Who won the 16:53 Wolverhampton (AW) on 14 July 2026?
Lady Magu (GB) won the 16:53 Wolverhampton (AW) at SP 4.00. Ridden by Ray Dawson. Trained by Roger Varian.
16:53 Wolverhampton (AW)
Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Fillies' Handicap Stakes
1m4f · Flat · Class 5 · Standard · 9 runners · £3,978 · Tuesday, 14 July 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 4thRace report
- 1stLady Magu (GB)Ray Dawson·Roger Varian3/1·4.00SP
- 2ndDesert Belle (GB)Luke Morris·Sir Mark Prescott Bt·beaten 3 lengths5/2F·3.50SP
- 3rdRose Cotton (GB)Jack Mitchell·Tom Clover·beaten 1.25 lengths7/2·4.50SP
Race time
2m 41.07s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Lady Magu (GB))
“travelled in rear - driven along over 2f out - bumped but stayed on powerfully over 1f out - made swift progress to hit the front inside the final furlong and pulled clear for an easy success”
AI top-rated Ghost Story (score 63.5) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 6.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Post Rider
Post Rider heads our figures on 82 for this Class 5 contest over a stiff twelve furlongs, making her the pick ahead of a well strung-out field. Rose Cotton (81) is closest on our figures and the obvious threat, with Ghost Story (76) and Sound Janet (74) also capable of running into the frame. Confidence is medium: the top two are separated by just a single pound, but Post Rider edges it as our highest-rated runner.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Ghost Story
Billy Loughnane · John Butler · 5yo
Top-rated of 9
score 63.5 · +5.0 clear of next best (58.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight100very strongJohn Butler: 6/12 winners last 14d (50%)
- Freshness10% weight85very strong40d since last run (fresh)
- Form20% weight65strongLast 6: 1-2-3-3-3
- Ratings50% weight44below averageOR 66
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Wolverhampton (AW) 1m4f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–3)
IV 0.96
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.12
High (7–9)
IV 0.94
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 771 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | J: Ray Dawson · T: Roger Varian · draw 9 3yo · F · ch | 551 | 75 | 58.5 | 3/1·4.00 SP |
| 2 | 9 | J: Luke Morris · T: Sir Mark Prescott Bt · draw 3 3yo · F · b | 2143 | 67 | 52.4 | 5/2F·3.50 SP |
| 3 | 1 | J: Jack Mitchell · T: Tom Clover · draw 4 4yo · F · ch | 71227 | 74 | 47.8 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 4 | 4 | J: Billy Loughnane · T: John Butler · draw 2 5yo · M · br | 12333 | 66 | 63.5 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 5 | 6 | J: Marco Ghiani · T: David Simcock · draw 8 3yo · F · b | 443 | 73 | 45.8 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 6 | 8 | J: Harry Davies · T: Simon & Ed Crisford · draw 5 3yo · F · ch | 7444 | 68 | 49.1 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 7 | 7 | J: Kaiya Fraser · T: Harry Eustace · draw 6 5yo · M · bh | 44676 | 58 | 38.1 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 8 | 2 | J: Cieren Fallon · T: Oliver Cole · draw 7 5yo · M · ch | 82735 | 73 | 52.9 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 9 | 3 | J: Ryan Sexton · T: Julie Camacho · draw 1 4yo · F · bpFT P | 22506 | 69 | 45.1 | 150/1·151.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:53 Wolverhampton (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (Ghost Story) finished 4.
What were the placings in the 16:53 Wolverhampton (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Lady Magu (GB) (4.00), 2. Desert Belle (GB) (3.50), 3. Rose Cotton (GB) (4.50).
What was the winning time for the 16:53 Wolverhampton (AW)?
The winning time was 2m 41.07s.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org