What time is the Bettingsites.co.uk Betting Sites Reviewed Fillies' Handicap Stakes?
The Bettingsites.co.uk Betting Sites Reviewed Fillies' Handicap Stakes is off at 20:30 on 3 October 2026 at Southwell (AW) (Great Britain).
20:30 Southwell (AW)
Bettingsites.co.uk Betting Sites Reviewed Fillies' Handicap Stakes
1m6f · Flat · Class 5 · Standard · 5 runners · £4,397 · Saturday, 3 October 2026
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Best value vs consensus
No book currently stands out from the market consensus in this race. Prices refresh every few minutes.
Model testThis race is on v1.0's public test card: Shopaholic advised 9/4·3.15 (Matchbook), frozen at publication — win or lose, it stays on the ledger.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →v1.13.98 score
Shopaholic
3.10Matchbook
segment +9.3% · Flat · Standard · Class 5
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: ShopaholicAgrees with our pick
Shopaholic is our selection here, and her progressive profile makes her the one to side with even though Thankyou Baroness is a single pound better on our figures. That gap is tiny, and a progressive runner may bridge it over 14 furlongs on the Southwell sand. Thankyou Baroness is the chief danger as the top-rated runner, while Kindly Queen is only three pounds behind our pick and Blue Tulip cannot be ignored in a five-runner field. This looks a tight contest, but Shopaholic's improving profile gives her the edge, so she is the selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Shopaholic
Donagh Murphy(5) · Jack Jones · 4yo
Top-rated of 5
score 58.9 · +8.0 clear of next best (51.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong15d since last run (race-fit window)
- Trainer20% weight78strongJack Jones: 4/13 winners last 14d (31%)
- Form20% weight57averageLast 6: 7-9-2-3-6-1
- Ratings50% weight44below averageOR 66 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Pace map
inferred from last 6 runsShape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.
- Front-runners(0)—
- Prominent(2)
- Mid-division(1)
- Hold-up / closers(1)
- Unknown(1)
Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.
Draw bias — Southwell (AW) 1m6f
full course data →Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.16).
Low (1–2)
IV 0.84
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.16
High (5–5)
IV 1.03
Today: Astrid (draw 4) and Blue Tulip (draw 3) get the bias; Shopaholic (draw 2) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 117 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by AI score
| No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | Best | Add to betslip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J: Donagh Murphy(5) · T: Jack Jones · draw 2 4yo · F · bGoing 1/4Only runner | 792361 | 66 | 58.9 | — | |
| 3 | J: Darragh Keenan · T: James Horton · draw 4 3yo · F · bClass dropOnly runner | 732 | 65 | 51.0 | — | |
| 4 | J: Jack Doughty · T: William Muir & Chris Grassick · draw 3 3yo · F · bGoing 1/5Only pairing | 566132 | 58 | 42.7 | — | |
| 2 | 5yo · M · bOnly runner | 48068 | 65 | 34.3 | — | |
| 5 | J: Christian Howarth(3) · T: Christopher Kellett · draw 1 3yo · F · bpOnly runner | 253979 | 58 | 33.6 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
What is the field size and distance of the 20:30 Southwell (AW)?
1m6f, Class 5, Flat, 5 runners declared.
What is the going for the 20:30 Southwell (AW)?
Going is reported as Standard on AW.
What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 20:30 Southwell (AW)?
The AI top-rated runner is Shopaholic (score 58.9). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.
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