Who won the 20:00 Newcastle (AW) on 5 September 2026?
Finn Ironside (GB) won the 20:00 Newcastle (AW) at SP 8.50. Ridden by Elle-May Croot. Trained by Ivan Furtado.
20:00 Newcastle (AW)
Free Tips On Attheraces.com Handicap Stakes (Div II)
7f · Flat · Class 5 · Standard · 9 runners · £4,397 · Saturday, 5 September 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 7thRace report
- 1stFinn Ironside (GB)Elle-May Croot·Ivan Furtado15/2·8.50SP
- 2ndAnthropologist (GB)Sam James·Michael Herrington·beaten 1.25 lengths7/1·8.00SP
- 3rdWar Howl (IRE)David Nolan·Ben Haslam·beaten 0.1 lengths5/4F·2.25SP
Race time
1m 26.98s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Finn Ironside (GB))
“Set off in front early - asked for effort 2f out - kept finding more to the line - clear and untroubled throughout”
AI top-rated Red Mirage (score 51.7) finished 7th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 18.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →v1.11.90 score
Finn Ironside
8.80Matchbook
segment +9.3% · Flat · Standard · Class 5
Each-way50.4/100 rating
Anthropologist
7.00Unibet
Place portion settles at 2.20 · 1/5 odds · 3 places
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Benacre
Benacre heads this nine-runner Newcastle contest on ratings, sitting narrowly ahead of Red Mirage and a clear seven pounds above the remainder of the field, which gives him a meaningful edge on paper at this Class 5 level over seven furlongs on the all-weather. Red Mirage is the most obvious threat and will need to be watched, with Blazing Son and Gressington also capable of making their presence felt if either runs to their best. The confidence is medium rather than strong, so the dangers are real, but Benacre's edge at the top of the ratings makes him the logical call. The selection is Benacre.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Red Mirage
Harry Vigors(5) · John & Sean Quinn · 8yo
Top-rated of 9
score 51.7 · +1.3 clear of next best (50.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong22d since last run (race-fit window)
- Trainer20% weight53averageJohn & Sean Quinn: 3/14 winners last 14d (21%)
- Ratings50% weight45below averageOR 68
- Form20% weight43below averageLast 6: 3-6-6-8-4-2
MarketBest price 18.50 (Smarkets) · 9th in the market of 9.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Newcastle (AW) 7f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–3)
IV 0.94
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.06
High (7–9)
IV 1.01
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 632 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | Finn Ironsidev1.1 J: Elle-May Croot(5) · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 9 5yo · G · bt | 387452 | 61 | 37.6 | 15/2·8.50 SP |
| 2 | 1 | J: Sam James · T: Michael Herrington · draw 6 4yo · G · bp | 164843 | 70 | 50.4 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 3 | 5 | J: David Nolan · T: Ben Haslam · draw 8 4yo · G · br | 000097 | 67 | 44.0 | 5/4F·2.25 SP |
| 4 | 7 | J: Jack Nicholls(3) · T: Ray Craggs · draw 5 5yo · G · b | 16691 | 64 | 39.5 | 15/2·8.50 SP |
| 5 | 8 | J: Tom Eaves · T: Katie Scott · draw 3 5yo · G · grv | 807474 | 62 | 33.2 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 6 | 3 | J: Jack Garritty · T: Grant Tuer · draw 7 5yo · G · b | 235150 | 69 | 46.5 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 7 | 4 | J: Harry Vigors(5) · T: John & Sean Quinn · draw 1 8yo · G · chb | 366842 | 68 | 51.7 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 8 | 6 | J: William Pyle · T: Bryan Smart · draw 4 8yo · G · ch | 698530 | 64 | 42.9 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 9 | 2 | J: Jonny Peate · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 2 6yo · G · b | 550545 | 70 | 41.7 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 20:00 Newcastle (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (Red Mirage) finished 7.
What were the placings in the 20:00 Newcastle (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Finn Ironside (GB) (8.50), 2. Anthropologist (GB) (8.00), 3. War Howl (IRE) (2.25).
What was the winning time for the 20:00 Newcastle (AW)?
The winning time was 1m 26.98s.
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