Who won the 15:47 Haydock on 4 September 2026?
Boston Dan (IRE) won the 15:47 Haydock at SP 15.00. Ridden by David Allan. Trained by Tim Easterby.
15:47 Haydock
Aesterius At Bearstone Stud Handicap Stakes
5f · Flat · Class 4 · Heavy · 11 runners · £5,757 · Friday, 4 September 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 3rdRace report
- 1stBoston Dan (IRE)David Allan·Tim Easterby14/1·15.00SP
- 2ndMighty Magnus (IRE)Connor Beasley·Michael Dods·beaten 1.25 lengths9/1·10.00SP
- 3rdChangeofmind (IRE)AI top pick · 56.5Zak Wheatley·Declan Carroll·beaten 0.3 lengths14/1·15.00SP
Race time
1m 4.21s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Boston Dan (IRE))
“Squeezed for space early - settled midfield - short of room approaching final two furlongs and shifted route left inside the last - finished strongly to hit front close home - won”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 14.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →v1.12.55 score
Changeofmind
14.50Smarkets
segment +22.5% · Flat · Heavy · Class 4
Each-way55.8/100 rating
Creative Queen
9.00SmarketsSBK
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Spoof
Spoof holds a progressive profile that makes the narrow ratings deficit to Jer Batt less significant than it might appear on paper, and in soft ground over five furlongs at Haydock there is every reason to believe there is more to come from this improving sprinter. Jer Batt, narrowly ahead on ratings, and Mighty Magnus a pound further back, both represent the most obvious dangers alongside Boston Dan, who shares the same figure as our selection and cannot be dismissed on a soft surface. The confidence is measured rather than absolute, but the upward trajectory here looks the most compelling factor in the race, and Spoof is the selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Changeofmind
Zak Wheatley · Declan Carroll · 6yo
Top-rated of 12
score 56.5 · +0.7 clear of next best (55.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong15d since last run (race-fit window)
- Trainer20% weight55small sample (n=9)Declan Carroll: 2/9 winners last 14d (22%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Ratings50% weight55averageOR 82 — highest combined rating in the field
- Form20% weight41below averageLast 6: 0-1-8-7-6-2
MarketBest price 22.00 (Betfair Exchange) · 9th in the market of 12.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Haydock 5f
full course data →Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.22).
Low (1–4)
IV 1.22
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.71
High (9–12)
IV 1.02
Today: Changeofmind (draw 4) and Creative Queen (draw 3) get the bias; Parisiac (draw 8) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 114 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 5 3yo · C · btFT T | 000470 | 77 | 44.1 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 2 | 3 | J: Connor Beasley · T: Michael Dods · draw 11 3yo · G · b | 315350 | 81 | 49.0 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 3 | 1 | Changeofmindv1.1 J: Zak Wheatley · T: Declan Carroll · draw 4 6yo · G · ch | 018762 | 82 | 56.5 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 4 | 12 | J: Darragh Keenan · T: Jennie Candlish · draw 7 5yo · G · bp | 04778 | 71 | 38.9 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 5 | 4 | J: Callum Rodriguez · T: David & Nicola Barron · draw 1 6yo · G · ch | 77334 | 80 | 45.9 | 11/4F·3.75 SP |
| 6 | 11 | J: Cieren Fallon · T: William Haggas · draw 3 3yo · F · bb | 217732 | 73 | 55.8 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 7 | 5 | J: William Pyle · T: Ruth Carr · draw 9 5yo · G · b | 530513 | 79 | 49.1 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 8 | 2 | J: Clifford Lee · T: Tony Carroll · draw 10 6yo · M · ch | 82134 | 81 | 52.9 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 9 | 10 | J: David Nolan · T: Paul Midgley · draw 12 5yo · G · ch | 572057 | 72 | 43.1 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 10 | 8 | J: Jack Mitchell · T: Kevin & Lauren Frost · draw 2 11yo · G · b | 48718 | 77 | 43.1 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 11 | 6 | J: Alistair Rawlinson · T: Michael Appleby · draw 6 9yo · G · b | 14202 | 78 | 47.9 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Shay Farmer(5) · T: Iain Jardine · draw 8 7yo · G · bp | 12208 | 77 | 47.9 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:47 Haydock?
No — the AI top pick (Changeofmind) finished 3.
What were the placings in the 15:47 Haydock?
Top finishers: 1. Boston Dan (IRE) (15.00), 2. Mighty Magnus (IRE) (10.00), 3. Changeofmind (IRE) (15.00).
What was the winning time for the 15:47 Haydock?
The winning time was 1m 4.21s.
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