17:20 Southwell (AW)

Bettingsites.co.uk Best Betting Offers Nursery Handicap Stakes

1m · Flat · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners · £4,397 · Saturday, 3 October 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (10 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Prince Kameo

No. 3 · score 56.6 · +2.4 clear of next best · best 9/2·5.70

Best value vs consensus

Agitator

12.5·12.50 Matchbook · +3% vs fair (consensus 12.14)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 29 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Model testThis race is on v1.0's public test card: Prince Kameo advised 9/2·5.60 (Betfair Exchange), frozen at publication — win or lose, it stays on the ledger.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

v1.1-0.95 score

Roosike

8.00Matchbook

segment +9.3% · Flat · Standard · Class 5

Each-way56.6/100 rating

Prince Kameo

5.70Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Love RomeDiffers from our pick

Love Rome heads our ratings on 81 and looks the one to beat in this ten-runner Class 5 over a mile at Southwell, holding a two-pound edge over Rocket Boots. That is a narrow margin rather than a decisive one, so the danger list is a real one: Rocket Boots on 79 is the most obvious threat, while Agitator and Prince Kameo, both on 77, sit close enough to take advantage if the favourite-in-our-figures falters. Even so, Love Rome's rating is the strongest in a field that looks tightly packed, and that is enough to make him our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Prince Kameo

Jack Gilligan · Sir Mark Prescott Bt · 2yo

Top-rated of 10

score 56.6 · +2.4 clear of next best (54.3)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
17d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
70strong
Last 6: 8-0-5-1-1-2
Ratings50% weight
49below average
OR 74
Trainer20% weight
40below average
Sir Mark Prescott Bt: 3/19 winners last 14d (16%)

MarketBest price 5.70 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: 4 confirmed front-runners — expect a pace duel; closers from the rear advantaged.

Front-runners(4)
2Love Rome 3Prince Kameo 6The Monkey King 9Absolute Diamond
Prominent(4)
1Roosike 4Agitator 7On Target 8Tribal Appearance
Mid-division(2)
5Rocket Boots 10High Hazard
Hold-up / closers(0)—

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Southwell (AW) 1m

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)

IV 0.96

Mid (5–7)

IV 1.04

High (8–10)

