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RacingAlpha

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Classified Stakes

1m2f · Flat · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runners · £3,664 · Thursday, 27 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 6th
  1. 1st
    Kev (GB)
    Tom Marquand·William Muir & Chris Grassick
    16/1·17.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Pride Eye (GB)
    Rob Hornby·Mark Rimell·beaten 0.1 lengths
    11/2·6.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Taskheer (IRE)
    Paddy Bradley·Gary & Josh Moore·beaten .5 lengths
    3/1F·4.00
    SP
Race time
2m 4.43s

Race time recorded.

AI top-rated Ernie McCrew (score 39.3) finished 6th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 6.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

v1.12.84 score
Ernie McCrew
8.60Matchbook

segment +7.8% · Flat · Standard · Class 6

Each-way39.3/100 rating
Ernie McCrew
9.80Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Freedom Bay

Freedom Bay holds a rating of 52 in this thirteen-runner Lingfield affair, sitting six pounds behind the top-rated Kaaress but sharing that mark with Taskheer and Ernie McCrew, and the case for our selection rests on a progressive profile that suggests there may be more to come over this ten-furlong standard surface. Kaaress is the most obvious threat on ratings alone, while Taskheer and Ernie McCrew will be competing for the same prize at identical marks and cannot be dismissed. The confidence here is modest given the competitive nature of a field at this level, but a horse continuing to improve has its appeal in this sort of contest. Freedom Bay is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Ernie McCrew

Millie Wonnacott(5) · J S Moore · 3yo

Top-rated of 13
score 39.3 · +0.4 clear of next best (38.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    9d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Form20% weight
    44below average
    Last 6: 6-7-4-5-5-2
  • Ratings50% weight
    34weak
    OR 51 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    33weak
    J S Moore: 2/16 winners last 14d (13%)
MarketBest price 9.80 (Matchbook) · 4th in the market of 13.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Lingfield (AW) 1m2f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.25).

Low (1–5)
IV 0.82
Mid (6–10)
IV 1.25
High (11–14)
IV 0.97

Today: Freedom Bay (draw 10) and Taskheer (draw 7) get the bias; Ernie McCrew (draw 2) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 251 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
14
4yo · G · b
09805
4828.6
16/1·17.00
SP
26
J: Rob Hornby · T: Mark Rimell · draw 11
4yo · F · b
107445
4930.3
11/2·6.50
SP
311
J: Paddy Bradley · T: Gary & Josh Moore · draw 7
8yo · G · bt
23498
4732.6
3/1F·4.00
SP
45
4yo · F · bt
66872
4632.5
11/1·12.00
SP
59
J: George Bass · T: Denis Coakley · draw 6
4yo · F · b
78529
5029.4
10/1·11.00
SP
613
J: Millie Wonnacott(5) · T: J S Moore · draw 2
3yo · G · ch
674552
5139.3
13/2·7.50
SP
73
J: Kieren Fox · T: Michael Attwater · draw 4
5yo · M · bv
186549
4734.0
25/1·26.00
SP
81
J: Callum Hutchinson · T: Zoe Hawkins · draw 10
4yo · F · btp
70132
4938.9
9/2·5.50
SP
914
J: J F Egan · T: Dean Ivory · draw 8
3yo · F · bh
38057
4629.0
20/1·21.00
SP
108
J: Jack Mitchell · T: Paddy Butler · draw 12
6yo · G · grp
98659
4233.6
200/1·201.00
SP
1110
J: Harry Davies · T: J. R. Jenkins · draw 13
8yo · G · b
99456
4336.3
80/1·81.00
SP
122
J: Marco Ghiani · T: J. R. Jenkins · draw 5
7yo · G · bv
82560
4634.8
28/1·29.00
SP
RR12
J: Josephine Gordon · T: James Owen · draw 3
5yo · G · b
90866R
4930.4
11/2·6.50
SP
J: Ray Dawson · T: Gihan Arnolda · draw 14
5yo · M · b
8443
4634.8

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:22 Lingfield (AW) on 27 August 2026?

Kev (GB) won the 16:22 Lingfield (AW) at SP 17.00. Ridden by Tom Marquand. Trained by William Muir & Chris Grassick.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:22 Lingfield (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Ernie McCrew) finished 6.

What were the placings in the 16:22 Lingfield (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Kev (GB) (17.00), 2. Pride Eye (GB) (6.50), 3. Taskheer (IRE) (4.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:22 Lingfield (AW)?

The winning time was 2m 4.43s.

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