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RacingAlpha

19:00 Southwell (AW)

Lionel Henry James Memorial Handicap

1m4f · Flat · Class 6 · Standard · 6 runners · £3,245 · Thursday, 18 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd
  1. 1st
    Mountbatten (GER)
    Stevie Donohoe·Sir Mark Prescott Bt
    11/8F·2.38
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Echo Valley (GB)
    Tyler Heard·Tom Symonds·beaten 4.75 lengths
    40/1·41.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Spirit Dreamer (IRE)AI top pick · 49.6
    Jason Watson·Andrew Balding·beaten 0.2 lengths
    6/4·2.50
    SP
Race time
2m 38.83s+6.43s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Spirit Dreamer

Jason Watson · Andrew Balding · 3yo

Top-rated of 6
score 49.6 · +6.0 clear of next best (43.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    21d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    53average
    Andrew Balding: 12/57 winners last 14d (21%)
  • Form20% weight
    47below average
    Last 6: 6-7-2
  • Ratings50% weight
    39below average
    OR 59
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Southwell (AW) 1m4f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–2)
IV 1.05
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.08
High (5–6)
IV 0.88

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 208 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
11
Mountbatten
J: Stevie Donohoe · T: Sir Mark Prescott Bt · draw 2
3yo · C · b
877
6029.3
11/8F·2.38
SP
25
Echo Valley
J: Tyler Heard · T: Tom Symonds · draw 4
3yo · F · b
77074
5131.4
40/1·41.00
SP
32
Spirit Dreamer
J: Jason Watson · T: Andrew Balding · draw 5
3yo · G · chpFT P
672
5949.6
6/4·2.50
SP
43
Manbearpig
J: Clifford Lee · T: Rebecca Menzies · draw 3
3yo · G · b
5555
5939.2
8/1·9.00
SP
56
Project Kinsman
J: Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) · T: Philip Kirby · draw 1
3yo · F · bp
88238
4733.0
33/1·34.00
SP
64
Dalamara
J: Andrew Mullen · T: Ben Haslam · draw 6
3yo · F · ch
71424
5843.7
13/2·7.50
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 19:00 Southwell (AW) on 18 June 2026?

Mountbatten (GER) won the 19:00 Southwell (AW) at SP 2.38. Ridden by Stevie Donohoe. Trained by Sir Mark Prescott Bt.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:00 Southwell (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Spirit Dreamer) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 19:00 Southwell (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Mountbatten (GER) (2.38), 2. Echo Valley (GB) (41.00), 3. Spirit Dreamer (IRE) (2.50).

What was the winning time for the 19:00 Southwell (AW)?

The winning time was 2m 38.83s, 6.43s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org