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1m · Flat · Class 5 · Standard · 11 runners · £3,978 · Wednesday, 2 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 8th
  1. 1st
    Sunriseontheboyne (IRE)
    Andrew Mullen·Ben Haslam
    9/2·5.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Starliner (IRE)
    William Pyle·Linda Perratt·beaten .5 lengths
    10/1·11.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Criminal Shore (IRE)
    Mark Winn·David O'Meara·beaten 1.75 lengths
    4/1F·5.00
    SP
Race time
1m 39.73s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Sunriseontheboyne (IRE))

Racing handy early - hit front after a furlong - clear under pressure 2f out - challenged inside final furlong - held on well to score

AI top-rated Mr Mistoffelees (score 51.9) finished 8th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way50.6/100 rating
Starliner
13.00Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Mr Mistoffelees

Mr Mistoffelees heads this eleven-runner Class 5 contest at Newcastle on the all-weather with a modest edge over his closest pursuers, sitting narrowly ahead of Harry The Rogue and a more meaningful margin clear of the chasing pack, which gives him a tangible advantage over a mile on standard going. Harry The Rogue is the most obvious threat and will need to be respected, while Criminal Shore and Flying Fletcher could complicate matters if the principals disappoint, but the selection's superior profile makes him difficult to oppose. Mr Mistoffelees is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Mr Mistoffelees

Tom Eaves · Sam England · 6yo

Top-rated of 11
score 51.9 · +1.4 clear of next best (50.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    25d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    50average
    OR 75 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    45below average
    Sam England: 3/17 winners last 14d (18%)
  • Form20% weight
    40below average
    Last 6: 8-7-5-2-2-0
MarketBest price 1000.00 (Matchbook) · 5th in the market of 11.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newcastle (AW) 1m

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)
IV 0.94
Mid (5–8)
IV 1.06
High (9–11)
IV 1.01

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 632 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
16
J: Andrew Mullen · T: Ben Haslam · draw 1
4yo · G · b
806078
7044.3
9/2·5.50
SP
210
J: William Pyle · T: Linda Perratt · draw 8
5yo · G · baybrownp
882262
6250.6
10/1·11.00
SP
37
J: Mark Winn · T: David O'Meara · draw 5
4yo · G · bv
410606
7043.6
4/1F·5.00
SP
45
J: P J McDonald · T: Edward Bethell · draw 2
3yo · G · btbFT TB
62745
7546.9
12/1·13.00
SP
53
J: M. P. Sheehy · T: John Butler · draw 9
5yo · G · ch
184526
7345.8
12/1·13.00
SP
68
5yo · G · gr
743769
6843.3
11/2·6.50
SP
74
J: Elle-May Croot(5) · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 4
6yo · G · b
565730
7237.5
8/1·9.00
SP
81
J: Tom Eaves · T: Sam England · draw 6
6yo · G · bb
875220
7551.9
11/2·6.50
SP
92
5yo · G · b
249000
7336.1
8/1·9.00
SP
109
J: Jason Hart · T: Rebecca Menzies · draw 3
4yo · G · b
22909
6735.6
40/1·41.00
SP
1111
6yo · G · bp
49080
5746.8
66/1·67.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:15 Newcastle (AW) on 2 September 2026?

Sunriseontheboyne (IRE) won the 16:15 Newcastle (AW) at SP 5.50. Ridden by Andrew Mullen. Trained by Ben Haslam.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:15 Newcastle (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Mr Mistoffelees) finished 8.

What were the placings in the 16:15 Newcastle (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Sunriseontheboyne (IRE) (5.50), 2. Starliner (IRE) (11.00), 3. Criminal Shore (IRE) (5.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:15 Newcastle (AW)?

The winning time was 1m 39.73s.

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