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RacingAlpha

16:42 Kilbeggan

Ireland

Séan Daly Memorial Handicap Hurdle

2m · Hurdle · Good To Yielding · 9 runners · €12,000 · Friday, 4 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd
  1. 1st
    My Trump Card (IRE)
    Alex Harvey·John C McConnell
    20/1·21.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Hopeful Hero (IRE)
    Donagh Meyler·T Hogan·beaten .5 lengths
    3/1·4.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Hopes Are High (IRE)AI top pick · 75.0
    Philip Byrnes·William Durkan·beaten 2.25 lengths
    11/1·12.00
    SP
Race time
3m 48.20s

Race time recorded.

In-running (My Trump Card (IRE))

Held up at the back - urged forward and last of the field two out - made ground into 3rd with work still needed at the last - improved into 2nd inside the final furlong - powered home to get up on the line

Settled · 1pt level stake = 11.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

v1.12.49 score
Cocofred
4.50Matchbook

segment +7.7% · Hurdle · Good To Yielding ·

Each-way57.5/100 rating
Speisialta
8.20Smarkets

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Splashing Out

Splashing Out arrives here on a progressive profile that gives reason to believe the bare figures do not yet tell the full story, and at a galloping track over sixteen furlongs on good ground there is every chance connections see this as the right opportunity to take another step forward. My Trump Card and Hopes Are High head the field on paper and cannot be dismissed lightly, while Migdam also poses a genuine threat just a pound or so behind them, so this is far from straightforward. That said, the progressive angle is precisely the kind of edge that makes a three-pound deficit to the top-rated pair less daunting than it might look, and the confidence to prefer a horse on the way up over more exposed rivals is the crux of the case here. Splashing Out is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Hopes Are High

Philip Byrnes · William Durkan · 4yo

Top-rated of 10
score 75.0 · +4.1 clear of next best (70.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    37d since last run (fresh)
  • Form20% weight
    83very strong
    Last 6: 1-3-1-2
  • Ratings50% weight
    83very strong
    OR 124 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    43small sample (n=6)
    William Durkan: 1/6 winners last 14d (17%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
MarketBest price 15.00 (Matchbook) · 3rd in the market of 10.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
16
J: Alex Harvey · T: John C McConnell · draw 0
8yo · G · b
60068
11351.7
20/1·21.00
SP
27
J: Donagh Meyler · T: T Hogan · draw 0
5yo · G · bh
33103
11054.1
3/1·4.00
SP
31
J: Philip Byrnes · T: William Durkan · draw 0
4yo · G · g
1312
12475.0
11/1·12.00
SP
410
6yo · G · b
70906
9841.4
15/2·8.50
SP
52
J: Peter Smithers(5) · T: Eoin Griffin · draw 0
8yo · M · bb
73101
12062.5
8/1·9.00
SP
68
J: Mr R Sugrue(7) · T: P J Rothwell · draw 0
5yo · G · b
37021
11063.7
17/2·9.50
SP
75
7yo · G · b
518
11453.2
33/1·34.00
SP
89
J: J J Slevin · T: John Patrick Ryan · draw 0
6yo · M · b
5U6910
10549.4
11/2·6.50
SP
94
5yo · G · b
5741
11770.9
9/4F·3.25
SP
6yo · M · bht
4R012
11857.5

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:42 Kilbeggan on 4 September 2026?

My Trump Card (IRE) won the 16:42 Kilbeggan at SP 21.00. Ridden by Alex Harvey. Trained by John C McConnell.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:42 Kilbeggan?

No — the AI top pick (Hopes Are High) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 16:42 Kilbeggan?

Top finishers: 1. My Trump Card (IRE) (21.00), 2. Hopeful Hero (IRE) (4.00), 3. Hopes Are High (IRE) (12.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:42 Kilbeggan?

The winning time was 3m 48.20s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org