Who won the 19:00 Southwell (AW) on 27 August 2026?
Mr Noble (IRE) won the 19:00 Southwell (AW) at SP 2.75. Ridden by Clifford Lee. Trained by K. R. Burke.
19:00 Southwell (AW)
Free Digital Racecard At Raceday-ready.com Handicap Stakes
7f · Flat · Class 4 · Standard · 11 runners · £5,154 · Thursday, 27 August 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 9thRace report
- 1stMr Noble (IRE)Clifford Lee·K. R. Burke7/4F·2.75SP
- 2ndHaaderr (GB)Billy Loughnane·Edward Bethell·beaten 1.75 lengths7/2·4.50SP
- 3rdDublin Bay (IRE)Sean D Bowen·Ollie Sangster·beaten 0.2 lengths22/1·23.00SP
Race time
1m 25.52s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Mr Noble (IRE))
“Handy early - pushed to the front inside final furlong - finished strongly to win”
AI top-rated Master Richard (score 66.8) finished 9th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 12.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →v1.12.58 score
Mr Noble
3.25Hollywood Bets
segment +6.3% · Flat · Standard · Class 4
Each-way63.0/100 rating
Haaderr
5.50Hollywood Bets
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Mr Noble
Mr Noble arrives here matched on rating with the top-rated Fouette yet is preferred on the strength of a progressive profile and a fitness edge that tips the balance in a close call at the head of this eleven-runner Class 4 contest over seven furlongs on the Southwell Polytrack. Fouette represents the most obvious threat given the shared rating, while Carron, a pound off the pace, and Master Richard, three pounds adrift, will need things to fall right to bridge the gap. With improvement still in the locker and his condition an asset, Mr Noble is the selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Master Richard
Shane Gray · Ann Duffield · 7yo
Top-rated of 11
score 66.8 · +3.7 clear of next best (63.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight100small sample (n=2)Ann Duffield: 1/2 winners last 14d (50%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Freshness10% weight65strong68d since last run (rusty)
- Form20% weight60averageLast 6: 0-3-2-3-3
- Ratings50% weight57averageOR 85
MarketBest price 15.00 (Star Sports) · 4th in the market of 11.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Southwell (AW) 7f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–4)
IV 0.96
Mid (5–8)
IV 1.04
High (9–11)
IV 1.01
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 587 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | Mr Noblev1.1 J: Clifford Lee · T: K. R. Burke · draw 4 3yo · C · br | 1232 | 84 | 60.0 | 7/4F·2.75 SP |
| 2 | 7 | J: Billy Loughnane · T: Edward Bethell · draw 1 3yo · G · brt | 22143 | 84 | 63.0 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 3 | 6 | J: Sean D Bowen · T: Ollie Sangster · draw 6 3yo · G · bp | 34151 | 85 | 55.1 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 4 | 5 | J: Hector Crouch · T: Zoe Hawkins · draw 5 6yo · G · grt | 186727 | 82 | 44.2 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 5 | 11 | J: Warren Fentiman(3) · T: Gemma Tutty · draw 8 5yo · G · btp | 31258 | 77 | 44.5 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 6 | 1 | J: Oisin Orr · T: James Horton · draw 3 4yo · F · b | 50667 | 87 | 48.8 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 7 | 4 | J: Jonny Peate · T: James Fanshawe · draw 11 4yo · G · b | 62130 | 83 | 55.7 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 8 | 10 | J: David Probert · T: Michael Herrington · draw 10 6yo · G · b | 057005 | 78 | 49.2 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 9 | 3 | J: Shane Gray · T: Ann Duffield · draw 2 7yo · G · b | 03233 | 85 | 66.8 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 10 | 8 | J: Tom Eaves · T: Michael Dods · draw 9 6yo · G · ch | 547119 | 79 | 53.3 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 11 | 2 | J: James Sullivan · T: Ruth Carr · draw 7 4yo · G · b | 361082 | 86 | 47.9 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:00 Southwell (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (Master Richard) finished 9.
What were the placings in the 19:00 Southwell (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Mr Noble (IRE) (2.75), 2. Haaderr (GB) (4.50), 3. Dublin Bay (IRE) (23.00).
What was the winning time for the 19:00 Southwell (AW)?
The winning time was 1m 25.52s.
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