Who won the 13:30 Southwell (AW) on 16 August 2026?
Cliff Danger (GB) won the 13:30 Southwell (AW) at SP 7.00. Ridden by Kieran O'Neill. Trained by Pam Sly.
13:30 Southwell (AW)
Newark Advertiser Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)
1m4f · Flat · Class 4 · Standard · 12 runners · £5,653 · Sunday, 16 August 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 2ndRace report
- 1stCliff Danger (GB)Kieran O'Neill·Pam Sly6/1·7.00SP
- 2ndAstrological (GB)AI top pick · 62.3Marco Ghiani·Marco Botti·beaten .75 lengths11/8F·2.38SP
- 3rdDomination (IRE)Sean D Bowen·Harriet Bethell·beaten 1 length13/2·7.50SP
Race time
2m 34.01s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Cliff Danger (GB))
“Towards the rear of the pack - nudged forward approaching 3f out and up to fourth - driven over 2f out - hit the head of affairs over 1f out - drifted left in the closing stages but stuck on strongly to win”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.38 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →v1.13.13 score
Jindri
10.00SmarketsSBK
segment +6.3% · Flat · Standard · Class 4
Each-way61.3/100 rating
Wonder
6.80Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Yaa Min
Yaa Min arrives here narrowly behind Wonder and level with Naples on our figures, but a progressive profile and a fitness edge over those rivals tip the balance in her favour on what looks an open and competitive twelve-furlong contest on the Southwell all-weather. Wonder, rated a pound clear at the top, is the most obvious threat and Naples, sharing the same mark as our selection, will not be far away either, while Motazzen represents the chief danger from the remainder of the field. On balance, a continuing upward curve and the suspicion that she retains more condition than the top-rated runner make Yaa Min the call.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Astrological
Marco Ghiani · Marco Botti · 3yo
Top-rated of 12
score 62.3 · +1.0 clear of next best (61.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Form20% weight86very strongLast 6: 2-1-3-1
- Freshness10% weight85very strong55d since last run (fresh)
- Trainer20% weight55averageMarco Botti: 4/18 winners last 14d (22%)
- Ratings50% weight51averageOR 77
MarketBest price 3.15 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Southwell (AW) 1m4f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–4)
IV 1.05
Mid (5–8)
IV 1.08
High (9–12)
IV 0.88
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 208 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | J: Kieran O'Neill · T: Pam Sly · draw 6 3yo · G · b | 6479 | 72 | 36.1 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 2 | 11 | J: Marco Ghiani · T: Marco Botti · draw 5 3yo · C · ch | 2131 | 77 | 62.3 | 11/8F·2.38 SP |
| 3 | 10 | J: Sean D Bowen · T: Harriet Bethell · draw 11 3yo · G · b | 61413 | 77 | 55.2 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 4 | 3 | J: Jack Callan · T: Hayley Burton · draw 12 4yo · G · b | 641633 | 79 | 45.8 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 5 | 1 | J: Taryn Langley(5) · T: James Fanshawe · draw 7 5yo · G · chp | 21223 | 82 | 61.3 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 6 | 7 | Jindriv1.1 J: Hector Crouch · T: Jane Chapple-Hyam · draw 3 4yo · F · b | 31529 | 72 | 53.2 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 7 | 5 | J: Zak Wheatley · T: Declan Carroll · draw 10 4yo · G · ch | 16186 | 73 | 36.6 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 8 | 9 | J: Daniel Muscutt · T: Ian Williams · draw 2 6yo · G · ch | 98014 | 69 | 47.2 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 9 | 6 | J: Laura Coughlan(3) · T: Henrietta C Knight · draw 1 8yo · G · bpFirst after wind op | 9169 | 72 | 56.3 | 66/1·67.00 SP |
| 10 | 8 | J: Billy Loughnane · T: Ian Williams · draw 9 7yo · M · ch | 61866 | 71 | 42.9 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 11 | 2 | J: David Nolan · T: David O'Meara · draw 8 4yo · G · b | 34690 | 82 | 47.0 | 66/1·67.00 SP |
| 12 | 4 | J: Dougie Costello · T: Steph Hollinshead · draw 4 4yo · G · g | 10530 | 76 | 39.6 | 100/1·101.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 13:30 Southwell (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (Astrological) finished 2.
What were the placings in the 13:30 Southwell (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Cliff Danger (GB) (7.00), 2. Astrological (GB) (2.38), 3. Domination (IRE) (7.50).
What was the winning time for the 13:30 Southwell (AW)?
The winning time was 2m 34.01s.
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