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RacingAlpha

Syd Renwick 90th Birthday Handicap

2m · Flat · Class 6 · Standard · 9 runners · £3,454 · Monday, 6 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 9th
  1. 1st
    Home Secretary (GB)
    Luke Morris·Sir Mark Prescott Bt
    7/2·4.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Femme Fatale (GB)
    Hector Crouch·James Tate·beaten 4.25 lengths
    9/1·10.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    La Trinite (GB)
    Dougie Costello·Neil King·beaten 6.5 lengths
    9/1·10.00
    SP
Race time
3m 26.45s+7.75s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

In-running (Home Secretary (GB))

in front from the start - driven to open a healthy advantage over 2f out - under pressure over 1f out and though the margin shrank held on gamely to the line

AI top-rated Worlington (score 46.9) finished 9th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.62 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

v1.11.64 score
Artavian
9.00SmarketsSBK

segment +7.8% · Flat · Standard · Class 6

Each-way44.0/100 rating
Break Point
7.20Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Why the model rates this top

Worlington

Billy Loughnane · George Boughey · 3yo

Top-rated of 9
score 46.9 · +2.9 clear of next best (44.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Form20% weight
    72strong
    Last 6: 8-2-2-4-1
  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    7d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Ratings50% weight
    38below average
    OR 57 — above field median
  • Trainer20% weight
    33weak
    George Boughey: 4/31 winners last 14d (13%)
MarketBest price 1.85 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Lingfield (AW) 2m

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.23).

Low (1–3)
IV 0.81
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.23
High (7–9)
IV 1.00

Today: Break Point (draw 6) and Smith (draw 4) get the bias; Worlington (draw 1) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 61 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
17
3yo · G · bvFT V
67955
5938.7
7/2·4.50
SP
28
J: Hector Crouch · T: James Tate · draw 7
3yo · F · bh
64985
5738.7
9/1·10.00
SP
34
J: Dougie Costello · T: Neil King · draw 8
4yo · F · b
66692
5033.8
9/1·10.00
SP
43
J: Jude Fernandes(7) · T: Luke Dace · draw 6
6yo · G · b
23651
4644.0
4/1·5.00
SP
59
J: Tyler Heard · T: Sheena West · draw 5
3yo · G · ch
8698
4730.8
33/1·34.00
SP
61
J: David Probert · T: Patrick Chamings · draw 9
6yo · G · btv
99273
5636.8
12/1·13.00
SP
76
J: Robert Havlin · T: Lydia Richards · draw 4
10yo · G · chv
24859
4538.1
33/1·34.00
SP
82
J: William Carver · T: Richard J Bandey · draw 2
9yo · G · b
09630
5241.5
28/1·29.00
SP
95
J: Billy Loughnane · T: George Boughey · draw 1
3yo · G · chtp
82241
5746.9
13/8F·2.62
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:45 Lingfield (AW) on 6 July 2026?

Home Secretary (GB) won the 15:45 Lingfield (AW) at SP 4.50. Ridden by Luke Morris. Trained by Sir Mark Prescott Bt.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:45 Lingfield (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Worlington) finished 9.

What were the placings in the 15:45 Lingfield (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Home Secretary (GB) (4.50), 2. Femme Fatale (GB) (10.00), 3. La Trinite (GB) (10.00).

What was the winning time for the 15:45 Lingfield (AW)?

The winning time was 3m 26.45s, 7.75s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org