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RacingAlpha

British Stallion Studs EBF Fillies' Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)

1m2f · Flat · Class 4 · Standard · 9 runners · £10,468 · Tuesday, 11 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 6th
  1. 1st
    She Commands (IRE)
    Edward Greatrex·Ralph Beckett
    17/2·9.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Guesstimate (GB)
    Cieren Fallon·William Haggas·beaten 1.5 lengths
    8/1·9.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Asset (GER)
    Luke Morris·Sir Mark Prescott Bt·beaten 0.2 lengths
    9/1·10.00
    SP
Race time
2m 4.61s

Race time recorded.

In-running (She Commands (IRE))

“Towards the rear early - nudged into fourth 2f out and drifted left nearing the final furlong - hit the top spot 110yds out - pulled clear to score”

AI top-rated Distant Shore (score 63.7) finished 6th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.25 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

v1.1-0.34 score
Asset
9.60Betfair Exchange

segment +6.3% · Flat · Standard · Class 4

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Rastnet

Rastnet heads this ten-runner Lingfield affair on a 93 rating, narrowly ahead of Deedaydiva on 88 and a more comfortable margin over the chasing pack, and that edge on form provides a reasonable starting point over this ten-furlong trip on the all-weather. The dangers are real, however, with Deedaydiva, She Commands and Spirit Of Athene all capable of closing the gap on the day, and the confidence in this verdict is tempered accordingly. **Rastnet** is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Distant Shore

Robbie Downey · Roger Varian · 3yo

Top-rated of 9
score 63.7 · +2.7 clear of next best (60.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    21d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    67strong
    Last 6: 1-3-5-2-2
  • Trainer20% weight
    63average
    Roger Varian: 7/28 winners last 14d (25%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    55average
    OR 83
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Lingfield (AW) 1m2f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.25).

Low (1–4)
IV 0.82
Mid (5–7)
IV 1.25
High (8–10)
IV 0.97

Today: Asset (draw 5) and Guesstimate (draw 6) get the bias; Distant Shore (draw 3) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 251 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
13
J: Edward Greatrex · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 7
3yo · F · gr
5110
8652.8
17/2·9.50
SP
210
J: Cieren Fallon · T: William Haggas · draw 6
3yo · F · br
03351
7253.8
8/1·9.00
SP
38
Assetv1.1
3yo · F · b
32321
7760.3
9/1·10.00
SP
41
J: David Egan · T: John Butler · draw 2
4yo · F · bp
22237
8460.9
4/1·5.00
SP
59
J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 1
3yo · F · b
93121
7559.0
3/1·4.00
SP
66
J: Robbie Downey · T: Roger Varian · draw 3
3yo · F · chh
13522
8363.7
9/4F·3.25
SP
77
J: Pat Cosgrave · T: Jim Boyle · draw 8
7yo · M · b
59317
7245.3
80/1·81.00
SP
82
J: Luke Catton(3) · T: Alan King · draw 10
3yo · F · b
3138
8750.6
28/1·29.00
SP
95
J: Billy Loughnane · T: George Boughey · draw 4
3yo · F · b
137
8453.3
14/1·15.00
SP
——
J: Rose Dawes(5) · T: Jack Channon · draw 9
4yo · F · b
52953
7750.5—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:30 Lingfield (AW) on 11 August 2026?

She Commands (IRE) won the 15:30 Lingfield (AW) at SP 9.50. Ridden by Edward Greatrex. Trained by Ralph Beckett.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:30 Lingfield (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Distant Shore) finished 6.

What were the placings in the 15:30 Lingfield (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. She Commands (IRE) (9.50), 2. Guesstimate (GB) (9.00), 3. Asset (GER) (10.00).

What was the winning time for the 15:30 Lingfield (AW)?

The winning time was 2m 4.61s.

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