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Next · 15m20:30Southwell (AW)

20:30 Southwell (AW)

Off in 15m

Golf & Gallop Southwell Golf Club Handicap Stakes

6f · Flat · Class 5 · Standard · 13 runners · £4,397 · Saturday, 26 September 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 14 · score 54.9 · +2.3 clear of next best · best 18/1·20.00
Best value vs consensus
55·55.00 Matchbook · +15% vs fair (consensus 47.82)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

v1.13.48 score
Lunar Melody
9.80Smarkets

segment +9.3% · Flat · Standard · Class 5

Each-way52.6/100 rating
Come On Over
8.80Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Come On OverDiffers from our pick

Come On Over arrives here on a progressive profile that sets her apart from rivals rated similarly on paper, and with New Image narrowly ahead on ratings, the top-rated runner's edge of four points is not insurmountable for a horse travelling in the right direction. Kats Bob and An Outlaw's Grace represent the chief dangers in a competitive 14-runner field over this six-furlong Southwell standard surface, but both are best treated as improving threats rather than certainties to outpace a horse whose upward curve makes the raw numbers somewhat flattering to the opposition. Come On Over is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Mr Cool

Harry Vigors(5) · Charlie Johnston · 4yo

Top-rated of 14
score 54.9 · +2.3 clear of next best (52.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    25d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    76strong
    Last 6: 2-3-1-3-1-3
  • Ratings50% weight
    47below average
    OR 71
  • Trainer20% weight
    30weak
    Charlie Johnston: 5/42 winners last 14d (12%)
MarketBest price 20.00 (Matchbook) · 8th in the market of 14.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: 4 confirmed front-runners — expect a pace duel; closers from the rear advantaged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Southwell (AW) 6f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–5)
IV 1.09
Mid (6–10)
IV 0.96
High (11–14)
IV 0.94

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 436 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
14
4yo · G · bDOnly pairing
231313
7154.918/1·18.2820·20.00
Matchbook · +9% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
5
J: Billy Garritty · T: David O'Meara · draw 14 · combo 2/7 (29%)
3yo · G · bvDOnly pairing
441222
7652.610/1·11.258.8·8.80
Betfair Exchange · -22% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
2
J: Barry McHugh · T: Ruth Carr · draw 11
8yo · G · chClass dropOnly runner
072206
7551.616/1·16.1716.5·16.50
Matchbook · +2% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
13
J: Jack Callan · T: Dylan Cunha · draw 7 · combo 2/9 (22%)
4yo · G · bClass dropC&DGoing 2/3
533114
7151.010/3·4.223.45·3.45
Matchbook · -18% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
6
J: Daniel Muscutt · T: Gemma Tutty · draw 8
6yo · M · bClass dropOnly pairing
50752
7447.09/1·9.848.4·8.40
Betfair Exchange · -15% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
12
J: Callum Hutchinson · T: Andrew Balding · draw 3 · combo 15/64 (23%)
3yo · F · bpFT PClass drop
186065
7346.722/1·23.9127·27.00
Matchbook · +13% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
11
J: Jonny Peate · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 9 · combo 0/24 (0%)
3yo · F · bClass dropOnly pairing
166326
7446.240/1·40.7955·55.00
Matchbook · +35% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
3
J: Alec Voikhansky · T: Richard Hannon · draw 1 · combo 1/40 (3%)
4yo · G · bpClass drop
354726
7545.925/1·25.3134·34.00
Matchbook · +34% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
—
J: Charles Bishop · T: Eve Johnson Houghton · draw 12 · combo 18/170 (11%)
3yo · G · btpClass dropOnly runner
037364
7443.514/1·14.0613.5·13.50
Betfair Exchange · -4% vs fair
Compare 22 books ▾
10
5yo · G · bOn last winning markDOnly runner
111356
7243.150/1·47.8265·65.00
Matchbook · +36% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
7
J: Warren Fentiman(3) · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 2 · combo 9/84 (11%)
3yo · F · bFirst after wind opClass drop
5250
7543.011/2·6.335.8·5.80
Smarkets · -8% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
8
J: Kieran O'Neill · T: Scott Dixon · draw 5 · combo 5/75 (7%)
3yo · G · btpClass dropOnly pairing
822130
7441.650/1·47.8255·55.00
Matchbook · +15% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
1
6yo · G · bClass drop
570058
7541.618/1·18.2815.5·15.50
Betfair Exchange · -15% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
4
J: Cian Horgan(5) · T: Lawrence Mullaney · draw 10
4yo · G · bbClass dropOnly runner
00009
7431.640/1·40.7960·60.00
Matchbook · +47% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 22–28 bookmakers per horse with the 41% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Golf & Gallop Southwell Golf Club Handicap Stakes?

The Golf & Gallop Southwell Golf Club Handicap Stakes is off at 20:30 on 26 September 2026 at Southwell (AW) (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 20:30 Southwell (AW)?

6f, Class 5, Flat, 13 runners declared.

What is the going for the 20:30 Southwell (AW)?

Going is reported as Standard on AW.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 20:30 Southwell (AW)?

The AI top-rated runner is Mr Cool (score 54.9, best price 20.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 20:30 Southwell (AW)?

The market favourite is Massimo Blue at a best price of 3.45. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Mr Cool.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org