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Admiral Winning Line Handicap Stakes

1m2f · Flat · Class 5 · Standard · 9 runners · £3,978 · Thursday, 3 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 6th
  1. 1st
    Qitaal (GB)
    Connor Beasley·Charlie Johnston
    9/4F·3.25
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Mao Shang Wong (IRE)
    Mark Winn·David O'Meara·beaten 2 lengths
    11/1·12.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Amidst The Chaos (IRE)
    Rowan Scott·Nigel Tinkler·beaten .5 lengths
    5/1·6.00
    SP
Race time
2m 9.62s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Qitaal (GB))

settled midfield in the pack - moved through smoothly with three furlongs left and pushed to the front just inside the final furlong - drew clear easily in the closing stages to score

AI top-rated Shimmering Sands (score 57.3) finished 6th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 12.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

v1.12.43 score
Mwafaq
3.95Smarkets

segment +9.3% · Flat · Standard · Class 5

Each-way50.7/100 rating
Mwafaq
6.00LiveScore Bet

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Qitaal

Qitaal heads this nine-runner Class 5 contest over ten furlongs on the Newcastle all-weather on ratings, sitting narrowly ahead of Mao Shang Wong and Livonian, with Shimmering Sands a pound further back and also capable of making life difficult. The confidence here is tempered by the closeness of the field, and Mao Shang Wong in particular represents a genuine threat given just five pounds separates the quartet at the head of the assessments. That said, Qitaal's edge at the top of the ratings gives a slender but real reason to side with him, and on a surface that tends to reward consistent performers the call is to take him at face value. The selection is Qitaal.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Shimmering Sands

Billy Garritty · Michael & David Easterby · 7yo

Top-rated of 9
score 57.3 · +6.6 clear of next best (50.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    27d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    77strong
    Last 6: 3-4-1-1-3
  • Ratings50% weight
    50average
    OR 75 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    35below average
    Michael & David Easterby: 5/37 winners last 14d (14%)
MarketBest price 29.00 (LiveScore Bet) · 6th in the market of 9.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newcastle (AW) 1m2f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 0.94
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.07
High (7–9)
IV 1.01

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 165 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
16
J: Connor Beasley · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 8
7yo · G · chv
233465
7247.0
9/4F·3.25
SP
22
J: Mark Winn · T: David O'Meara · draw 6
4yo · G · b
810275
7447.1
11/1·12.00
SP
33
J: Rowan Scott · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 4
4yo · G · ch
212502
7445.1
5/1·6.00
SP
48
J: Andrew Mullen · T: Iain Jardine · draw 3
4yo · G · bv
58921
6849.4
5/1·6.00
SP
59
J: Kevin Stott · T: David O'Meara · draw 5
4yo · G · chp
882744
6843.5
7/1·8.00
SP
61
7yo · G · b
34113
7557.3
12/1·13.00
SP
74
Mwafaqv1.1
4yo · G · bp
521125
7350.7
100/30·4.33
SP
85
J: Ryan Sexton · T: Julie Camacho · draw 9
4yo · F · grb
13868
7333.9
50/1·51.00
SP
97
J: Shane Gray · T: F P Murtagh · draw 1
4yo · G · chtFirst after wind op
35000
7041.4
250/1·251.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:17 Newcastle (AW) on 3 September 2026?

Qitaal (GB) won the 14:17 Newcastle (AW) at SP 3.25. Ridden by Connor Beasley. Trained by Charlie Johnston.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:17 Newcastle (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Shimmering Sands) finished 6.

What were the placings in the 14:17 Newcastle (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Qitaal (GB) (3.25), 2. Mao Shang Wong (IRE) (12.00), 3. Amidst The Chaos (IRE) (6.00).

What was the winning time for the 14:17 Newcastle (AW)?

The winning time was 2m 9.62s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org