16:30 Lingfield (AW)

Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Handicap Stakes

6f · Flat · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners · £3,245 · Thursday, 20 August 2026

Compare all prices

E/W terms3 places at 1/4 odds (12 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Fuseboard

No. 11 · score 50.1 · +1.2 clear of next best · best 9/1·10.50

Best value vs consensus

Solar Phoenix

55·55.00 Matchbook · +17% vs fair (consensus 46.85)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 30 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Model testThis race is on v1.0's public test card: Fuseboard advised 11/1·12.00 (Matchbook), frozen at publication — win or lose, it stays on the ledger.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way50.1/100 rating

Fuseboard

10.50Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Dark MandateDiffers from our pick

Dark Mandate rates narrowly below the top three on paper but is preferred here on the strength of a progressive profile that suggests there is more to come over this Lingfield six furlongs, making the raw ratings something of an underestimate of current ability. Royal County Glory heads those figures and cannot be dismissed, while Apex Star and King Cherry represent the most likely threats in what is a competitive eleven-runner Class 6 affair. Dark Mandate is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Fuseboard

Joey Haynes · Chelsea Banham · 3yo

Top-rated of 12

score 50.1 · +1.2 clear of next best (48.9)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
85very strong
44d since last run (fresh)
Trainer20% weight
63small sample (n=4)
Chelsea Banham: 1/4 winners last 14d (25%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
Form20% weight
50average
Last 6: 7-0-6-4-1
Ratings50% weight
38below average
OR 57

MarketBest price 10.50 (Betfair Exchange) · 6th in the market of 12.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: 4 confirmed front-runners — expect a pace duel; closers from the rear advantaged.

Front-runners(4)
1Reality Queen 8Mister Moet 9King Cherry 12Apex Star
Prominent(3)
2Royal County Glory 7Pennine Way Love Alive
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(2)
3Mayfair Market 10Lieutenant Sir
Unknown(3)
5Dark Mandate 6Solar Phoenix 11Fuseboard

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Lingfield (AW) 6f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)

IV 0.96

Mid (5–8)

IV 1.03

High (9–12)

