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RacingAlpha

Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Classified Stakes (Div 2)

1m · Flat · Class 6 · Standard · 9 runners · £3,454 · Monday, 13 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 8th
  1. 1st
    Henfield (GB)
    David Probert·Karen Jewell
    7/2F·4.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Zaltalla (FR)
    Billy Loughnane·Michael Attwater·beaten 0.3 lengths
    9/2·5.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Freedom Bay (GB)
    Callum Hutchinson·Zoe Hawkins·beaten 0.3 lengths
    4/1·5.00
    SP
Race time
1m 39.36s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Henfield (GB))

tracked the pace - driven 2f out - eased right approaching the last - quickened to hit the front and drifted left inside the final furlong - asserted without being fully tested to the line

AI top-rated Masqool (score 44.4) finished 8th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 7.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way44.4/100 rating
Masqool
6.60Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Masqool

Masqool is clear of this field on our figures and is a straightforward selection for this Lingfield mile. Henfield and Turpin sit next best on our ratings and look his most likely dangers, with Zaltalla also capable of finishing in the frame, while Rainbow Sign, Conquest of Power, Freedom Bay and Launceston make up a competitive chasing group and Miss Gold trails a long way off the pace. The gap between Masqool and his chief rivals is not large, so confidence in the selection is only low, but he remains our pick.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Masqool

Dougie Costello · Tony Carroll · 8yo

Top-rated of 9
score 44.4 · +9.2 clear of next best (35.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    22d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    55average
    Tony Carroll: 10/45 winners last 14d (22%)
  • Form20% weight
    34weak
    Last 6: 9-8-3-4-8-4
  • Ratings50% weight
    33weak
    OR 50 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketBest price 6.60 (Betfair Exchange) · 3rd in the market of 9.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Lingfield (AW) 1m

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.15).

Low (1–3)
IV 0.77
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.11
High (7–9)
IV 1.15

Today: Masqool (draw 7) and Freedom Bay (draw 9) get the bias; Zaltalla (draw 1) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 408 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
18
J: David Probert · T: Karen Jewell · draw 4
3yo · F · bp
80982
4628.4
7/2F·4.50
SP
27
5yo · G · b
06948
4729.0
9/2·5.50
SP
32
J: Callum Hutchinson · T: Zoe Hawkins · draw 9
4yo · F · btp
45701
5033.8
4/1·5.00
SP
43
J: Rossa Ryan · T: Joe Ponting · draw 3
4yo · G · ch
24997
4728.0
18/1·19.00
SP
56
J: Pat Cosgrave · T: Jim Boyle · draw 8
4yo · G · blvFT V
05759
4926.7
4/1·5.00
SP
61
J: Paddy Bradley · T: Mark Usher · draw 6
6yo · G · chv
69384
4628.2
11/2·6.50
SP
75
8yo · G · bt
63542
4835.2
25/1·26.00
SP
84
J: Dougie Costello · T: Tony Carroll · draw 7
8yo · G · bp
983484
5044.4
7/1·8.00
SP
99
J: Jack Doughty · T: David Flood · draw 2
3yo · F · btb
809
3823.6
200/1·201.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 20:10 Lingfield (AW) on 13 July 2026?

Henfield (GB) won the 20:10 Lingfield (AW) at SP 4.50. Ridden by David Probert. Trained by Karen Jewell.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 20:10 Lingfield (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Masqool) finished 8.

What were the placings in the 20:10 Lingfield (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Henfield (GB) (4.50), 2. Zaltalla (FR) (5.50), 3. Freedom Bay (GB) (5.00).

What was the winning time for the 20:10 Lingfield (AW)?

The winning time was 1m 39.36s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org