20:00 Southwell (AW)

Bettingsites.co.uk Find Your Bookmaker Handicap Stakes

5f · Flat · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners · £3,768 · Saturday, 3 October 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (10 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Fletcher's Flight

No. 8 · score 45.4 · best 66/1·70.00

Best value vs consensus

No book currently stands out from the market consensus in this race. Prices refresh every few minutes.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

v1.11.30 score

Hi Lord

5.40Betfair Exchange

segment +7.8% · Flat · Standard · Class 6

Each-way45.4/100 rating

General Assembly

8.60Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Guernsey AngelDiffers from our pick

Guernsey Angel is our selection at Southwell, and she is only a pound behind the top-rated General Assembly on our figures, so the progressive profile is enough to tip the balance in her favour. A horse still on the upgrade at this Class 6 level can outrun a rating that was set earlier in her career, and over the minimum trip that improvement could prove decisive. General Assembly is the obvious danger as the narrowly higher-rated runner, while Hi Lord and South Parade sit several pounds back but could still make the frame in a tight ten-runner sprint. This looks a competitive race, so we are only lightly in favour of Guernsey Angel.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Fletcher's Flight

Joe Leavy · Charlie Wallis · 6yo

Top-rated of 10

score 45.4 · +0.1 clear of next best (45.4)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
19d since last run (race-fit window)
Trainer20% weight
50no sample
Charlie Wallis — no runners last 14 days — too few recent runs to judge the yard
Ratings50% weight
38below average
OR 57
Form20% weight
32weak
Last 6: U-4-1-7-4-0

MarketBest price 70.00 (Smarkets) · 10th in the market of 10.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Front-runners(2)
1South Parade 5Toptime
Prominent(2)
7Marra Donna 8Fletcher's Flight
Mid-division(1)
9Midnight Lir
Hold-up / closers(4)
3General Assembly 4Hi Lord 6Opal Storm 10Popular Dream
Unknown(1)
2Guernsey Angel

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Southwell (AW) 5f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)

IV 1.09

Mid (5–7)

IV 0.96

High (8–10)

