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15:55 Beverley

Constant Security Handicap Stakes

5f · Flat · Class 5 · Heavy · 12 runners · £4,527 · Sunday, 30 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 3 · score 56.1 · +0.2 clear of next best · best 25/1·25.00
Best value vs consensus

No book currently stands out from the market consensus in this race. Prices refresh every few minutes.

Each-way56.0/100 rating
Great
9.60Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: TiriacDiffers from our pick

Tiriac is preferred here on the strength of a progressive profile that suggests there may be more to come, even if the ratings place him narrowly behind Ventura Express, Military Girl and Empress Olivia at the head of affairs. Ventura Express holds the highest rating in the field and represents the chief danger, with Military Girl and Empress Olivia also holding clear claims on figures alone in what looks a competitive Class 5 dash over five furlongs on soft ground at Beverley. The confidence level is modest given the slim margins involved, but a horse on the upgrade can outrun his rating, and that is the case being made for our selection. Tiriac is the pick.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Military Girl

Connor Beasley · Michael Dods · 4yo

Top-rated of 15
score 56.1 · +0.2 clear of next best (56.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    23d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    68strong
    Last 6: 3-1-1-2-5
  • Ratings50% weight
    48below average
    OR 72
  • Trainer20% weight
    43below average
    Michael Dods: 4/23 winners last 14d (17%)
MarketBest price 25.00 (Matchbook) · 13th in the market of 15.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: 4 confirmed front-runners — expect a pace duel; closers from the rear advantaged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Beverley 5f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.19).

Low (1–5)
IV 1.19
Mid (6–10)
IV 1.06
High (11–15)
IV 0.74

Today: Ventura Express (draw 5) and Qila (draw 3) get the bias; Military Girl (draw 15) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 130 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
3
J: Connor Beasley · T: Michael Dods · draw 15 · combo 10/100 (10%)
4yo · F · bDOnly pairing
31125
7256.128/1·27.7525·25.00
Matchbook · -10% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
9
J: Shane Gray · T: Sam England · draw 13 · combo 2/8 (25%)
4yo · G · bDOnly pairing
715317
6856.014/1·14.809.6·9.60
Matchbook · -35% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
J: P J McDonald · T: Geoff Oldroyd · draw 12 · combo 2/18 (11%)
4yo · G · chClass dropOnly runner
18532
7455.911/2·6.7111/4·3.75
7Bet · -44% vs fair
All 8 books ▾
15
J: Jason Hart · T: Tristan Davidson · draw 8 · combo 3/11 (27%)
7yo · G · b1lb below win markDOnly runner
830452
6152.710/1·11.106.6·6.60
Matchbook · -41% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
J: David Nolan · T: Paul Midgley · draw 5 · combo 6/52 (12%)
9yo · G · chOnly pairing
544645
7050.412/1·13.8813/2·7.50
10 Bet · -46% vs fair
All 17 books ▾
11
J: Mark Winn · T: Michael Dods · draw 7 · combo 2/17 (12%)
3yo · G · chOnly ride
154347
6849.316/1·16.6511·11.00
Matchbook · -34% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
12
J: Cam Hardie · T: Ollie Pears · draw 6 · combo 0/10 (0%)
3yo · G · bpFT PClass drop
46460
6747.822/1·24.0517.5·17.50
Matchbook · -27% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
J: M. P. Sheehy · T: Brian Ellison · draw 3
3yo · G · bt
42033
7146.510/1·11.107.2·7.20
Betfair Exchange · -35% vs fair
All 21 books ▾
8
J: Jack Nicholls(3) · T: Adrian Nicholls · draw 10 · combo 2/19 (11%)
4yo · G · bOn last winning markD
331700
6844.822/1·24.0522·22.00
Matchbook · -8% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
7
J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Paul Midgley · draw 4 · combo 0/13 (0%)
6yo · G · bpOnly pairing
978056
6944.76/1·6.944·4.00
Matchbook · -42% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
2
J: Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) · T: Julie Camacho · draw 11 · combo 3/28 (11%)
8yo · G · bpOnly runner
37158
7341.840/1·42.5640·40.00
Matchbook · -6% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
10
J: Joanna Mason · T: Michael & David Easterby · draw 14 · combo 7/88 (8%)
6yo · M · b
13655
6741.216/1·17.5811·11.00
Matchbook · -37% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
4
J: Andrew Mullen · T: Rebecca Menzies · draw 9 · combo 0/6 (0%)
3yo · G · grClass dropOnly runner
505108
7339.922/1·24.0519·19.00
Matchbook · -21% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
14
J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 1 · combo 20/214 (9%)
7yo · G · btbClass dropC&D
122740
6239.518/1·18.5012·12.00
Matchbook · -35% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
13
J: Dougie Costello · T: Mark Walford · draw 2
3yo · F · bOnly ride
104067
6634.528/1·31.4625·25.00
Matchbook · -20% vs fair
All 29 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 8–29 bookmakers per horse with the 85% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Constant Security Handicap Stakes?

The Constant Security Handicap Stakes is off at 15:55 on 30 August 2026 at Beverley (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 15:55 Beverley?

5f, Class 5, Flat, 12 runners declared.

What is the going for the 15:55 Beverley?

Going is reported as Heavy on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 15:55 Beverley?

The AI top-rated runner is Military Girl (score 56.1, best price 25.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 15:55 Beverley?

The market favourite is Managing Director at a best price of 3.75. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Military Girl.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org