IV 1.01

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 587 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
3	Prince KameoPick J: Jack Gilligan · T: Sir Mark Prescott Bt · draw 6 · combo 3/14 (21%) 2yo · G · bD	805112	9-08	74	—	—	56.6	5/1·6.07	5.7·5.70 Betfair Exchange · -6% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange5.7·5.70Matchbook5.7·5.70Smarkets5.6·5.60BetMGM9/2·5.50 Unibet4/1·5.00Virgin Bet4/1·5.00Dragon Bet4/1·5.00 Coral4/1·5.00 Quinn Bet4/1·5.00 SportingIndex4/1·5.00 Spreadex4/1·5.00 LiveScore Bet4/1·5.00 Ladbrokes4/1·5.00 SmarketsSBK4/1·5.00 10 Bet4/1·5.00Hollywood Bets4/1·5.00Betfair Sportsbook4/1·5.00Paddy Power4/1·5.00 William Hill4/1·5.00 Star Sports4/1·5.00 BetTom4/1·5.00 BetWright4/1·5.00 Boyle Sports4/1·5.00 7Bet4/1·5.00 Bet3654/1·5.00 Midnite4/1·5.00 Betano7/2·4.50 Bet Victor7/2·4.50 Betfred7/2·4.50
6	The Monkey King J: Rhys Clutterbuck · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 7 · combo 12/48 (25%) 2yo · G · bbFT B	6318	9-05	71	—	—	54.3	11/1·12.14	11.5·11.50 Matchbook · -5% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook11.5·11.50Betfair Exchange10.5·10.50Smarkets10.5·10.50Coral9/1·10.00 Bet3659/1·10.00 10 Bet9/1·10.00 William Hill9/1·10.00 SportingIndex9/1·10.00 Spreadex9/1·10.00 Ladbrokes9/1·10.00 BetTom9/1·10.00 Paddy Power9/1·10.00 Boyle Sports9/1·10.00Hollywood Bets9/1·10.00Quinn Bet9/1·10.00 Unibet9/1·10.00 SmarketsSBK9/1·10.00 LiveScore Bet9/1·10.00Virgin Bet9/1·10.00Star Sports9/1·10.00Betfair Sportsbook17/2·9.50Midnite17/2·9.50 Betfred17/2·9.50 Dragon Bet8/1·9.00 7Bet8/1·9.00 BetWright8/1·9.00 BetMGM8/1·9.00 Bet Victor15/2·8.50 Betano15/2·8.50
1	Roosikev1.1 J: Donagh Murphy(5) · T: Richard Hughes · draw 4 · combo 0/15 (0%) 2yo · F · bClass drop1lb below win markCGoing 1/2Only runner	32109	9-09	75	—	—	51.8	8/1·9.10	8.8·8.80 Betfair Exchange · -3% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange8.8·8.80Matchbook8.8·8.80Smarkets8.6·8.60William Hill15/2·8.50 Unibet7/1·8.00Virgin Bet7/1·8.00Spreadex7/1·8.00 Ladbrokes7/1·8.00 SportingIndex7/1·8.00 LiveScore Bet7/1·8.00 Coral7/1·8.00 Bet3657/1·8.00 SmarketsSBK7/1·8.00Hollywood Bets7/1·8.00Star Sports13/2·7.50 Quinn Bet13/2·7.50 Paddy Power13/2·7.50 Dragon Bet13/2·7.50 BetWright13/2·7.50 10 Bet13/2·7.50 BetTom13/2·7.50 7Bet13/2·7.50 Midnite13/2·7.50 BetMGM6/1·7.00 Betfred6/1·7.00 Boyle Sports6/1·7.00 Bet Victor6/1·7.00 Betano6/1·7.00Betfair Sportsbook6/1·7.00
2	Love Rome J: Rob Hornby · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 5 · combo 2/17 (12%) 2yo · C · bClass dropOnly pairing	3227	9-08	74	—	—	51.4	13/2·7.28	6.6·6.60 Betfair Exchange · -9% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange6.6·6.60Matchbook6.6·6.60Ladbrokes11/2·6.50 Unibet11/2·6.50 Betfred11/2·6.50 William Hill11/2·6.50 LiveScore Bet11/2·6.50 Bet36511/2·6.50Virgin Bet11/2·6.50Coral11/2·6.50 Boyle Sports11/2·6.50 Quinn Bet11/2·6.50Smarkets6.4·6.40SmarketsSBK5/1·6.00 SportingIndex5/1·6.00 Spreadex5/1·6.00 BetMGM5/1·6.00 10 Bet5/1·6.00Betfair Sportsbook5/1·6.007Bet5/1·6.00Hollywood Bets5/1·6.00Midnite5/1·6.00 BetTom5/1·6.00 Paddy Power5/1·6.00 BetWright9/2·5.50 Bet Victor9/2·5.50 Dragon Bet9/2·5.50 Star Sports9/2·5.50 Betano9/2·5.50
8	Tribal Appearance J: Pierre-Louis Jamin · T: Dr Richard Newland · draw 9 2yo · G · btOnly rideOnly runner	2448	9-04	70	—	—	49.7	50/1·49.77	70·70.00 Matchbook · +41% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook70·70.00Smarkets60·60.00SmarketsSBK50/1·51.00 William Hill40/1·41.00 10 Bet40/1·41.00 Bet36540/1·41.00 BetTom40/1·41.00 Boyle Sports40/1·41.00 Quinn Bet40/1·41.00 Unibet40/1·41.00 Coral40/1·41.00 Ladbrokes40/1·41.00 Paddy Power40/1·41.00 SportingIndex40/1·41.00 Spreadex40/1·41.00 LiveScore Bet40/1·41.00Virgin Bet40/1·41.00Star Sports40/1·41.00Hollywood Bets40/1·41.00Midnite40/1·41.00Betfair Sportsbook40/1·41.00Betfair Exchange40·40.00 7Bet35/1·36.00 Betfred33/1·34.00 Dragon Bet33/1·34.00 Betano33/1·34.00 BetWright33/1·34.00 Bet Victor33/1·34.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00
