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Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (Div II) (GBB Race)

7f · Flat · Class 4 · Standard · 9 runners · £5,400 · Thursday, 17 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 5/2·3.50
  1. 1st
    Don't Stop Movin (GB)AI top pick · 51.2
    Connor Beasley·Michael Dods
    5/2·3.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Dontworryaboutme (IRE)
    Callum Shepherd·Charles Hills·beaten 1 length
    2/1F·3.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Leo Cee (GB)
    Luke Morris·Tom Clover·beaten .75 lengths
    18/1·19.00
    SP
Race time
1m 28.75s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Don't Stop Movin (GB))

“Set the pace from the off - drifted right approaching the bend 3f out - pushed along inside the final furlong to hold on for the win”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

v1.12.95 score
Don't Stop Movin
3.80Matchbook

segment +6.3% · Flat · Standard · Class 4

Why the model rates this top

Don't Stop Movin

Connor Beasley · Michael Dods · 2yo

Top-rated of 10
score 51.2 · +4.9 clear of next best (46.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    26d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    59average
    Last 6: 2-6-2
  • Ratings50% weight
    50average
    OR 75
  • Trainer20% weight
    23weak
    Michael Dods: 3/35 winners last 14d (9%)
MarketBest price 3.25 (Smarkets) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Southwell (AW) 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)
IV 0.96
Mid (5–7)
IV 1.04
High (8–10)
IV 1.01

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 587 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
11
J: Connor Beasley · T: Michael Dods · draw 2
2yo · C · b
262
7551.2
5/2·3.50
SP
22
J: Callum Shepherd · T: Charles Hills · draw 3
2yo · C · b
7
—21.5
2/1F·3.00
SP
36
J: Luke Morris · T: Tom Clover · draw 10
2yo · G · b
——23.5
18/1·19.00
SP
47
2yo · C · bpFT P
——20.5
12/1·13.00
SP
58
J: Jack Callan · T: George Boughey · draw 1
2yo · F · b
——26.0
18/1·19.00
SP
610
J: James Sullivan · T: Ollie Pears · draw 7
2yo · F · ch
09
—21.8
150/1·151.00
SP
73
J: David Probert · T: Harry Eustace · draw 4
2yo · G · b
7
—14.5
11/1·12.00
SP
84
J: Rob Hornby · T: Tom Ward · draw 6
2yo · C · b
522
7646.3
11/4·3.75
SP
95
2yo · G · bvFT V
90
—14.4
300/1·301.00
SP
——
J: Oisin McSweeney · T: David O'Meara · draw 8
2yo · F · b
7
—17.5—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 18:30 Southwell (AW) on 17 September 2026?

Don't Stop Movin (GB) won the 18:30 Southwell (AW) at SP 3.50. Ridden by Connor Beasley. Trained by Michael Dods.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:30 Southwell (AW)?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Don't Stop Movin, won the race (AI score 51.2).

What were the placings in the 18:30 Southwell (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Don't Stop Movin (GB) (3.50), 2. Dontworryaboutme (IRE) (3.00), 3. Leo Cee (GB) (19.00).

What was the winning time for the 18:30 Southwell (AW)?

The winning time was 1m 28.75s.

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