Who won the 16:40 Southwell (AW) on 16 August 2026?
Yordan (IRE) won the 16:40 Southwell (AW) at SP 2.20. Ridden by Jack Callan. Trained by Kevin Ryan.
16:40 Southwell (AW)
Grace & Dotty Maiden Stakes (Div II) (GBB Race)
6f · Flat · Class 4 · Standard · 9 runners · £5,400 · Sunday, 16 August 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 2ndRace report
- 1stYordan (IRE)Jack Callan·Kevin Ryan6/5F·2.20SP
- 2ndBlack Orchid (GB)AI top pick · 31.1Billy Loughnane·Richard & Peter Fahey·beaten 2.75 lengths9/2·5.50SP
- 3rdProject Wallace (IRE)Zak Wheatley·Declan Carroll·beaten 0.2 lengths20/1·21.00SP
Race time
1m 14.06s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Yordan (IRE))
“Up with the head two early - driven to take command over 1f out - asserted through the final 110yds to score readily”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way31.1/100 rating
Black Orchid
5.40Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Why the model rates this top
Black Orchid
Billy Loughnane · Richard & Peter Fahey · 3yo
Top-rated of 9
score 31.1 · +0.6 clear of next best (30.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Form20% weight78strongLast 6: 2-2
- Freshness10% weight65strong73d since last run (rusty)
- Trainer20% weight45below averageRichard & Peter Fahey: 4/22 winners last 14d (18%)
- Ratings50% weight0weakno Racing Post ratings on file
MarketBest price 5.40 (Betfair Exchange) · 2nd in the market of 9.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Southwell (AW) 6f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–3)
IV 1.09
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.96
High (7–9)
IV 0.94
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 436 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | J: Jack Callan · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 4 3yo · G · b | 2 | — | 25.6 | 6/5F·2.20 SP |
| 2 | 8 | J: Billy Loughnane · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 5 3yo · F · b | 22 | — | 31.1 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 3 | 5 | J: Zak Wheatley · T: Declan Carroll · draw 1 3yo · G · b | 45 | — | 13.5 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 4 | 2 | J: Alex Jary(3) · T: Joey Ramsden · draw 7 3yo · G · b | 53 | — | 20.0 | 150/1·151.00 SP |
| 5 | 4 | J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 9 3yo · G · b | 4 | — | 25.0 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 6 | 9 | J: Callum Hutchinson · T: Andrew Balding · draw 6 3yo · F · bh | 3 | — | 27.5 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 7 | 3 | J: J F Egan · T: Dean Ivory · draw 3 3yo · G · b | — | — | 15.0 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 8 | 6 | J: Nicola Currie · T: Henry Candy · draw 8 3yo · G · b | 88 | — | 30.5 | 250/1·251.00 SP |
| 9 | 1 | J: Kieran O'Neill · T: Scott Dixon · draw 2 4yo · G · b | — | — | 23.5 | 80/1·81.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:40 Southwell (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (Black Orchid) finished 2.
What were the placings in the 16:40 Southwell (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Yordan (IRE) (2.20), 2. Black Orchid (GB) (5.50), 3. Project Wallace (IRE) (21.00).
What was the winning time for the 16:40 Southwell (AW)?
The winning time was 1m 14.06s.
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