7	On Target J: Darragh Keenan · T: George Scott · draw 10 · combo 7/59 (12%) 2yo · G · bpFT PClass dropOnly runner	644	9-04	70	—	—	49.0	7/1·7.89	6.8·6.80 Matchbook · -14% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook6.8·6.80Smarkets6.6·6.60Betfair Exchange6.6·6.60 BetTom11/2·6.50 Quinn Bet11/2·6.50Hollywood Bets11/2·6.50Star Sports11/2·6.50 Unibet11/2·6.50 Betfred11/2·6.50 Paddy Power11/2·6.50 10 Bet11/2·6.50 Coral11/2·6.50 Ladbrokes11/2·6.50 Boyle Sports11/2·6.50 William Hill11/2·6.50Betfair Sportsbook11/2·6.50SportingIndex5/1·6.00 SmarketsSBK5/1·6.00 Midnite5/1·6.00 Spreadex5/1·6.00 LiveScore Bet5/1·6.00Virgin Bet5/1·6.00Bet3655/1·6.00 7Bet5/1·6.00 BetWright5/1·6.00 Dragon Bet5/1·6.00 Betano9/2·5.50 Bet Victor9/2·5.50 BetMGM7/2·4.50
9	Absolute Diamond J: Joe Leavy · T: David Evans · draw 3 2yo · F · bOnly pairing	466142	9-02	68	—	—	46.5	14/1·15.78	21·21.00 Matchbook · +33% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook21·21.00Smarkets20·20.00Betfair Exchange19.5·19.50 SmarketsSBK18/1·19.00 Betfred14/1·15.00 Coral14/1·15.00 Ladbrokes14/1·15.00 LiveScore Bet14/1·15.00Virgin Bet14/1·15.00SportingIndex14/1·15.00 Spreadex14/1·15.00 7Bet12/1·13.00 10 Bet12/1·13.00 Boyle Sports12/1·13.00 Star Sports12/1·13.00Hollywood Bets12/1·13.00William Hill12/1·13.00 BetTom12/1·13.00 Dragon Bet12/1·13.00 Midnite12/1·13.00 Quinn Bet12/1·13.00Betfair Sportsbook12/1·13.00Paddy Power12/1·13.00 Bet36512/1·13.00 BetWright12/1·13.00 Unibet12/1·13.00 Bet Victor11/1·12.00 BetMGM11/1·12.00 Betano11/1·12.00
5	Rocket Boots J: Jack Doughty · T: James Owen · draw 2 2yo · G · bOnly runner	42406	9-06	72	—	—	44.8	11/2·6.68	6.8·6.80 Smarkets · +2% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Smarkets6.8·6.80Matchbook6.8·6.80Betfair Exchange6.6·6.60 SmarketsSBK11/2·6.50 Paddy Power5/1·6.00 Spreadex5/1·6.00 SportingIndex5/1·6.00Betfair Sportsbook5/1·6.00Bet3655/1·6.00 Midnite9/2·5.50 Unibet9/2·5.50 BetWright9/2·5.50Hollywood Bets9/2·5.5010 Bet9/2·5.50 Dragon Bet9/2·5.50 LiveScore Bet4/1·5.00 Quinn Bet4/1·5.00 Coral4/1·5.00 Ladbrokes4/1·5.00 Betfred4/1·5.00 Star Sports4/1·5.00Virgin Bet4/1·5.007Bet4/1·5.00 Boyle Sports7/2·4.50 Betano7/2·4.50 BetTom7/2·4.50 Bet Victor7/2·4.50 William Hill10/3·4.33 BetMGM3/1·4.00
10	High Hazard J: Ashley Lewis(3) · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 1 2yo · G · bpOnly runner	230050	9-01	67	—	—	39.1	14/1·15.78	15.5·15.50 Matchbook · -2% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook15.5·15.50William Hill14/1·15.00 Ladbrokes14/1·15.00Betfair Sportsbook14/1·15.00Paddy Power14/1·15.00 Quinn Bet14/1·15.00 Coral14/1·15.00 Bet36514/1·15.00 Boyle Sports14/1·15.00 Betfred14/1·15.00Hollywood Bets14/1·15.00Betfair Exchange14.5·14.50Smarkets14·14.00SmarketsSBK13/1·14.00 Dragon Bet12/1·13.00 LiveScore Bet12/1·13.00Virgin Bet12/1·13.00Star Sports12/1·13.00 7Bet12/1·13.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 Midnite12/1·13.00 BetWright12/1·13.00 Unibet12/1·13.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00 BetTom12/1·13.00 Betano11/1·12.00 Bet Victor11/1·12.00 BetMGM11/1·12.00 10 Bet10/1·11.00
4	Agitator J: Benoit de la Sayette · T: Oliver Cole · draw 8 2yo · G · bbFT BOnly runner	01003	9-08	74	—	—	38.3	11/1·12.14	12.5·12.50 Matchbook · +3% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook12.5·12.50Betfair Exchange12·12.00Smarkets11.5·11.50SmarketsSBK10/1·11.00 SportingIndex9/1·10.00 BetTom9/1·10.00 Spreadex9/1·10.00 Star Sports9/1·10.00 Midnite9/1·10.00 10 Bet9/1·10.00 Coral9/1·10.00 Ladbrokes9/1·10.00 Bet3659/1·10.00 Boyle Sports9/1·10.00 Betfred9/1·10.00Virgin Bet9/1·10.00William Hill9/1·10.00Betfair Sportsbook9/1·10.00Paddy Power9/1·10.00 Unibet9/1·10.00 LiveScore Bet9/1·10.00Hollywood Bets9/1·10.00Quinn Bet9/1·10.00 BetWright8/1·9.00 BetMGM8/1·9.00 Dragon Bet8/1·9.00 7Bet8/1·9.00 Bet Victor15/2·8.50 Betano15/2·8.50

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 29 bookmakers per horse with the 21% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Bettingsites.co.uk Best Betting Offers Nursery Handicap Stakes?

The Bettingsites.co.uk Best Betting Offers Nursery Handicap Stakes is off at 17:20 on 3 October 2026 at Southwell (AW) (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 17:20 Southwell (AW)?

1m, Class 5, Flat, 10 runners declared.

What is the going for the 17:20 Southwell (AW)?

Going is reported as Standard on AW.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 17:20 Southwell (AW)?

The AI top-rated runner is Prince Kameo (score 56.6, best price 5.70). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 17:20 Southwell (AW)?

The market favourite is Prince Kameo at a best price of 5.70.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org