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Next · 9m19:00Wolverhampton (AW)

20:00 Southwell (AW)

Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Handicap (Div I)

7f · Flat · Class 6 · Standard · 9 runners · £3,664 · Thursday, 21 May 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 7/2·4.50
  1. 1st
    Fort Augustus (GB)AI top pick · 39.8
    Jason Watson·Charlie Wallis
    7/2·4.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Adelaide Bay (GB)
    Marco Ghiani·Jane Chapple-Hyam·beaten .5 lengths
    5/4F·2.25
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Amaysmont (GB)
    Ray Dawson·Kevin Frost·beaten .5 lengths
    5/1·6.00
    SP
Race time
1m 27.67s+2.77s vs std

Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.

In-running (Fort Augustus (GB))

“Midfield - switched to near side when ridden over 1f out - headway inside final furlong - led inside final 110yds - kept on well”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Adelaide Bay

Preference is for ADELAIDE BAY, who won three for this yard last spring, latterly off 8lb higher. Fort Augustus is second best.

Forecast 3/1 Fort Augustus, Adelaide Bay, 6/1 Amaysmont, Just King High, 7/1 Nubough, 8/1 Highfield Jewel, Billyjoegold, 33/1 My Mate Beattie, 50/1 Lil Wade

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Fort Augustus

Jason Watson · Charlie Wallis · 4yo

Top-rated of 9
score 39.8 · +4.7 clear of next best (35.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    14d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    49below average
    Last 6: 7-4-2-6-1-6
  • Ratings50% weight
    40below average
    OR 55 · RPR 71 · TS 53 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    0small sample (n=3)
    Charlie Wallis: 0/3 winners last 14d (0%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Southwell (AW) 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 0.96
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.04
High (7–9)
IV 1.01

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 587 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
13
Fort Augustus
J: Jason Watson · T: Charlie Wallis · draw 6
4yo · G · bhp
742616
5539.8
7/2·4.50
SP
25
Adelaide Bay
J: Marco Ghiani · T: Jane Chapple-Hyam · draw 5
4yo · G · b
69088
5230.7
5/4F·2.25
SP
32
Amaysmont
J: Ray Dawson · T: Kevin Frost · draw 8
9yo · G · b
48280
5532.1
5/1·6.00
SP
47
Just King High
J: Rhys Clutterbuck · T: Ross Burdon · draw 3
4yo · G · btp
92289
4735.1
9/2·5.50
SP
51
Nubough
J: Hollie Doyle · T: Mark Pattinson · draw 2
10yo · G · bt
50260
5532.2
16/1·17.00
SP
68
My Mate Beattie
J: Mikkel Mortensen(5) · T: Scott Dixon · draw 9
4yo · F · bb
40690
4631.9
33/1·34.00
SP
76
Billyjoegold
J: Joanna Mason · T: Ruth Carr · draw 4
4yo · G · ch
309
5031.9
25/1·26.00
SP
89
Lil Wade
J: Cam Hardie · T: Scott Dixon · draw 7
6yo · G · bv
88590
4631.8
100/1·101.00
SP
94
Highfield Jewel
J: Jonny Peate · T: Sara Ender · draw 1
4yo · F · b
646
5429.2
40/1·41.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 20:00 Southwell (AW) on 21 May 2026?

Fort Augustus (GB) won the 20:00 Southwell (AW) at SP 4.50. Ridden by Jason Watson. Trained by Charlie Wallis.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 20:00 Southwell (AW)?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Fort Augustus, won the race (AI score 39.8).

What were the placings in the 20:00 Southwell (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Fort Augustus (GB) (4.50), 2. Adelaide Bay (GB) (2.25), 3. Amaysmont (GB) (6.00).

What was the winning time for the 20:00 Southwell (AW)?

The winning time was 1m 27.67s, 2.77s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org