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Bettingsites.co.uk Handicap Stakes

1m4f · Flat · Class 5 · Standard · 7 runners · £3,978 · Thursday, 3 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Mr Moonshine (IRE)
    Callum Rodriguez·Richard & Peter Fahey
    100/30·4.33
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Roker Roar (IRE)AI top pick · 56.7
    Callum Hutchinson·Andrew Balding·beaten 2 lengths
    15/2·8.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Al Maslool (GB)
    Darragh Keenan·William Haggas·beaten .5 lengths
    9/1·10.00
    SP
Race time
2m 34.73s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Mr Moonshine (IRE))

Held up at the back early - progress into contention 3f out - up to third and driven approaching 2f out - hit front inside final furlong and pulled clear to win

Settled · 1pt level stake = 7.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way56.7/100 rating
Roker Roar
11.00Virgin Bet

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Much

Much has been showing a progressive profile that sets him apart from rivals rated similarly on paper, and over this extended trip on the Southwell Fibresand there is reason to believe he can continue that upward curve. Al Maslool sits narrowly ahead on ratings and represents the most obvious threat, while Grand Pier and Mr Moonshine are closely matched and cannot be discounted in what looks a competitive little heat. The confidence here is modest and any one of the main dangers could reverse the form on the day, but the progressive case for Much makes him the pick, and he is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Roker Roar

Callum Hutchinson · Andrew Balding · 3yo

Top-rated of 7
score 56.7 · +0.3 clear of next best (56.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    21d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    61average
    Last 6: 7-4-3-3-2
  • Trainer20% weight
    53average
    Andrew Balding: 12/56 winners last 14d (21%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    48below average
    OR 72 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketBest price 11.00 (Virgin Bet) · 2nd in the market of 7.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Southwell (AW) 1m4f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 1.05
Mid (4–5)
IV 1.08
High (6–7)
IV 0.88

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 208 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
15
3yo · G · gr
45233
6649.2
100/30·4.33
SP
21
3yo · G · b
74332
7256.7
15/2·8.50
SP
34
J: Darragh Keenan · T: William Haggas · draw 4
3yo · G · grb
502314
6853.8
9/1·10.00
SP
43
J: Luke Morris · T: S Woods · draw 6
3yo · G · b
6540
7047.1
50/1·51.00
SP
52
J: Billy Loughnane · T: James Fanshawe · draw 2
3yo · G · bt
87424
7156.2
6/4F·2.50
SP
66
J: Harry Russell · T: Antony Brittain · draw 3
3yo · C · bv
5547
6236.4
80/1·81.00
SP
77
J: Harry Vigors(5) · T: Warren Greatrex · draw 1
3yo · G · b
40621
6256.4
11/4·3.75
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:35 Southwell (AW) on 3 September 2026?

Mr Moonshine (IRE) won the 17:35 Southwell (AW) at SP 4.33. Ridden by Callum Rodriguez. Trained by Richard & Peter Fahey.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:35 Southwell (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Roker Roar) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 17:35 Southwell (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Mr Moonshine (IRE) (4.33), 2. Roker Roar (IRE) (8.50), 3. Al Maslool (GB) (10.00).

What was the winning time for the 17:35 Southwell (AW)?

The winning time was 2m 34.73s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org