IV 1.02

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 290 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
11	FuseboardPick J: Joey Haynes · T: Chelsea Banham · draw 11 · combo 6/34 (18%) 3yo · G · bOnly rideOnly runner	70641	9-05	57	—	—	50.1	10/1·11.02	10.5·10.50 Betfair Exchange · -5% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Betfair Exchange10.5·10.50Smarkets10.5·10.50Matchbook10.5·10.50SmarketsSBK9/1·10.00Betfair Sportsbook17/2·9.50Spreadex8/1·9.00 Paddy Power8/1·9.00 SportingIndex8/1·9.00 Betfred15/2·8.50 BetMGM15/2·8.50 Quinn Bet15/2·8.50 William Hill15/2·8.50 BetWright7/1·8.00 10 Bet7/1·8.00 7Bet7/1·8.00 Star Sports7/1·8.00 BetTom7/1·8.00 Midnite7/1·8.00 Unibet7/1·8.00 BresBet7/1·8.00 Dragon Bet7/1·8.00 LiveScore Bet13/2·7.50Virgin Bet13/2·7.50Bet36513/2·7.50 Boyle Sports13/2·7.50 Coral6/1·7.00 Ladbrokes6/1·7.00 talkSPORT BET11/2·6.50 Betano11/2·6.50 Bet Victor11/2·6.50
—	Love Alive J: David Probert · T: John Butler · draw 12 3yo · F · bOnly pairing	963035	9-07	59	—	—	48.9	12/1·13.78	9/1·10.00 Star Sports · -27% vs fair All 9 books ▾ Star Sports9/1·10.00 Coral9/1·10.00 Ladbrokes9/1·10.00Betfair Sportsbook9/1·10.00Paddy Power9/1·10.00 7Bet15/2·8.50Smarkets7.8·7.80BetMGM13/2·7.50Matchbook5.1·5.10
3	Mayfair Market J: Millie Wonnacott(5) · T: S Woods · draw 8 3yo · F · btbFT TB	56897	9-07	59	—	—	46.8	22/1·23.42	36·36.00 Matchbook · +54% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook36·36.00SmarketsSBK33/1·34.00Smarkets34·34.00Betfair Exchange27·27.00 Bet36520/1·21.00 SportingIndex18/1·19.00 BetMGM18/1·19.00 Ladbrokes18/1·19.00 Midnite18/1·19.00 William Hill18/1·19.00 Coral18/1·19.00 Spreadex18/1·19.00 Dragon Bet16/1·17.00 Unibet16/1·17.00Betfair Sportsbook16/1·17.00BetTom16/1·17.00 BetWright16/1·17.00 Betfred16/1·17.00 BresBet16/1·17.00 7Bet16/1·17.00 Bet Victor14/1·15.00 LiveScore Bet14/1·15.00 Quinn Bet14/1·15.00 Star Sports14/1·15.00Virgin Bet14/1·15.00talkSPORT BET14/1·15.00 Paddy Power14/1·15.00 Betano14/1·15.00 Boyle Sports14/1·15.00 10 Bet14/1·15.00
8	Mister Moet J: Kieran O'Neill · T: Scott Dixon · draw 10 · combo 5/44 (11%) 3yo · G · bpOnly runner	106244	9-05	57	—	—	44.2	25/1·26.18	22·22.00 Matchbook · -16% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook22·22.00Betfair Sportsbook20/1·21.00BetMGM20/1·21.00 Betfair Exchange21·21.00Smarkets21·21.00William Hill20/1·21.00 Coral20/1·21.00 Ladbrokes20/1·21.00 SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00 BetWright18/1·19.00 Spreadex18/1·19.00 SportingIndex18/1·19.00 Star Sports18/1·19.00 Paddy Power18/1·19.00 LiveScore Bet18/1·19.00 Quinn Bet18/1·19.00Virgin Bet18/1·19.00BresBet18/1·19.00 Dragon Bet18/1·19.00 Boyle Sports18/1·19.00 7Bet18/1·19.00 Bet36518/1·19.00 BetTom18/1·19.00 Betano16/1·17.00 Midnite16/1·17.00 Unibet16/1·17.00 talkSPORT BET16/1·17.00 Betfred16/1·17.00 10 Bet16/1·17.00 Bet Victor16/1·17.00
1	Reality Queen J: Alistair Rawlinson · T: Michael Appleby · draw 3 · combo 2/29 (7%) 3yo · F · bClass dropDOnly rideOnly runner	77514	9-08	60	—	—	44.1	16/1·16.53	16.5·16.50 Matchbook All 30 books ▾ Matchbook16.5·16.50Betfair Exchange15.5·15.50 SmarketsSBK14/1·15.00Smarkets15·15.00Betfair Sportsbook12/1·13.00SportingIndex12/1·13.00 Quinn Bet12/1·13.00 William Hill12/1·13.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00 Unibet12/1·13.00 Betfred12/1·13.00 Coral12/1·13.00 BetMGM12/1·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00 10 Bet11/1·12.00 7Bet11/1·12.00 Bet36511/1·12.00Virgin Bet11/1·12.00LiveScore Bet11/1·12.00 Star Sports11/1·12.00 BetTom11/1·12.00 BetWright11/1·12.00 Boyle Sports11/1·12.00 BresBet11/1·12.00 Dragon Bet11/1·12.00 Paddy Power11/1·12.00 Midnite11/1·12.00 talkSPORT BET10/1·11.00 Bet Victor10/1·11.00 Betano10/1·11.00
