What time is the Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)?
The Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) is off at 15:40 on 5 July 2026 at Southwell (AW) (Great Britain).
← All racecards15:40
Southwell (AW)
Great BritainSky Sports Racing Virgin 512 EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)
Sunday, 5 July 2026
7f·Flat·Class 5·Standard·12 runners·£4,711
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Selections by model
Head-to-head dashboard →v1.055.4/100 rating
Hamda's Joy
5.50SmarketsSBK
Passes the v1.0 card filter
v1.1
No pick
Race outside the segment-edge filter
Each-way55.4/100 rating
Hamda's Joy
5.50SmarketsSBK
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Racing Alpha pick
Hamda's Joy
Jack Callan(3) · Tom Clover · 3yo
55.4/100
+4.8 vs next best (50.7)
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong46d since last run (fresh)
- Form20% weight67strongLast 6: 3-3-3-2
- Ratings50% weight48below averageOR 72 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight48below averageTom Clover: 3/16 winners last 14d (19%)
MarketBest price 5.50 (SmarketsSBK) — 3rd pick of 12 in market. AI is contrarian here.
v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Pace map
inferred from last 6 runsShape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.
- Front-runners(1)
- Prominent(2)
- Mid-division(0)—
- Hold-up / closers(2)
- Unknown(7)
Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.
Runners
| # | Dr | Horse | Jockey / Trainer | Form | Wt | OR | RPR | TS | AI | Fair | Best price | Add to betslip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 4yo · F · ch | 66 | 9-10 | — | — | — | 12.5 | 100/1·102.34+145% vs mkt | 250·251.00SmarketsSBK | ||
| 3 | 8 | 3yo · F · ch | 44534 | 9-02 | 72 | — | — | 49.7 | 7/2·4.45 | 2.6·3.60SmarketsSBK | ||
| 4 | 4 | 3yo · F · b | 3332 | 9-02 | 72 | — | — | 55.4 | 11/2·6.36 | 4.5·5.50SmarketsSBK | ||
| 5 | 1 | 3yo · F · bh | 4 | 9-02 | — | — | — | 25.0 | 9/1·10.17 | 15/2·8.50William Hill | ||
| 6 | 5 | 3yo · F · b | — | 9-02 | — | — | — | 24.0 | 8/1·8.90 | 7.6·7.60Betfair Exchange | ||
| 7 | 2 | 3yo · F · br | 05 | 9-02 | — | — | — | 20.0 | 22/1·24.15+8% vs mkt | 25·26.00SmarketsSBK | ||
| 8 | 9 | 3yo · F · b | 80 | 9-02 | — | — | — | 25.2 | 150/1·128.40+18% vs mkt | 150/1·151.00Bet365 | ||
| 9 | 7 | 3yo · F · b | 333 | 9-00 | 65 | — | — | 50.7 | 13/2·7.63+5% vs mkt | 7·8.00SmarketsSBK | ||
| 10 | 11 | 3yo · F · ch | 5 | 9-00 | — | — | — | 25.0 | 9/2·5.72 | 5.2·5.20Betfair Exchange | ||
| 11 | 6 | 3yo · F · b | 05 | 8-12 | — | — | — | 23.5 | 50/1·52.12 | 50/1·51.00Bet365 | ||
| 12 | 3 | 3yo · F · b | — | 8-12 | — | — | — | 15.0 | 150/1·128.40+18% vs mkt | 150/1·151.00Bet365 | ||
| 14 | 13 | 3yo · F · b | 9 | 8-12 | — | — | — | 5.7 | 66/1·64.84+94% vs mkt | 125·126.00SmarketsSBK | ||
| — | 10 | Navona GreyNon-runner 3yo · F · gr | 54 | 8-12 | — | — | — | — | — | Withdrawn | ||
| — | 14 | Ancient RealmNon-runner 3yo · F · b | — | 9-02 | — | — | — | — | — | Withdrawn |
Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 31–32 bookmakers per horse with the 27% overround stripped out. A green badge means the best book currently pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.
Frequently asked questions
What is the field size and distance of the 15:40 Southwell (AW)?
7f, Class 5, Flat, 12 runners declared.
What is the going for the 15:40 Southwell (AW)?
Going is reported as Standard on AW.
What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 15:40 Southwell (AW)?
The AI top-rated runner is Hamda's Joy (score 55.4, best price 5.50). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.
Who is the favourite for the 15:40 Southwell (AW)?
The market favourite is Cixi at a best price of 3.60. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Hamda's Joy.
Racing Post verdict
Third-partyCixi holds the strongest claims here, consistent through recent outings and effective at 7-8f on AW after multiple placed efforts in this company. Hamda’s Joy, placed on all four career starts and steadily finding a better level, is the main rival, while Royale Union, a well-bred debutant by Starman out of the useful miler Royal Majestic, is worth monitoring in the market. Cixi is our selection.
Racing Post pick: Cixi
Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org