Who won the 17:45 Newcastle (AW) on 2 October 2026?
Noozhaa (GB) won the 17:45 Newcastle (AW) at SP 1.83. Ridden by Jack Mitchell. Trained by Roger Varian.
17:45 Newcastle (AW)
Aalberts Integrated Piping Systems Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)
1m · Flat · Class 4 · Standard · 6 runners · £5,400 · Friday, 2 October 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 3rdRace report
- 1stNoozhaa (GB)Jack Mitchell·Roger Varian5/6F·1.83SP
- 2ndAlways Sunny (IRE)Jason Hart·Simon & Ed Crisford·beaten .75 lengths11/2·6.50SP
- 3rdStar Mirage (USA)AI top pick · 52.2Daniel Tudhope·Hamad Al Jehani·beaten 1 length9/1·10.00SP
Race time
1m 40.68s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Noozhaa (GB))
“Sat just behind the pacesetters - urged on 2f out then edged ahead over 1f out - held on well to win”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 9.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →v1.13.53 score
Maneuver
3.00Quinn Bet
segment +6.3% · Flat · Standard · Class 4
Why the model rates this top
Star Mirage
Daniel Tudhope · Hamad Al Jehani · 3yo
Top-rated of 6
score 52.2 · +17.6 clear of next best (34.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong28d since last run (race-fit window)
- Ratings50% weight53averageOR 79 — highest combined rating in the field
- Form20% weight44below averageLast 6: 3-2-0-7-2
- Trainer20% weight35small sample (n=7)Hamad Al Jehani: 1/7 winners last 14d (14%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
MarketBest price 10.00 (Matchbook) · 4th in the market of 6.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Newcastle (AW) 1m
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–2)
IV 0.94
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.06
High (5–6)
IV 1.01
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 632 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | J: Jack Mitchell · T: Roger Varian · draw 1 3yo · F · ch | 2 | — | 34.6 | 5/6F·1.83 SP |
| 2 | 1 | J: Jason Hart · T: Simon & Ed Crisford · draw 6 3yo · F · b | — | — | 15.0 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 3 | 5 | J: Daniel Tudhope · T: Hamad Al Jehani · draw 2 3yo · F · bpFT P | 32072 | 79 | 52.2 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 4 | 6 | J: Connor Beasley · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 3 3yo · F · b | 2 | — | 32.1 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 5 | 2 | J: Greg Fairley · T: Donald Whillans · draw 5 3yo · F · b | 30 | — | 14.0 | 300/1·301.00 SP |
| UR | 3 | Maneuverv1.1 J: Robert Havlin · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 4 3yo · F · b | 23 | — | 27.7 | 3/1·4.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:45 Newcastle (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (Star Mirage) finished 3.
What were the placings in the 17:45 Newcastle (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Noozhaa (GB) (1.83), 2. Always Sunny (IRE) (6.50), 3. Star Mirage (USA) (10.00).
What was the winning time for the 17:45 Newcastle (AW)?
The winning time was 1m 40.68s.
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