise The Stakes
6.50Hollywood Bets
Place portion settles at 2.10 · 1/5 odds · 3 places
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Ten Sixty Six
Ten Sixty Six is level with Manbearpig on our ratings yet is preferred on the basis of a progressive profile that suggests there is more to come over this twelve-furlong trip on the Newcastle all-weather. Manbearpig, rated level, represents the most immediate threat and cannot be dismissed, while Gilleangirl and Raise The Stakes are dangers if either finds improvement at this class. On balance, Ten Sixty Six looks the one to be with.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Raise The Stakes
Greg Fairley · Ewan Whillans · 3yo
Top-rated of 11
score 41.8 · +0.8 clear of next best (41.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong24d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight45below averageLast 6: 0-9-2-3-0-2
- Trainer20% weight35small sample (n=7)Ewan Whillans: 1/7 winners last 14d (14%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Ratings50% weight31weakOR 47
MarketBest price 6.50 (Hollywood Bets) · 3rd in the market of 11.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Newcastle (AW) 1m4½f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–4)
IV 1.06
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.90
High (9–11)
IV 1.02
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 150 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | J: Billy Garritty · T: Peter Niven · draw 10 3yo · G · b | 083 | 40 | 41.0 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 2 | 5 | J: Rhys Clutterbuck · T: Rebecca Menzies · draw 5 3yo · G · bb | 54848 | 48 | 37.6 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 3 | 1 | J: Stevie Donohoe · T: Ian Williams · draw 11 3yo · C · ch | 6673 | 55 | 37.2 | 7/2F·4.50 SP |
| 4 | 4 | J: Mark Winn · T: David O'Meara · draw 6 3yo · F · b | 794652 | 51 | 38.7 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 5 | 3 | J: Duran Fentiman · T: Tim Easterby · draw 3 3yo · F · chv | 384273 | 52 | 41.0 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 6 | 10 | J: Rhys Elliott(5) · T: Craig Lidster · draw 9 3yo · G · ch | 860968 | 41 | 29.9 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 7 | 6 | J: Greg Fairley · T: Ewan Whillans · draw 2 3yo · G · b | 092302 | 47 | 41.8 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 8 | 9 | J: Aiden Brookes · T: Philip Kirby · draw 4 3yo · F · btp | 39507 | 44 | 36.3 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 9 | 7 | J: Alistair Rawlinson · T: Alan Brown · draw 1 3yo · F · gr | 550790 | 47 | 27.4 | 125/1·126.00 SP |
| 10 | 8 | J: Sean Dylan Bowen · T: Philip Kirby · draw 8 3yo · F · bp | 238535 | 45 | 39.9 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 11 | 2 | J: Jonny Peate · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 7 3yo · F · cht | 58747 | 52 | 38.5 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:45 Newcastle (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (Raise The Stakes) finished 7.
What were the placings in the 16:45 Newcastle (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. West Sleekburn Lad (GB) (7.50), 2. Manbearpig (IRE) (5.50), 3. Wyvill (GB) (4.50).
What was the winning time for the 16:45 Newcastle (AW)?
The winning time was 2m 48.24s.
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