Who won the 14:05 Cartmel on 29 August 2026?
Alvesta (GB) won the 14:05 Cartmel at SP 3.50. Ridden by Leah Noreci. Trained by James Moffatt.
14:05 Cartmel
Mountain Goat Tours Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Race
2m1f · Hurdle · Class 5 · Good · 11 runners · £4,198 · Saturday, 29 August 2026
Result
AI top pick wonat SP 5/2·3.50Race report
- 1stAlvesta (GB)AI top pick · 61.0Leah Noreci·James Moffatt5/2·3.50SP
- 2ndZamond (FR)Mr Harry Brown·Donald McCain·beaten 2.25 lengths11/2·6.50SP
- 3rdLord Of The Glance (GB)Toby McCain-Mitchell·Alex Hales·beaten .75 lengths16/1·17.00SP
Race time
3m 59.87s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Alvesta (GB))
“tracked the front-running rival - narrowed the gap approaching 2 out - driven to the front after the last - saw off the challenge for the win”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way55.3/100 rating
Zamond
9.00Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Mr Lincoln
Mr Lincoln holds a clear edge on our ratings over this twelve-runner field at Cartmel, sitting seven pounds ahead of nearest rival Masekela and eight clear of Zamond, and on good-to-soft ground over seventeen furlongs he looks well suited to conditions that will test every runner's stamina. Masekela and Zamond will push him hardest, with Jeepydoff Meel also meriting respect as the next best-rated contender, but the gap between them and Mr Lincoln is sizeable enough to suggest he holds a genuine advantage on paper. Our selection is Mr Lincoln.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Alvesta
Leah Noreci(10) · James Moffatt · 5yo
Top-rated of 12
score 61.0 · +1.2 clear of next best (59.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong42d since last run (fresh)
- Form20% weight73strongLast 6: 6-7-1-3-1
- Ratings50% weight56averageOR 84 — above field median
- Trainer20% weight50no sampleJames Moffatt — no runners last 14 days — too few recent runs to judge the yard
MarketBest price 3.75 (Smarkets) · market favourite.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | J: Leah Noreci(10) · T: James Moffatt · draw 0 5yo · M · b | 67131 | 84 | 61.0 | 5/2·3.50 SP |
| 2 | 1 | J: Mr Harry Brown(10) · T: Donald McCain · draw 0 10yo · G · b | 82821 | 100 | 55.3 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 3 | 4 | J: Toby McCain-Mitchell · T: Alex Hales · draw 0 7yo · G · b | 221U2 | 88 | 56.7 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 4 | 7 | J: Dominic Hislop(5) · T: Lisa Harrison · draw 0 11yo · G · b | 32U284 | 78 | 42.6 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 5 | 8 | J: Jack Stenhouse(5) · T: Jeff Mullins · draw 0 7yo · M · b | 8283 | 78 | 43.2 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 6 | 5 | J: Joe Anderson · T: Nick Scholfield · draw 0 7yo · G · bp | P45121 | 78 | 55.0 | 2/1F·3.00 SP |
| 7 | 2 | J: Charlie Maggs · T: Iain Jardine · draw 0 6yo · G · g | 72342 | 95 | 59.0 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 8 | 11 | J: Harry Atkins · T: Lizzie Quinlan · draw 0 7yo · G · chv | 344634 | 72 | 41.4 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 9 | 3 | J: Jack Power · T: James Moffatt · draw 0 7yo · G · bFirst after wind op | 633 | 92 | 59.8 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| RR | 10 | J: Alice Stevens · T: Lisa Harrison · draw 0 8yo · G · b | 08849 | 72 | 32.0 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| PU | 12 | J: Megan Bevan(10) · T: Harriet Dickin · draw 0 7yo · G · btFirst after wind op | P0975 | 66 | 33.5 | 66/1·67.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Joshua Thompson(3) · T: Micky Hammond · draw 0 9yo · G · bv | P6895 | 77 | 57.4 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:05 Cartmel?
Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Alvesta, won the race (AI score 61.0).
What were the placings in the 14:05 Cartmel?
Top finishers: 1. Alvesta (GB) (3.50), 2. Zamond (FR) (6.50), 3. Lord Of The Glance (GB) (17.00).
What was the winning time for the 14:05 Cartmel?
The winning time was 3m 59.87s.
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