Who won the 15:40 Southwell (AW) on 5 July 2026?
Miss Gallant (GB) won the 15:40 Southwell (AW) at SP 7.00. Ridden by David Egan. Trained by Marco Botti.
15:40 Southwell (AW)
Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)
7f · Flat · Class 5 · Standard · 12 runners · £4,711 · Sunday, 5 July 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 3rdRace report
- 1stMiss Gallant (GB)David Egan·Marco Botti6/1·7.00SP
- 2ndClementines Star (GB)William Carver·Daniel & Claire Kubler·beaten 0.3 lengths17/2·9.50SP
- 3rdHamda's Joy (IRE)AI top pick · 55.4Jack Callan·Tom Clover·beaten .5 lengths3/1·4.00SP
Race time
1m 28.70s+3.80s vs std
Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →v1.12.78 score
Miss Gallant
8.50William Hill
segment +9.3% · Flat · Standard · Class 5
Each-way55.4/100 rating
Hamda's Joy
5.40Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Cixi
Cixi holds the strongest claims here, consistent through recent outings and effective at 7-8f on AW after multiple placed efforts in this company. Hamda’s Joy, placed on all four career starts and steadily finding a better level, is the main rival, while Royale Union, a well-bred debutant by Starman out of the useful miler Royal Majestic, is worth monitoring in the market. Cixi is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Hamda's Joy
Jack Callan(3) · Tom Clover · 3yo
Top-rated of 12
score 55.4 · +4.8 clear of next best (50.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong46d since last run (fresh)
- Form20% weight67strongLast 6: 3-3-3-2
- Ratings50% weight48below averageOR 72 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight48below averageTom Clover: 3/16 winners last 14d (19%)
MarketBest price 5.40 (Betfair Exchange) · 2nd in the market of 12.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Southwell (AW) 7f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–5)
IV 0.96
Mid (6–10)
IV 1.04
High (11–14)
IV 1.01
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 587 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | Miss Gallantv1.1 J: David Egan · T: Marco Botti · draw 1 3yo · F · bh | 4 | — | 25.0 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 2 | 9 | J: William Carver · T: Daniel & Claire Kubler · draw 7 3yo · F · b | 333 | 65 | 50.7 | 17/2·9.50 SP |
| 3 | 4 | J: Jack Callan(3) · T: Tom Clover · draw 4 3yo · F · b | 3332 | 72 | 55.4 | 3/1·4.00 SP |
| 4 | 11 | J: Lewis Edmunds · T: William Muir & Chris Grassick · draw 6 3yo · F · b | 05 | — | 23.5 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 5 | 7 | J: George Wood · T: James Tate · draw 2 3yo · F · br | 05 | — | 20.0 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 6 | 12 | J: Cam Hardie · T: J R Jenkins · draw 3 3yo · F · b | — | — | 15.0 | 250/1·251.00 SP |
| 7 | 6 | J: Pierre-Louis Jamin · T: K R Burke · draw 5 3yo · F · b | — | — | 24.0 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 8 | 14 | J: Jason Watson · T: Gay Kelleway · draw 13 3yo · F · b | 9 | — | 5.7 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 9 | 10 | J: Daniel Muscutt · T: Oliver Cole · draw 11 3yo · F · ch | 5 | — | 25.0 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 10 | 3 | J: Jamie Spencer · T: Michael Bell · draw 8 3yo · F · ch | 44534 | 72 | 49.7 | 2/1F·3.00 SP |
| 11 | 1 | J: Jason Hart · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 12 4yo · F · ch | 66 | — | 12.5 | 250/1·251.00 SP |
| 12 | 8 | J: Rob Hornby · T: Mike Murphy · draw 9 3yo · F · b | 80 | — | 25.2 | 500/1·501.00 SP |
| — | — | J: NON-RUNNER · T: Julie Camacho · draw 14 3yo · F · b | — | — | 24.5 | — |
| — | — | J: NON-RUNNER · T: Gay Kelleway · draw 10 3yo · F · gr | 54 | — | 18.0 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:40 Southwell (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (Hamda's Joy) finished 3.
What were the placings in the 15:40 Southwell (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Miss Gallant (GB) (7.00), 2. Clementines Star (GB) (9.50), 3. Hamda's Joy (IRE) (4.00).
What was the winning time for the 15:40 Southwell (AW)?
The winning time was 1m 28.70s, 3.80s slower than standard.
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