Who won the 16:15 Lingfield (AW) on 6 July 2026?
Law Of Average (GB) won the 16:15 Lingfield (AW) at SP 7.00. Ridden by Joey Haynes. Trained by Chelsea Banham.
16:15 Lingfield (AW)
Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Handicap (Div 1)
5f · Flat · Class 4 · Standard · 8 runners · £5,339 · Monday, 6 July 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 2ndRace report
- 1stLaw Of Average (GB)Joey Haynes·Chelsea Banham6/1·7.00SP
- 2ndHavana Blast (GB)AI top pick · 58.4Daniel Muscutt·James Fanshawe·beaten 3.5 lengths3/1J·4.00SP
- 3rdSandscreendeliverd (GB)Pat Dobbs·Peter Crate·beaten .5 lengths6/1·7.00SP
Race time
57.44s+0.74s vs std
Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.
In-running (Law Of Average (GB))
“in front from the start - picked up to open a healthy advantage over 1f out - kept on for a comfortable success”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →v1.10.27 score
Nogo's Dream
5.30Betfair Exchange
segment +6.3% · Flat · Standard · Class 4
Each-way58.4/100 rating
Havana Blast
5.50Bet365
Place portion settles at 1.90 · 1/5 odds · 3 places
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Why the model rates this top
Havana Blast
Daniel Muscutt · James Fanshawe · 4yo
Top-rated of 9
score 58.4 · +0.4 clear of next best (58.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong18d since last run (race-fit window)
- Trainer20% weight58averageJames Fanshawe: 5/22 winners last 14d (23%)
- Ratings50% weight55averageOR 82
- Form20% weight48below averageLast 6: 6-0-2-3-4
MarketBest price 5.50 (Bet365) · 3rd in the market of 9.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Lingfield (AW) 5f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–3)
IV 0.96
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.03
High (7–9)
IV 1.02
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 290 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | J: Joey Haynes · T: Chelsea Banham · draw 8 5yo · G · b | 79113 | 81 | 50.7 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 2 | 2 | J: Daniel Muscutt · T: James Fanshawe · draw 3 4yo · G · grt | 60234 | 82 | 58.4 | 3/1J·4.00 SP |
| 3 | 8 | J: Pat Dobbs · T: Peter Crate · draw 5 4yo · G · b | 42259 | 71 | 41.5 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 4 | 6 | Nogo's Dreamv1.1 J: Oisin Murphy · T: Richard Hughes · draw 2 6yo · G · bp | 262526 | 77 | 50.0 | 3/1J·4.00 SP |
| 5 | 7 | J: Billy Loughnane · T: Charles Hills · draw 4 4yo · G · bt | 46244 | 76 | 53.5 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 6 | 5 | J: Sean Levey · T: Richard Hannon · draw 7 3yo · F · ch | 10552 | 83 | 54.0 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 7 | 9 | J: William Cox · T: Jim & Suzi Best · draw 6 6yo · G · b | 765746 | 71 | 35.4 | 125/1·126.00 SP |
| 8 | 1 | J: Luke Morris · T: Robert Cowell · draw 1 6yo · G · ch | 125671 | 87 | 58.0 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| — | — | J: · T: Michael Appleby · draw 9 8yo · G · cht | 71679 | 79 | 48.2 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:15 Lingfield (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (Havana Blast) finished 2.
What were the placings in the 16:15 Lingfield (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Law Of Average (GB) (7.00), 2. Havana Blast (GB) (4.00), 3. Sandscreendeliverd (GB) (7.00).
What was the winning time for the 16:15 Lingfield (AW)?
The winning time was 57.44s, 0.74s slower than standard.
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