Who won the 15:45 Newcastle (AW) on 2 September 2026?
Bladey Lady (IRE) won the 15:45 Newcastle (AW) at SP 29.00. Ridden by Duran Fentiman. Trained by Tim Easterby.
15:45 Newcastle (AW)
Christmas Parties At Newcastle Racecourse Nursery Handicap Stakes
6f · Flat · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners · £3,245 · Wednesday, 2 September 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 11thRace report
- 1stBladey Lady (IRE)Duran Fentiman·Tim Easterby28/1·29.00SP
- 2ndClaret Time (GB)Alex Jary·Nigel Tinkler·beaten .75 lengths7/1·8.00SP
- 3rdYorkshire Dream (IRE)Andrew Mullen·Ben Haslam·beaten .5 lengths12/1·13.00SP
Race time
1m 13.18s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Bladey Lady (IRE))
“Raced with plenty of enthusiasm early - tracked the front rank before going on inside the final furlong - edge narrowed close home but held on for the win”
AI top-rated Johns Power (score 43.7) finished 11th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 8.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →v1.10.87 score
Secret Rival
5.80Matchbook
segment +7.8% · Flat · Standard · Class 6
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Eevee Star
Eevee Star and River Jordan share the joint-highest rating in this eleven-runner Class 6 sprint at Newcastle on the all-weather, but it is the progressive profile of our selection that tips the scales, suggesting there is more to come from a horse still moving in the right direction. River Jordan represents the most obvious threat as an equally-rated rival, while Secret Rival and Claret Time, both a few pounds behind on ratings, cannot be dismissed in a competitive heat at this level. This is a low-confidence call in a wide-open contest, but the upward trajectory makes Eevee Star the one to side with.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Johns Power
Joanna Mason · Roger Fell · 2yo
Top-rated of 11
score 43.7 · +2.9 clear of next best (40.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong20d since last run (race-fit window)
- Trainer20% weight55small sample (n=9)Roger Fell: 2/9 winners last 14d (22%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Ratings50% weight36below averageOR 54
- Form20% weight24weakLast 6: 0-6-4-7
MarketBest price 101.00 (Virgin Bet) · 10th in the market of 11.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Newcastle (AW) 6f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–4)
IV 1.02
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.88
High (9–11)
IV 1.09
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 571 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | J: Duran Fentiman · T: Tim Easterby · draw 7 2yo · F · b | 347 | 53 | 35.7 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 2 | 7 | J: Alex Jary(3) · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 1 2yo · G · bh | 578 | 56 | 30.2 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 3 | 11 | J: Andrew Mullen · T: Ben Haslam · draw 5 2yo · G · bpFT P | 5709 | 46 | 37.5 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 4 | 1 | J: P J McDonald · T: Edward Bethell · draw 9 2yo · F · chbFT B | 35587 | 60 | 40.3 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 5 | 3 | Secret Rivalv1.1 J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 8 2yo · F · b | 8677 | 59 | 40.8 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 6 | 6 | J: Jason Hart · T: Phillip Makin · draw 3 2yo · G · b | 757 | 57 | 37.0 | 15/2·8.50 SP |
| 7 | 4 | J: Conor Whiteley(5) · T: Phillip Makin · draw 2 2yo · F · b | 74205 | 58 | 39.9 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 8 | 5 | J: Barry McHugh · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 6 2yo · G · b | 577 | 58 | 37.3 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 9 | 8 | J: Oisin McSweeney · T: Tim Easterby · draw 4 2yo · G · bpFT P | 6759 | 54 | 36.3 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 10 | 2 | J: Tom Eaves · T: Craig Lidster · draw 10 2yo · F · ch | 563 | 59 | 38.0 | 3/1F·4.00 SP |
| 11 | 9 | J: Joanna Mason · T: Roger Fell · draw 11 2yo · C · b | 0647 | 54 | 43.7 | 17/2·9.50 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:45 Newcastle (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (Johns Power) finished 11.
What were the placings in the 15:45 Newcastle (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Bladey Lady (IRE) (29.00), 2. Claret Time (GB) (8.00), 3. Yorkshire Dream (IRE) (13.00).
What was the winning time for the 15:45 Newcastle (AW)?
The winning time was 1m 13.18s.
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