2	Royal County Glory J: Jason Watson · T: Jack Jones · draw 7 · combo 1/5 (20%) 3yo · G · chOnly runner	43159	9-08	60	—	—	41.2	4/1·5.17	3/1·4.00 Coral · -23% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Coral3/1·4.00 William Hill3/1·4.00 Ladbrokes3/1·4.00Smarkets4·4.00Matchbook3.9·3.90Betfair Exchange3.85·3.85Betfair Sportsbook11/4·3.7510 Bet11/4·3.75 Midnite11/4·3.75 Star Sports11/4·3.75 Betfred11/4·3.75 Unibet11/4·3.75 Quinn Bet11/4·3.75 Bet36511/4·3.75 BetTom11/4·3.75 Paddy Power11/4·3.75 SmarketsSBK11/4·3.75 LiveScore Bet5/2·3.50 Boyle Sports5/2·3.50 Spreadex5/2·3.50Virgin Bet5/2·3.50talkSPORT BET5/2·3.50 Bet Victor5/2·3.50 BetMGM5/2·3.50 BetWright5/2·3.50 SportingIndex5/2·3.50 7Bet5/2·3.50 Dragon Bet12/5·3.40 BresBet12/5·3.40 Betano9/4·3.25
7	Pennine Way J: George Bass · T: Jack Channon · draw 4 · combo 6/41 (15%) 3yo · F · bOnly runner	67732	9-05	57	—	—	39.2	9/2·5.51	5·5.00 Betfair Exchange · -9% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Betfair Exchange5·5.00Matchbook4.8·4.80Smarkets4.8·4.80SportingIndex7/2·4.50 Spreadex7/2·4.50 SmarketsSBK7/2·4.50 Coral10/3·4.33 Ladbrokes10/3·4.33 Bet36510/3·4.33 William Hill10/3·4.33 BetMGM16/5·4.20 Dragon Bet3/1·4.00 Betfred3/1·4.00 BresBet3/1·4.00 10 Bet3/1·4.00 7Bet3/1·4.00 BetTom3/1·4.00 BetWright3/1·4.00 Midnite3/1·4.00 Quinn Bet3/1·4.00 Star Sports3/1·4.00 Unibet3/1·4.00 talkSPORT BET11/4·3.75 Betano11/4·3.75 Boyle Sports11/4·3.75Betfair Sportsbook11/4·3.75Paddy Power11/4·3.75 LiveScore Bet11/4·3.75 Bet Victor11/4·3.75Virgin Bet11/4·3.75
9	King Cherry J: Ryan Kavanagh(3) · T: Stuart Williams · draw 6 3yo · G · bt	75867	9-05	57	—	—	37.5	11/1·12.40	11·11.00 Matchbook · -11% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook11·11.00Bet36510/1·11.00Smarkets10.5·10.50William Hill9/1·10.00 SmarketsSBK9/1·10.00 BetMGM9/1·10.00 Coral9/1·10.00 Ladbrokes9/1·10.00 Betfair Exchange10·10.00 SportingIndex17/2·9.50 Unibet17/2·9.50 Betfred17/2·9.50 Spreadex17/2·9.50 Quinn Bet17/2·9.50Betfair Sportsbook8/1·9.00BresBet8/1·9.00 10 Bet8/1·9.00 BetWright8/1·9.00 Dragon Bet8/1·9.00 7Bet8/1·9.00 Midnite8/1·9.00 Paddy Power15/2·8.50 Boyle Sports15/2·8.50 Star Sports15/2·8.50Virgin Bet15/2·8.50BetTom15/2·8.50 LiveScore Bet15/2·8.50 Betano15/2·8.50 Bet Victor7/1·8.00 talkSPORT BET7/1·8.00
12	Apex Star J: Taylor Fisher · T: William Knight · draw 2 · combo 3/20 (15%) 3yo · G · b	337203	9-04	56	—	—	35.7	11/1·11.71	10·10.00 Betfair Exchange · -15% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Betfair Exchange10·10.00Matchbook10·10.00Smarkets9.8·9.80Coral17/2·9.50 Ladbrokes17/2·9.50 SportingIndex17/2·9.50 Spreadex17/2·9.50 BetMGM8/1·9.00 SmarketsSBK8/1·9.00 Unibet8/1·9.00 William Hill8/1·9.00 Star Sports8/1·9.00Betfair Sportsbook8/1·9.00BetTom15/2·8.50 Bet36515/2·8.50 BetWright15/2·8.50 Boyle Sports15/2·8.50 BresBet15/2·8.50 Midnite15/2·8.50 Quinn Bet15/2·8.50 Betfred15/2·8.50 10 Bet15/2·8.50 7Bet15/2·8.50 Dragon Bet15/2·8.50 Bet Victor7/1·8.00 Betano7/1·8.00 LiveScore Bet7/1·8.00Virgin Bet7/1·8.00Paddy Power7/1·8.00 talkSPORT BET7/1·8.00
