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RacingAlpha

17:57 Kilbeggan

Ireland

Writech Handicap Hurdle

2m4f · Hurdle · Good · 14 runners · €17,670 · Friday, 10 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 6th
  1. 1st
    Paul's Dream (IRE)
    Harry Cobden·Anthony Mullins
    9/2·5.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Gameball (IRE)
    Darragh O'Keeffe·Henry De Bromhead·beaten 10 lengths
    4/1F·5.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Stede Bonnet (IRE)
    Danny Gilligan·Gordon Elliott·beaten 1.25 lengths
    8/1·9.00
    SP
Race time
4m 41.80s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Paul's Dream (IRE))

settled behind the pacesetter early - edged in front after the 1st - stretched the margin after the 2nd - stumbled a touch before 3 out - powered clear up the run-in for an untroubled win

AI top-rated Nelson Muntz (score 73.2) finished 6th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 7.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way72.3/100 rating
Thecompanysergeant
11.00William Hill
Place portion settles at 3.50 · 1/4 odds · 4 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Thecompanysergeant

Thecompanysergeant is our selection, preferred over the higher-rated Bottler'secret on a clear fitness edge after racing much more recently. The formful profile — a win last time out and experience over today's distance — backs up the case even though the figures alone don't put it on top. Bottler'secret, Harry Des Ongrais and Lisnamult Lad are the chief dangers, all sitting close behind on the book and each capable of running to a big number. Confidence in this opinion is low given how tightly the leading contenders are grouped.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Nelson Muntz

Alex Harvey · David Harry Kelly · 7yo

Top-rated of 18
score 73.2 · +0.9 clear of next best (72.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100small sample (n=3)
    David Harry Kelly: 2/3 winners last 14d (67%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    42d since last run (fresh)
  • Ratings50% weight
    77strong
    OR 115
  • Form20% weight
    32weak
    Last 6: 3-4-3-0-5
MarketBest price 23.00 (Bet365) · 12th in the market of 18.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
112
J: Harry Cobden · T: Anthony Mullins · draw 0
7yo · M · b
1F051
11656.8
9/2·5.50
SP
22
6yo · G · bh
1143
13269.0
4/1F·5.00
SP
35
J: Danny Gilligan · T: Gordon Elliott · draw 0
5yo · G · b
11302
12870.3
8/1·9.00
SP
415
J: Dylan Kidd(7) · T: John C McConnell · draw 0
9yo · G · bp
2P573
11459.0
8/1·9.00
SP
58
7yo · M · b
67631
12268.5
16/1·17.00
SP
613
J: Alex Harvey · T: David Harry Kelly · draw 0
7yo · G · bb
34305
11573.2
15/2·8.50
SP
710
9yo · G · b
P9PP0
11846.5
14/1·15.00
SP
81
9yo · G · bbFT B
P0P21
13572.3
10/1·11.00
SP
97
9yo · G · gr
3P07
12660.9
33/1·34.00
SP
104
J: Aidan Kelly · T: Gordon Elliott · draw 0
6yo · G · btpFT TP
3634F
12863.8
80/1·81.00
SP
1116
J: Sean O'Keeffe · T: Liz Doyle · draw 0
6yo · G · b
0160
11449.7
18/1·19.00
SP
PU3
J: Eoin Walsh · T: Ciaran Murphy · draw 0
5yo · G · b
6794
12956.0
50/1·51.00
SP
PU11
J: Daniel King · T: M A Molloy · draw 0
8yo · G · bp
9P151
11860.2
7/1·8.00
SP
PU14
7yo · G · b
435F1
11463.6
6/1·7.00
SP
J: Conor Stone-Walsh · T: Paul Nolan · draw 0
5yo · G · ch
12PP
12252.3
J: · T: P J Rothwell · draw 0
5yo · G · b
43015
11357.7
J: · T: Cian Collins · draw 0
5yo · G · b
31
11260.7
J: Patrick M O'Brien(5) · T: H Rogers · draw 0
6yo · G · b
12609
12755.5

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:57 Kilbeggan on 10 July 2026?

Paul's Dream (IRE) won the 17:57 Kilbeggan at SP 5.50. Ridden by Harry Cobden. Trained by Anthony Mullins.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:57 Kilbeggan?

No — the AI top pick (Nelson Muntz) finished 6.

What were the placings in the 17:57 Kilbeggan?

Top finishers: 1. Paul's Dream (IRE) (5.50), 2. Gameball (IRE) (5.00), 3. Stede Bonnet (IRE) (9.00).

What was the winning time for the 17:57 Kilbeggan?

The winning time was 4m 41.80s.

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