18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha
Next · 2m14:15Listowel

Sasco Sauces Birthday Handicap Stakes (Div I)

7f · Flat · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners · £3,245 · Thursday, 10 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 2/1F·3.00
  1. 1st
    Federal Envoy (IRE)AI top pick · 55.5
    Jack Doughty·Charlie Clover
    2/1F·3.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    South Kensington (IRE)
    Robert Havlin·Adam Kirby·beaten 3.25 lengths
    17/2·9.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    African Spirit (IRE)
    Billy Loughnane·Ian Williams·beaten 2 lengths
    7/2·4.50
    SP
Race time
1m 23.91s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Federal Envoy (IRE))

“Set the pace from the off - asked for effort 2f out and drew clear - driven on with a furlong left - powered home unopposed for the win”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

v1.12.18 score
In The City
10.50Matchbook

segment +7.8% · Flat · Standard · Class 6

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: In The City

In The City heads this eleven-runner Class 6 contest at Lingfield on the all-weather, sitting narrowly ahead of Federal Envoy and a clear six pounds above the clutch of rivals rated 58, giving him a meaningful edge on the figures across a competitive-looking field at seven furlongs. Federal Envoy represents the most obvious threat and cannot be dismissed, while Winemaker and South Kensington will also need to be accounted for if this is to be wrapped up comfortably. The selection's rating advantage, however, translates into a genuine qualitative case, and on these merits he looks the one to beat. In The City is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Federal Envoy

Jack Doughty · Charlie Clover · 5yo

Top-rated of 11
score 55.5 · +7.8 clear of next best (47.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100small sample (n=4)
    Charlie Clover: 2/4 winners last 14d (50%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    9d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Form20% weight
    47below average
    Last 6: 5-2-6-5-9-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    38below average
    OR 57 — above field median
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Lingfield (AW) 7f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.15).

Low (1–4)
IV 0.77
Mid (5–8)
IV 1.11
High (9–11)
IV 1.15

Today: Beau Jardine (draw 10) and Edergole's Gift (draw 11) get the bias; Federal Envoy (draw 2) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 408 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
13
J: Jack Doughty · T: Charlie Clover · draw 2
5yo · G · brv
526591
5755.5
2/1F·3.00
SP
22
J: Robert Havlin · T: Adam Kirby · draw 1
5yo · M · bt
692157
5836.5
17/2·9.50
SP
36
J: Billy Loughnane · T: Ian Williams · draw 7
5yo · G · btp
87833
5236.0
7/2·4.50
SP
48
J: Alec Voikhansky · T: Daniel Steele · draw 6
7yo · G · b
36270
4928.1
33/1·34.00
SP
49
J: Darragh Keenan · T: John Ryan · draw 4
4yo · F · b
934543
4847.7
10/1·11.00
SP
610
8yo · G · b
641746
4744.4
40/1·41.00
SP
75
J: Paddy Bradley · T: Michael Attwater · draw 8
4yo · G · bp
473F54
5336.6
18/1·19.00
SP
811
5yo · M · btp
069544
4644.3
16/1·17.00
SP
94
J: William Cox · T: Patrick Chamings · draw 3
4yo · F · b
31508
5532.2
80/1·81.00
SP
107
J: Finley Marsh · T: Richard Hughes · draw 9
6yo · G · b
483769
5034.4
13/2·7.50
SP
111
J: Edward Greatrex · T: Warren Greatrex · draw 5
4yo · G · bv
45062
6041.2
5/1·6.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:23 Lingfield (AW) on 10 September 2026?

Federal Envoy (IRE) won the 16:23 Lingfield (AW) at SP 3.00. Ridden by Jack Doughty. Trained by Charlie Clover.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:23 Lingfield (AW)?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Federal Envoy, won the race (AI score 55.5).

What were the placings in the 16:23 Lingfield (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Federal Envoy (IRE) (3.00), 2. South Kensington (IRE) (9.50), 3. African Spirit (IRE) (4.50).

What was the winning time for the 16:23 Lingfield (AW)?

The winning time was 1m 23.91s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org