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Cavani Fashion Forward Handicap Stakes

6f · Flat · Class 6 · Standard · 12 runners · £3,245 · Tuesday, 15 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 12th
  1. 1st
    Trust Sergei (GB)
    Jonny Peate·Gary Hanmer
    100/30·4.33
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Apex Star (IRE)
    Marco Ghiani·William Knight·beaten 0.05 lengths
    9/4F·3.25
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Due Date (GB)
    Rob Hornby·Charlie Wallis·beaten 2.25 lengths
    14/1·15.00
    SP
Race time
1m 13.42s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Trust Sergei (GB))

“Settled off the pace in the pack - pushed along and made progress over 2f out - moved left approaching the final furlong - finished strongly to hit the front close home and prevail”

AI top-rated Lieutenant Sir (score 46.4) finished 12th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 28.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

v1.12.11 score
Apex Star
3.95Matchbook

segment +7.8% · Flat · Standard · Class 6

Each-way36.5/100 rating
Trust Sergei
6.00LiveScore Bet

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Neapolitan

Neapolitan rates three pounds below Apex Star on our figures, but it is a progressive profile that makes the case here, with the sense that there is more to come from this runner over the Wolverhampton six furlongs than the bare rating suggests. Apex Star heads the field on ratings and must be respected as the principal danger, with Trust Sergei and King Cherry also capable of making this competitive in a wide-open thirteen-runner Class 6 heat. The selection is taken on trust to edge things out, though the confidence is modest given the strength of the opposition at the top of the market. Neapolitan is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Lieutenant Sir

Miss Remie Morgan(7) · Archie Watson · 3yo

Top-rated of 13
score 46.4 · +1.7 clear of next best (44.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    26d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    63average
    Archie Watson: 5/20 winners last 14d (25%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    37below average
    OR 55 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Form20% weight
    28weak
    Last 6: 3-1-0-6-7
MarketBest price 101.00 (LiveScore Bet) · 11th in the market of 13.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Wolverhampton (AW) 6f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.24).

Low (1–5)
IV 1.24
Mid (6–9)
IV 0.91
High (10–13)
IV 0.83

Today: Lieutenant Sir (draw 1) and Apex Star (draw 4) get the bias; King Cherry (draw 13) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 624 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
11
J: Jonny Peate · T: Gary Hanmer · draw 12
4yo · G · ch
213942
5536.5
100/30·4.33
SP
210
J: Marco Ghiani · T: William Knight · draw 4
3yo · G · b
372033
5544.7
9/4F·3.25
SP
33
J: Rob Hornby · T: Charlie Wallis · draw 6
6yo · G · bv
077624
5536.1
14/1·15.00
SP
413
J: Grace McEntee · T: Phil McEntee · draw 10
7yo · G · bp
890804
5230.5
22/1·23.00
SP
52
J: Kieran O'Neill · T: Scott Dixon · draw 7
7yo · G · btp
744233
5539.9
4/1·5.00
SP
65
7yo · G · bb
393266
5438.0
10/1·11.00
SP
76
J: Cam Hardie · T: Antony Brittain · draw 3
5yo · G · btv
50067
5433.5
14/1·15.00
SP
84
4yo · G · grb
65597
5432.1
40/1·41.00
SP
912
J: Tyler Heard · T: Scott Dixon · draw 11
3yo · G · bp
624457
5435.0
40/1·41.00
SP
108
J: Sean Levey · T: Stuart Williams · draw 13
3yo · G · bt
586764
5544.5
5/1·6.00
SP
1111
J: Aiden Brookes · T: Micky Hammond · draw 2
3yo · F · bpFT P
287580
5428.0
100/1·101.00
SP
129
3yo · G · bb
31067
5546.4
28/1·29.00
SP
——
J: Seamus Cronin(5) · T: Richard Hannon · draw 8
3yo · G · bp
66640
5533.3—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:28 Wolverhampton (AW) on 15 September 2026?

Trust Sergei (GB) won the 16:28 Wolverhampton (AW) at SP 4.33. Ridden by Jonny Peate. Trained by Gary Hanmer.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:28 Wolverhampton (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Lieutenant Sir) finished 12.

What were the placings in the 16:28 Wolverhampton (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Trust Sergei (GB) (4.33), 2. Apex Star (IRE) (3.25), 3. Due Date (GB) (15.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:28 Wolverhampton (AW)?

The winning time was 1m 13.42s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org