IV 0.94

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 436 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
8	Fletcher's FlightPick J: Joe Leavy · T: Charlie Wallis · draw 8 · combo 1/5 (20%) 6yo · G · chtpOn last winning markDOnly pairing	U41740	9-02	57	—	—	45.4	50/1·50.52	70·70.00 Smarkets · +39% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Smarkets70·70.00Matchbook70·70.00SmarketsSBK60/1·61.00 Bet36550/1·51.00 Betfair Exchange50·50.00 BetWright40/1·41.00 10 Bet40/1·41.00 BetTom40/1·41.00 Boyle Sports40/1·41.00 Coral40/1·41.00Hollywood Bets40/1·41.00Ladbrokes40/1·41.00 Midnite40/1·41.00 Quinn Bet40/1·41.00 Unibet40/1·41.00 William Hill40/1·41.00 BetMGM40/1·41.00 7Bet40/1·41.00 Dragon Bet40/1·41.00 Star Sports40/1·41.00 Paddy Power40/1·41.00Betfair Sportsbook40/1·41.00SportingIndex40/1·41.00 Spreadex40/1·41.00 Betfred33/1·34.00 Betano33/1·34.00 Bet Victor33/1·34.00 LiveScore Bet33/1·34.00Virgin Bet33/1·34.00
3	General Assembly J: Jack Doughty · T: Clare Hobson · draw 4 5yo · G · chClass dropOnly runner	250458	9-06	61	—	—	45.4	8/1·9.24	8.6·8.60 Matchbook · -7% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook8.6·8.60Betfair Exchange8.4·8.40Smarkets8.4·8.40SmarketsSBK7/1·8.00 Betfred13/2·7.50 Bet36513/2·7.50 Star Sports13/2·7.50 William Hill13/2·7.50 Paddy Power13/2·7.50Betfair Sportsbook13/2·7.50Coral13/2·7.50 Ladbrokes13/2·7.50 Boyle Sports13/2·7.50Hollywood Bets13/2·7.50SportingIndex13/2·7.50 Spreadex13/2·7.50 Quinn Bet13/2·7.50 BetMGM6/1·7.00 BetWright6/1·7.00 LiveScore Bet6/1·7.00 Midnite6/1·7.00 7Bet6/1·7.00 Dragon Bet6/1·7.00 Unibet6/1·7.00Virgin Bet6/1·7.00BetTom6/1·7.00 Bet Victor11/2·6.50 Betano11/2·6.50 10 Bet5/1·6.00
4	Hi Lordv1.1 J: Billy Garritty · T: Stephen Hanlon · draw 5 4yo · G · bvClass dropOnly runner	373050	9-05	60	—	—	44.0	5/1·6.16	5.8·5.80 Matchbook · -6% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook5.8·5.80Betfair Exchange5.7·5.70Smarkets5.7·5.70Bet3659/2·5.50Hollywood Bets9/2·5.50Paddy Power9/2·5.50Betfair Sportsbook9/2·5.50William Hill9/2·5.50 10 Bet4/1·5.00 BetTom4/1·5.00 Boyle Sports4/1·5.00 Unibet4/1·5.00 Coral4/1·5.00 Ladbrokes4/1·5.00Virgin Bet4/1·5.00SmarketsSBK4/1·5.00 Midnite4/1·5.00 BetMGM4/1·5.00 Star Sports4/1·5.00 LiveScore Bet4/1·5.00 Quinn Bet4/1·5.00 7Bet7/2·4.50 Betfred7/2·4.50 SportingIndex7/2·4.50 Spreadex7/2·4.50 Bet Victor7/2·4.50 BetWright7/2·4.50 Betano7/2·4.50 Dragon Bet7/2·4.50
1	South Parade J: Ethan Tindall(5) · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 10 · combo 4/64 (6%) 5yo · M · bDOnly ride	496315	9-09	64	—	—	43.7	15/2·8.63	8.6·8.60 Smarkets Compare 29 books ▾ Smarkets8.6·8.60Matchbook8.4·8.40Betfair Exchange8·8.00 SmarketsSBK7/1·8.00Betfair Sportsbook6/1·7.00Star Sports6/1·7.00 Spreadex6/1·7.00 Ladbrokes6/1·7.00 Midnite6/1·7.00 Quinn Bet6/1·7.00 Paddy Power6/1·7.00 William Hill6/1·7.00 10 Bet6/1·7.00 Boyle Sports6/1·7.00 Bet3656/1·7.00 Betfred6/1·7.00 SportingIndex6/1·7.00 Coral6/1·7.00Hollywood Bets6/1·7.00Unibet6/1·7.00 Dragon Bet11/2·6.50 LiveScore Bet11/2·6.50Virgin Bet11/2·6.50BetWright11/2·6.50 BetTom11/2·6.50 7Bet11/2·6.50 BetMGM11/2·6.50 Bet Victor5/1·6.00 Betano5/1·6.00
5	Toptime J: Darragh Keenan · T: Roy Bowring · draw 1 8yo · G · bDOnly runner	31327	9-05	60	—	—	41.0	9/2·5.55	5.4·5.40 Matchbook · -3% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook5.4·5.40Smarkets5.3·5.30Betfair Exchange5.2·5.20 Boyle Sports4/1·5.00Hollywood Bets4/1·5.00Paddy Power4/1·5.00 William Hill4/1·5.00 Bet3654/1·5.00 SportingIndex4/1·5.00 Spreadex4/1·5.00 SmarketsSBK4/1·5.00Betfair Sportsbook4/1·5.007Bet7/2·4.50 10 Bet7/2·4.50 BetTom7/2·4.50 LiveScore Bet7/2·4.50 Quinn Bet7/2·4.50 Star Sports7/2·4.50 Ladbrokes7/2·4.50 BetMGM7/2·4.50 BetWright7/2·4.50 Midnite7/2·4.50Virgin Bet7/2·4.50Unibet7/2·4.50 Dragon Bet7/2·4.50 Coral7/2·4.50 Betano10/3·4.33 Bet Victor10/3·4.33 Betfred3/1·4.00
6	Opal Storm J: Faye McManoman · T: Brian Rothwell · draw 7 · combo 1/22 (5%) 6yo · M · btpClass dropDOnly rideOnly runner	894615	9-04	59	—	—	35.4	16/1·16.02	16·16.00 Matchbook Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook16·16.00Smarkets15·15.00SmarketsSBK14/1·15.00 Betfair Exchange14.5·14.50 Paddy Power12/1·13.00 William Hill12/1·13.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00 Unibet12/1·13.00Betfair Sportsbook12/1·13.00BetTom12/1·13.00 10 Bet12/1·13.00 Bet36512/1·13.00 Betfred12/1·13.00 Boyle Sports12/1·13.00 Coral12/1·13.00Hollywood Bets12/1·13.00Ladbrokes12/1·13.00 Quinn Bet12/1·13.00 Star Sports12/1·13.00 Dragon Bet11/1·12.00 LiveScore Bet11/1·12.00Virgin Bet11/1·12.00BetMGM11/1·12.00 7Bet11/1·12.00 Midnite11/1·12.00 BetWright11/1·12.00 Bet Victor10/1·11.00 Betano10/1·11.00
