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1m4f · Flat · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runners · £3,454 · Monday, 13 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick was a non-runner
  1. 1st
    Sapphire Dream (IRE)
    Liam Wright·Charlie Clover
    11/4·3.75
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Make It Up (IRE)
    Marco Ghiani·William Knight·beaten 0.2 lengths
    2/1F·3.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Belle Of Kt (GB)
    Taylor Fisher·J S Moore·beaten 2 lengths
    15/2·8.50
    SP
Race time
2m 34.81s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Sapphire Dream (IRE))

settled towards the back - made progress under pressure 2f out - closed on the pacesetter approaching the furlong - fought out a prolonged battle in the last furlong - got up to win

Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.75 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

v1.11.91 score
Make It Up
5.80Betfair Exchange

segment +7.8% · Flat · Standard · Class 6

Each-way38.2/100 rating
Douglas Dc
13.00Coral
Place portion settles at 3.40 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Graffiti

Graffiti tops our figures for this Lingfield contest and gets the vote as our selection on that basis. Belle Of Kt and Smoker Bellamy sit right behind him on our ratings, with Charles Morin, Douglas Dc and Pablo Prince also close enough to feature, so this is anything but a one-horse race. Belle Of Kt and Smoker Bellamy in particular look the chief dangers to our selection. With the top six separated by only a handful of pounds on our figures, confidence in Graffiti holding sway is no better than low, but he remains our pick on merit.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Graffiti

Kieran Shoemark · Gary Brown · 7yo

Top-rated of 13
score 44.9 · +2.8 clear of next best (42.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    42d since last run (fresh)
  • Trainer20% weight
    63small sample (n=4)
    Gary Brown: 1/4 winners last 14d (25%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Form20% weight
    36below average
    Last 6: 0-4-3-5-5
  • Ratings50% weight
    33weak
    OR 50 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Lingfield (AW) 1m4f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.25).

Low (1–5)
IV 0.82
Mid (6–10)
IV 1.25
High (11–14)
IV 0.97

Today: Sapphire Dream (draw 7) and Belle Of Kt (draw 9) get the bias; Graffiti (draw 2) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 251 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
113
J: Liam Wright(5) · T: Charlie Clover · draw 7
3yo · G · ch
45832
4342.0
11/4·3.75
SP
211
J: Marco Ghiani · T: William Knight · draw 6
3yo · G · b
90335
4330.5
2/1F·3.00
SP
33
J: Taylor Fisher · T: J S Moore · draw 9
5yo · M · ch
231337
4836.7
15/2·8.50
SP
414
3yo · G · b
42076
4735.0
12/1·13.00
SP
56
J: Billy Loughnane · T: Tony Carroll · draw 3
8yo · G · bb
57975
4938.2
16/1·17.00
SP
68
J: David Probert · T: Karen Jewell · draw 14
8yo · G · b
246747
4728.4
28/1·29.00
SP
72
J: Rossa Ryan · T: Tony Carroll · draw 11
6yo · G · grt
88705
4532.5
50/1·51.00
SP
810
J: Jack Callan(3) · T: Dylan Cunha · draw 13
3yo · F · bp
07056
4531.8
22/1·23.00
SP
97
J: George Wood · T: Michael Madgwick · draw 12
4yo · G · bp
486076
4628.4
33/1·34.00
SP
104
J: Charles Bishop · T: Sheena West · draw 10
4yo · G · b
67069
4622.0
20/1·21.00
SP
115
J: Paddy Bradley · T: Pat Phelan · draw 5
5yo · G · bvFT V
42530
5032.2
7/2·4.50
SP
1212
J: Jude Fernandes(7) · T: Luke Dace · draw 1
3yo · G · bp
0008
4022.6
80/1·81.00
SP
139
J: Kieren Fox · T: Tony Carroll · draw 4
3yo · F · bpFT P
8869
4037.1
200/1·201.00
SP
J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Gary Brown · draw 2
7yo · G · bt
04355
5044.9

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 20:40 Lingfield (AW) on 13 July 2026?

Sapphire Dream (IRE) won the 20:40 Lingfield (AW) at SP 3.75. Ridden by Liam Wright. Trained by Charlie Clover.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 20:40 Lingfield (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Graffiti) was a non-runner or unplaced.

What were the placings in the 20:40 Lingfield (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Sapphire Dream (IRE) (3.75), 2. Make It Up (IRE) (3.00), 3. Belle Of Kt (GB) (8.50).

What was the winning time for the 20:40 Lingfield (AW)?

The winning time was 2m 34.81s.

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