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18:40 Wolverhampton (AW)

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

1m½f · Flat · Class 4 · Standard · 6 runners · £5,400 · Friday, 29 May 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Flagpole (IRE)
    Billy Loughnane·John & Thady Gosden
    10/1·11.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Always Happy (IRE)AI top pick · 63.5
    Rowan Scott·Roger Varian·beaten 3 lengths
    2/1·3.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Hatour (IRE)
    Robert Havlin·John & Thady Gosden·beaten 1 length
    11/2·6.50
    SP
Race time
1m 50.53s+4.23s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

In-running (Flagpole (IRE))

“Towards rear - headway over 2f out - ridden to lead over 1f out - soon ran green and hung right - readily”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →
v1.1-0.38 score
Hatour
8.20Betfair Exchange

segment +6.3% · Flat · Standard · Class 4

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Hatour

Preference is for HATOUR who shaped as though this step up in trip would suit her very well when third at Lingfield.

Forecast 7/4 Always Happy, 3/1 Hollywell Stream, 7/2 Hatour, 6/1 Flagpole, 10/1 Venetian Sky, 12/1 Moonlit Surf

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Always Happy

Rowan Scott · Roger Varian · 3yo

Top-rated of 6
score 63.5 · +4.3 clear of next best (59.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    17d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    85very strong
    Last 6: 1-2
  • Trainer20% weight
    53average
    Roger Varian: 7/33 winners last 14d (21%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    52average
    OR 87 · RPR 93 · TS 53
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Wolverhampton (AW) 1m½f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–2)
IV 0.96
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.12
High (5–6)
IV 0.94

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 771 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
12
Flagpole
J: Billy Loughnane · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 1
3yo · F · b
4
—51.2
10/1·11.00
SP
21
Always Happy
J: Rowan Scott · T: Roger Varian · draw 2
3yo · F · b
12
8763.5
2/1·3.00
SP
33
Hatourv1.1
J: Robert Havlin · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 4
3yo · F · ch
43
—59.2
11/2·6.50
SP
46
Venetian Sky
J: Clifford Lee · T: William Haggas · draw 6
3yo · F · ch
03
—54.3
25/1·26.00
SP
55
Moonlit Surf
J: Callum Rodriguez · T: Owen Burrows · draw 3
3yo · F · b
66
—42.8
33/1·34.00
SP
64
Hollywell Stream
J: Oisin Murphy · T: Jane Chapple-Hyam · draw 5
3yo · F · b
2
—52.8
EvensF·2.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 18:40 Wolverhampton (AW) on 29 May 2026?

Flagpole (IRE) won the 18:40 Wolverhampton (AW) at SP 11.00. Ridden by Billy Loughnane. Trained by John & Thady Gosden.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:40 Wolverhampton (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Always Happy) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 18:40 Wolverhampton (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Flagpole (IRE) (11.00), 2. Always Happy (IRE) (3.00), 3. Hatour (IRE) (6.50).

What was the winning time for the 18:40 Wolverhampton (AW)?

The winning time was 1m 50.53s, 4.23s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org