Who won the 15:05 Southwell (AW) on 5 July 2026?
King Of Fury (IRE) won the 15:05 Southwell (AW) at SP 4.00. Ridden by Jason Hart. Trained by Michael Dods.
15:05 Southwell (AW)
attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap (Div 2)
7f · Flat · Class 5 · Standard · 9 runners · £4,711 · Sunday, 5 July 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 2ndRace report
- 1stKing Of Fury (IRE)Jason Hart·Michael Dods3/1F·4.00SP
- 2ndPickersgill (IRE)AI top pick · 55.5Lewis Edmunds·Iain Jardine·beaten 2.75 lengths9/2·5.50SP
- 3rdBlazing Son (GB)Tom Kiely-Marshall·Bryan Smart·beaten 2 lengths6/1·7.00SP
Race time
1m 28.20s+3.30s vs std
Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →v1.12.31 score
Noble Guest
5.40Betfair Exchange
segment +9.3% · Flat · Standard · Class 5
Each-way55.5/100 rating
Pickersgill
6.20Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: King Of Fury
King Of Fury leads on our figures and handles the trip and surface, though his form has been declining and he raced too freely at Ripon last time. A capable jockey takes the ride and the mark is fair if he settles properly. Reputation, a previous winner here and in excellent form, is the most dangerous, with Noble Guest, who ran well last time and drops below his last winning mark, and Pickersgill also of interest. King Of Fury is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Pickersgill
Lewis Edmunds · Iain Jardine · 4yo
Top-rated of 9
score 55.5 · +1.7 clear of next best (53.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong20d since last run (race-fit window)
- Trainer20% weight70strongIain Jardine: 9/32 winners last 14d (28%)
- Form20% weight46below averageLast 6: 4-7-2-1-7-5
- Ratings50% weight45below averageOR 67
MarketBest price 6.20 (Betfair Exchange) · 3rd in the market of 9.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Southwell (AW) 7f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–3)
IV 0.96
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.04
High (7–9)
IV 1.01
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 587 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | J: Jason Hart · T: Michael Dods · draw 8 6yo · G · ch | 76547 | 70 | 42.2 | 3/1F·4.00 SP |
| 2 | 5 | J: Lewis Edmunds · T: Iain Jardine · draw 3 4yo · F · ch | 472175 | 67 | 55.5 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 3 | 4 | J: Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) · T: Bryan Smart · draw 9 8yo · G · ch | 726985 | 68 | 53.8 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 4 | 1 | J: Cam Hardie · T: Antony Brittain · draw 5 6yo · G · br | 60206 | 70 | 38.1 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 5 | 7 | J: Jack Callan(3) · T: S Woods · draw 7 4yo · G · cht | 86320 | 66 | 52.7 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 6 | 6 | J: Jason Watson · T: Joseph Parr · draw 4 4yo · G · btFT T | 33548 | 67 | 35.5 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 7 | 3 | Noble Guestv1.1 J: David Egan · T: George Margarson · draw 6 4yo · G · br | 63563 | 68 | 40.8 | 10/3·4.33 SP |
| 8 | 8 | J: Taryn Langley(5) · T: Joey Ramsden · draw 2 4yo · F · b | 25684 | 60 | 37.7 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 9 | 9 | J: Kaiya Fraser · T: Ruth Carr · draw 1 13yo · G · b | 17213 | 57 | 46.7 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:05 Southwell (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (Pickersgill) finished 2.
What were the placings in the 15:05 Southwell (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. King Of Fury (IRE) (4.00), 2. Pickersgill (IRE) (5.50), 3. Blazing Son (GB) (7.00).
What was the winning time for the 15:05 Southwell (AW)?
The winning time was 1m 28.20s, 3.30s slower than standard.
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