5	Dark Mandate J: Charles Bishop · T: Eve Johnson Houghton · draw 1 · combo 13/117 (11%) 3yo · G · bhFT HOnly runner	55063	9-06	58	—	—	35.6	8/1·8.96	7.2·7.20 Matchbook · -20% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook7.2·7.20SmarketsSBK6/1·7.00 Betfred6/1·7.00 Betfair Exchange7·7.00Smarkets7·7.00William Hill6/1·7.00 Coral6/1·7.00 Ladbrokes6/1·7.00 Bet3656/1·7.00 BetMGM6/1·7.00 Spreadex11/2·6.50 Quinn Bet11/2·6.50Betfair Sportsbook11/2·6.50SportingIndex11/2·6.50 Star Sports11/2·6.50 BresBet11/2·6.50 Dragon Bet11/2·6.50 Midnite11/2·6.50 Unibet11/2·6.50 BetTom11/2·6.50 BetWright11/2·6.50 10 Bet11/2·6.50 7Bet11/2·6.50 Betano5/1·6.00 Paddy Power5/1·6.00 Boyle Sports5/1·6.00Virgin Bet5/1·6.00LiveScore Bet5/1·6.00 Bet Victor5/1·6.00 talkSPORT BET5/1·6.00
10	Lieutenant Sir J: William Cox · T: Archie Watson · draw 9 · combo 0/12 (0%) 3yo · G · bbFT BD	73106	9-05	57	—	—	34.6	50/1·46.85	46·46.00 Matchbook · -2% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook46·46.00Smarkets42·42.00SmarketsSBK40/1·41.00Betfair Sportsbook35/1·36.00BetTom33/1·34.00 BresBet33/1·34.00 Coral33/1·34.00 Quinn Bet33/1·34.00 Betfred33/1·34.00 Boyle Sports33/1·34.00 Dragon Bet33/1·34.00 Ladbrokes33/1·34.00 Midnite33/1·34.00 SportingIndex33/1·34.00 Spreadex33/1·34.00 10 Bet33/1·34.00 Star Sports33/1·34.00 Unibet33/1·34.00 William Hill33/1·34.00 Paddy Power33/1·34.00 7Bet30/1·31.00 BetWright28/1·29.00 Betano28/1·29.00 LiveScore Bet28/1·29.00 Bet36528/1·29.00 Bet Victor28/1·29.00Virgin Bet28/1·29.00talkSPORT BET28/1·29.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00 Betfair Exchange20·20.00
6	Solar Phoenix J: Dougie Costello · T: Roger Teal · draw 5 3yo · G · grbOnly pairing	55605	9-05	57	—	—	34.5	50/1·46.85	55·55.00 Matchbook · +17% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook55·55.00Smarkets48·48.00SmarketsSBK45/1·46.00 Coral40/1·41.00 Ladbrokes40/1·41.00 Paddy Power35/1·36.00 7Bet35/1·36.00Betfair Sportsbook35/1·36.00Boyle Sports33/1·34.00 Unibet33/1·34.00 William Hill33/1·34.00 SportingIndex33/1·34.00 Dragon Bet33/1·34.00 Midnite33/1·34.00 Quinn Bet33/1·34.00 Betfred33/1·34.00 BresBet33/1·34.00 BetTom33/1·34.00 BetWright33/1·34.00 Spreadex33/1·34.00 Star Sports33/1·34.00 10 Bet33/1·34.00 Bet36533/1·34.00Virgin Bet28/1·29.00LiveScore Bet28/1·29.00 Betfair Exchange27·27.00 Betano25/1·26.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00 talkSPORT BET25/1·26.00 Bet Victor25/1·26.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 9–30 bookmakers per horse with the 38% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Handicap Stakes?

The Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Handicap Stakes is off at 16:30 on 20 August 2026 at Lingfield (AW) (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 16:30 Lingfield (AW)?

6f, Class 6, Flat, 11 runners declared.

What is the going for the 16:30 Lingfield (AW)?

Going is reported as Standard on AW.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 16:30 Lingfield (AW)?

The AI top-rated runner is Fuseboard (score 50.1, best price 10.50). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 16:30 Lingfield (AW)?

The market favourite is Royal County Glory at a best price of 4.00. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Fuseboard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org