15:42 Ayr

Tennent's Lager Handicap

1m · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 11 runners · £5,234 · Wednesday, 20 May 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 4th

1st
Geo (IRE)
Lauren Young·Jim Goldie
12/1·13.00
SP
2nd
Hale End (IRE)
Connor Beasley·Michael Dods·beaten 0.05 lengths
15/8F·2.88
SP
3rd
Garden Oasis (GB)
Duran Fentiman·Tim Easterby·beaten 0.3 lengths
16/1·17.00
SP

Race time

1m 37.51s+0.41s vs std

On standard — typical pace for the course/distance.

In-running (Geo (IRE))

“Prominent behind clear leaders - pushed along halfway - ridden and steady headway over 2f out - led narrowly 1f out - just held on”

AI top-rated Priapos (score 62.7) finished 4th.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 28.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Return To Unit

The very lightly raced 4yo RETURN TO UNIT has an attractive pedigree and this Newmarket challenger can make a winning handicap debut.

Forecast 2/1 Return To Unit, 9/2 Hale End, 6/1 Degale, 8/1 Kaleido, Garden Oasis, 12/1 Sir Paul Ramsey, 14/1 Jannas Journey, 16/1 Priapos, Penelope's Sister, 20/1 Geo, 25/1 Mr Mistoffelees, Redarna

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Priapos

Sam James · Phillip Makin · 4yo

Top-rated of 11

score 62.7 · +4.9 clear of next best (57.9)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
27d since last run (race-fit window)
Trainer20% weight
63small sample (n=8)
Phillip Makin: 2/8 winners last 14d (25%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
Form20% weight
61average
Last 6: 5-1-1-2-7
Ratings50% weight
56average
OR 79 · RPR 90 · TS 83

MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ayr 1m

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)

IV 1.06

Mid (5–8)

IV 0.92

High (9–12)

IV 1.01

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 140 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	12	Geo J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 9 4yo · F · b	64869	8-08	65	91	74	42.9	12/1·13.00 SP
2	8	Hale End J: Connor Beasley · T: Michael Dods · draw 5 6yo · G · bp	14412	9-04	75	95	84	51.6	15/8F·2.88 SP
3	9	Garden Oasis J: Duran Fentiman · T: Tim Easterby · draw 6 11yo · G · bp	79723	9-04	75	96	58	45.6	16/1·17.00 SP
4	4	Priapos J: Sam James · T: Phillip Makin · draw 7 4yo · G · b	51127	9-08	79	90	83	62.7	28/1·29.00 SP
5	7	Mr Mistoffelees J: Oisin Orr · T: Sam England · draw 2 6yo · G · bp	12687	9-05	76	89	83	50.8	11/1·12.00 SP
6	10	Redarna J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Dianne Sayer · draw 8 12yo · G · chp	81400	9-03	74	93	39	37.5	33/1·34.00 SP
7	2	Return To Unit J: P J McDonald · T: Roger Varian · draw 12 4yo · G · b	721	9-09	80	92	50	57.9	11/4·3.75 SP
8	5	Jannas Journey J: Rhys Elliott(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 11 5yo · M · b	29097	9-08	79	98	70	41.0	12/1·13.00 SP
9	11	Penelope's Sister J: Amie Waugh(3) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 3 6yo · M · b	63167	8-10	67	90	86	48.9	33/1·34.00 SP
10	1	Kaleido J: David Nolan · T: David O'Meara · draw 1 4yo · G · b	33196	9-10	81	89	76	47.4	8/1·9.00 SP
11	6	Degale J: William Pyle · T: David & Nicola Barron · draw 10 5yo · G · b	20603	9-06	77	96	75	44.9	7/1·8.00 SP
—	—	Sir Paul Ramsey J: Andrew Mullen · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 4 4yo · G · b	37406	9-08	79	99	46	45.2	—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:42 Ayr on 20 May 2026?

Geo (IRE) won the 15:42 Ayr at SP 13.00. Ridden by Lauren Young. Trained by Jim Goldie.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:42 Ayr?

No — the AI top pick (Priapos) finished 4.

What were the placings in the 15:42 Ayr?

Top finishers: 1. Geo (IRE) (13.00), 2. Hale End (IRE) (2.88), 3. Garden Oasis (GB) (17.00).

What was the winning time for the 15:42 Ayr?

The winning time was 1m 37.51s, on standard time.

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