Who won the 15:51 Wolverhampton (AW) on 2 October 2026?
Phoenix Moon (IRE) won the 15:51 Wolverhampton (AW) at SP 23.00. Ridden by Rob Hornby. Trained by Denis Coakley.
15:51 Wolverhampton (AW)
Franklin Hodge Handicap Stakes (Div II)
6f · Flat · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runners · £3,978 · Friday, 2 October 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 10thRace report
- 1stPhoenix Moon (IRE)Rob Hornby·Denis Coakley22/1·23.00SP
- 2ndArishka's Dream (GB)Alec Voikhansky·Daniel & Claire Kubler·beaten 0.3 lengths7/1·8.00SP
- 3rdShaw Park (IRE)Kieran O'Neill·Scott Dixon·beaten 1.25 lengths11/2·6.50SP
Race time
1m 14.27s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Phoenix Moon (IRE))
“wide towards the back of the pack - improved from over 2f out and pushed along 1f out - hit the front inside the final furlong - kept battling to the line to win narrowly”
AI top-rated Queen Sana (score 47.8) finished 10th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 10.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →v1.12.81 score
Arishka's Dream
9.20Matchbook
segment +9.3% · Flat · Standard · Class 5
Each-way47.8/100 rating
Queen Sana
8.40Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Campenaerts
Campenaerts heads our ratings on 80, and that makes him the one to side with in this ten-runner Class 5 sprint at Wolverhampton. The edge is slim, only two pounds over Queen Sana and Arishka's Dream, who share 78 and are the chief dangers, with Shaw Park a little further back on 74. Beyond that quartet the pack drops away, with Lamlash Bay on 71 the next best, so the contest looks likely to be settled among the leading few. With so little between the top three, this is a selection to be taken on lightly, but Campenaerts has the best figure and gets the vote.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Queen Sana
Billy Loughnane · Ollie Sangster · 3yo
Top-rated of 10
score 47.8 · +4.2 clear of next best (43.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong24d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight57averageLast 6: 2-6-2-4-7-1
- Ratings50% weight47below averageOR 70 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight15weakOllie Sangster: 1/18 winners last 14d (6%)
MarketBest price 8.40 (Betfair Exchange) · 4th in the market of 10.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Wolverhampton (AW) 6f
full course data →Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.24).
Low (1–4)
IV 1.24
Mid (5–7)
IV 0.91
High (8–10)
IV 0.83
Today: Lamlash Bay (draw 4) and Campenaerts (draw 2) get the bias; Early Release (draw 9) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 624 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | J: Rob Hornby · T: Denis Coakley · draw 8 5yo · M · gr | 423886 | 59 | 33.8 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 2 | 1 | Arishka's Dreamv1.1 J: Alec Voikhansky · T: Daniel & Claire Kubler · draw 5 3yo · G · b | 122887 | 70 | 38.2 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 3 | 6 | J: Kieran O'Neill · T: Scott Dixon · draw 6 7yo · G · bpFT P | 308435 | 65 | 35.8 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 4 | 5 | J: Olivia Tubb(5) · T: Jonathan Portman · draw 2 3yo · G · b | 69782 | 68 | 40.9 | 11/4F·3.75 SP |
| 5 | 10 | J: William Cox · T: Ian Williams · draw 1 4yo · G · bp | 89008 | 52 | 30.3 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 6 | 7 | J: Shay Farmer(5) · T: Michael & David Easterby · draw 4 3yo · G · b | 451591 | 65 | 42.7 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 7 | 8 | J: Jack Doughty · T: David Loughnane · draw 3 3yo · G · b | 402354 | 63 | 36.9 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 8 | 4 | J: Amy Tucker(7) · T: David Evans · draw 9 4yo · G · b | 167156 | 69 | 43.6 | 66/1·67.00 SP |
| 9 | 2 | J: M. P. Sheehy · T: Philip Kirby · draw 10 3yo · G · b | 7249 | 70 | 36.4 | 66/1·67.00 SP |
| 10 | 3 | J: Billy Loughnane · T: Ollie Sangster · draw 7 3yo · F · bp | 262471 | 70 | 47.8 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:51 Wolverhampton (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (Queen Sana) finished 10.
What were the placings in the 15:51 Wolverhampton (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Phoenix Moon (IRE) (23.00), 2. Arishka's Dream (GB) (8.00), 3. Shaw Park (IRE) (6.50).
What was the winning time for the 15:51 Wolverhampton (AW)?
The winning time was 1m 14.27s.
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