2	Guernsey Angel J: David Nolan · T: David Evans · draw 3 3yo · F · bClass drop	625075	9-07	62	—	—	34.6	8/1·9.24	8.8·8.80 Matchbook · -5% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook8.8·8.80Betfair Exchange8.6·8.60Smarkets8.6·8.60Bet36515/2·8.50 SportingIndex7/1·8.00 Boyle Sports7/1·8.00 Spreadex7/1·8.00 Paddy Power7/1·8.00 Quinn Bet7/1·8.00 William Hill7/1·8.00Hollywood Bets7/1·8.00SmarketsSBK7/1·8.00 Coral7/1·8.00 Ladbrokes7/1·8.00 Midnite13/2·7.50 BetTom13/2·7.50 Betfred13/2·7.50 LiveScore Bet13/2·7.50Betfair Sportsbook13/2·7.50BetMGM13/2·7.50 7Bet13/2·7.50Virgin Bet13/2·7.50Star Sports13/2·7.50 10 Bet13/2·7.50 BetWright13/2·7.50 Dragon Bet13/2·7.50 Unibet6/1·7.00 Bet Victor6/1·7.00 Betano6/1·7.00
9	Midnight Lir J: Sean Kirrane · T: Michael Dods · draw 9 · combo 5/52 (10%) 5yo · G · btp	444894	9-00	55	—	—	34.1	14/1·14.79	13.5·13.50 Matchbook · -9% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook13.5·13.50Smarkets13·13.00Betfair Exchange12.5·12.50 10 Bet11/1·12.00 Boyle Sports11/1·12.00 Ladbrokes11/1·12.00 BetTom11/1·12.00 Spreadex11/1·12.00 Paddy Power11/1·12.00 Star Sports11/1·12.00 Unibet11/1·12.00 William Hill11/1·12.00 SportingIndex11/1·12.00 Coral11/1·12.00Hollywood Bets11/1·12.00Bet36511/1·12.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.00Betfred11/1·12.00 Quinn Bet11/1·12.00 SmarketsSBK11/1·12.00 BetWright10/1·11.00 Dragon Bet10/1·11.00 BetMGM10/1·11.00 LiveScore Bet10/1·11.00Virgin Bet10/1·11.00Midnite10/1·11.00 7Bet10/1·11.00 Bet Victor9/1·10.00 Betano9/1·10.00
7	Marra Donna J: Sean Dylan Bowen · T: Martin Dunne · draw 2 3yo · G · bOnly pairing	324593	9-03	58	—	—	34.0	9/1·9.86	9.6·9.60 Matchbook · -3% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook9.6·9.60Smarkets9.6·9.60Betfair Exchange9.2·9.20 SmarketsSBK8/1·9.00Hollywood Bets7/1·8.00Quinn Bet7/1·8.00 Boyle Sports7/1·8.00 Ladbrokes7/1·8.00 Coral7/1·8.00 SportingIndex7/1·8.00 Spreadex7/1·8.00 Star Sports7/1·8.00 William Hill7/1·8.00 Paddy Power7/1·8.00 Unibet7/1·8.00 Midnite7/1·8.00 BetTom7/1·8.00 10 Bet7/1·8.00 BetMGM13/2·7.50 LiveScore Bet13/2·7.50 Betfred13/2·7.50 BetWright13/2·7.50 Bet36513/2·7.50Betfair Sportsbook13/2·7.50Dragon Bet13/2·7.50Virgin Bet13/2·7.507Bet13/2·7.50 Betano6/1·7.00 Bet Victor6/1·7.00
10	Popular Dream J: Alex Jary(3) · T: Derek Shaw · draw 6 6yo · G · bOnly runner	666894	9-00	55	—	—	29.7	12/1·13.56	13·13.00 Matchbook · -4% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook13·13.00Smarkets12.5·12.50Betfred11/1·12.00 SmarketsSBK11/1·12.00 SportingIndex11/1·12.00 Spreadex11/1·12.00 Paddy Power11/1·12.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.00Betfair Exchange11.5·11.50 Ladbrokes10/1·11.00 Coral10/1·11.00 Midnite10/1·11.00 10 Bet10/1·11.00 7Bet10/1·11.00 BetTom10/1·11.00 William Hill10/1·11.00 Boyle Sports10/1·11.00Hollywood Bets10/1·11.00Unibet10/1·11.00 Bet36510/1·11.00 Dragon Bet10/1·11.00 BetWright10/1·11.00 Star Sports10/1·11.00 Quinn Bet10/1·11.00 LiveScore Bet10/1·11.00Virgin Bet10/1·11.00Bet Victor9/1·10.00 Betano9/1·10.00 BetMGM9/1·10.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 29 bookmakers per horse with the 23% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Bettingsites.co.uk Find Your Bookmaker Handicap Stakes?

The Bettingsites.co.uk Find Your Bookmaker Handicap Stakes is off at 20:00 on 3 October 2026 at Southwell (AW) (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 20:00 Southwell (AW)?

5f, Class 6, Flat, 10 runners declared.

What is the going for the 20:00 Southwell (AW)?

Going is reported as Standard on AW.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 20:00 Southwell (AW)?

The AI top-rated runner is Fletcher's Flight (score 45.4, best price 70.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 20:00 Southwell (AW)?

The market favourite is Toptime at a best price of 5.40. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Fletcher's Flight.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org