14:02 Southwell (AW)

Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Handicap

1m · Flat · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners · £4,711 · Sunday, 5 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 9th

1st
Kalokalo (IRE)
Jason Watson·Charles Hills
3/1F·4.00
SP
2nd
Lightning Glory (IRE)
Callum Rodriguez·Simon & Ed Crisford·beaten 2.25 lengths
7/1·8.00
SP
3rd
Lillie Margot (GB)
Jack Garritty·Jedd O'Keeffe·beaten 2 lengths
9/1·10.00
SP

Race time

1m 41.19s+3.09s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

AI top-rated Cliff Danger (score 59.8) finished 9th.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 16.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

v1.10.70 score

Lightning Glory

11.00Bet365

segment +9.3% · Flat · Standard · Class 5

Each-way56.7/100 rating

Lightning Glory

10.50Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Kalokalo

Kalokalo has been progressive in recent starts and was unfortunate last time, going second after committing to the lead too early; the shorter distance today should play into his hands and he is clear of the field on our ratings. Areti and Lillie Margot — both capable of better — are the chief dangers, but Kalokalo is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Cliff Danger

Kieran O'Neill · Pam Sly · 3yo

Top-rated of 14

score 59.8 · +2.9 clear of next best (57.0)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Trainer20% weight
100small sample (n=1)
Pam Sly: 1/1 winners last 14d (100%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
Freshness10% weight
100very strong
17d since last run (race-fit window)
Ratings50% weight
49below average
OR 74
Form20% weight
26weak
Last 6: 6-4-7

MarketBest price 17.50 (Betfair Exchange) · 9th in the market of 14.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Southwell (AW) 1m

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–5)

IV 0.96

Mid (6–10)

IV 1.04

High (11–14)

IV 1.01

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 587 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	7	Kalokalo J: Jason Watson · T: Charles Hills · draw 7 3yo · C · ch	42312	9-06	72	—	—	55.1	3/1F·4.00 SP
2	10	Lightning Gloryv1.1 J: Callum Rodriguez · T: Simon & Ed Crisford · draw 9 3yo · F · ch	434	9-05	71	—	—	56.7	7/1·8.00 SP
3	6	Lillie Margot J: Jack Garritty · T: Jedd O'Keeffe · draw 14 3yo · F · b/br	37721	9-07	73	—	—	45.5	9/1·10.00 SP
4	1	Areti J: Lewis Edmunds · T: Oliver Cole · draw 5 3yo · F · bt	62252	9-09	75	—	—	53.3	10/1·11.00 SP
5	2	Constant Star J: Jack Callan(3) · T: Tom Clover · draw 8 3yo · F · b	218	9-08	74	—	—	52.9	33/1·34.00 SP
6	11	Paranjape J: David Egan · T: S Woods · draw 6 3yo · G · br	15274	9-03	69	—	—	55.5	11/1·12.00 SP
7	14	Just A Gambler J: Rob Hornby · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 4 3yo · G · b	383445	8-12	64	—	—	42.4	7/1·8.00 SP
8	9	Decem Starr J: Jason Hart · T: Jack Jones · draw 10 3yo · G · bp	25440	9-06	72	—	—	38.5	14/1·15.00 SP
9	4	Cliff Danger J: Kieran O'Neill · T: Pam Sly · draw 2 3yo · G · b	647	9-08	74	—	—	59.8	16/1·17.00 SP
10	8	Picture Palace J: Josephine Gordon · T: Simon & Ed Crisford · draw 13 3yo · G · chpFT P	2335	9-06	72	—	—	57.0	14/1·15.00 SP
11	5	Alpine Culture J: Oisin Orr · T: James Owen · draw 3 3yo · G · chpFT P	43364	9-08	74	—	—	52.8	5/1·6.00 SP
12	13	Lightening Lad J: Cam Hardie · T: Grant Tuer · draw 1 3yo · G · b	2479	9-00	66	—	—	51.2	66/1·67.00 SP
13	12	Sovereign Bay J: Jack Doughty · T: Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole · draw 12 3yo · G · btpFT TP	23445	9-03	69	—	—	42.8	22/1·23.00 SP
14	3	Pepsea J: Oliver Stammers · T: Grant Tuer · draw 11 3yo · G · b	2444	9-08	74	—	—	55.8	25/1·26.00 SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:02 Southwell (AW) on 5 July 2026?

Kalokalo (IRE) won the 14:02 Southwell (AW) at SP 4.00. Ridden by Jason Watson. Trained by Charles Hills.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:02 Southwell (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Cliff Danger) finished 9.

What were the placings in the 14:02 Southwell (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Kalokalo (IRE) (4.00), 2. Lightning Glory (IRE) (8.00), 3. Lillie Margot (GB) (10.00).

What was the winning time for the 14:02 Southwell (AW)?

The winning time was 1m 41.19s, 3.09s slower than standard.

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