Who won the 18:00 Newcastle (AW) on 12 October 2026?
Siouxperb (GB) won the 18:00 Newcastle (AW) at SP 3.75. Ridden by Connor Beasley. Trained by Archie Watson.
18:00 Newcastle (AW)
Follow @AtTheRaces On Instagram Nursery Handicap Stakes
6f · Flat · Class 4 · Standard · 6 runners · £5,234 · Monday, 12 October 2026
Result
AI top pick wonat SP 11/4F·3.75Race report
- 1stSiouxperb (GB)AI top pick · 53.6Connor Beasley·Archie Watson11/4F·3.75SP
- 2ndMinzelle (IRE)Jason Hart·K. R. Burke·beaten .5 lengths11/2·6.50SP
- 3rdBlazing Inferno (IRE)Daniel Tudhope·Edward Bethell·beaten 1.5 lengths6/1·7.00SP
Race time
1m 11.97s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Siouxperb (GB))
“Up with the pace early - pushed along over 2f out - went after the front runner inside the final furlong - took command 110yds out - held on firmly near the line to win”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.75 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way52.2/100 rating
Starburster
4.70Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Siouxperb
Siouxperb makes appeal at Newcastle, sharing a rating of 87 with Minzelle and just two pounds behind the top-rated Innichen, and we prefer him on a progressive profile that the clock backs up. Innichen is the chief danger as the narrowly higher-rated runner, while Minzelle is level with our pick on ratings and Starburster, a few pounds further back, cannot be ignored in a compact six-runner field. Gladys Pugh and Blazing Inferno look to have too much to find on these figures. It is a tight contest, but Siouxperb is the selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Siouxperb
Connor Beasley · Archie Watson · 2yo
Top-rated of 6
score 53.6 · +1.5 clear of next best (52.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong24d since last run (race-fit window)
- Ratings50% weight57averageOR 86 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight50small sample (n=5)Archie Watson: 1/5 winners last 14d (20%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Form20% weight25weakLast 6: 1-0-2-8-0
MarketBest price 4.10 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Newcastle (AW) 6f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–3)
IV 1.02
Mid (4–5)
IV 0.88
High (6–7)
IV 1.09
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 571 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J: Connor Beasley · T: Archie Watson · draw 4 2yo · G · b | 10280 | 86 | 53.6 | 11/4F·3.75 SP |
| 2 | 5 | J: Jason Hart · T: K. R. Burke · draw 5 2yo · F · b | 31604 | 80 | 46.9 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 3 | 6 | J: Daniel Tudhope · T: Edward Bethell · draw 1 2yo · C · ch | 10 | 76 | 44.0 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 4 | 4 | J: Saffie Osborne · T: Richard Spencer · draw 2 2yo · F · b | 41 | 82 | 52.2 | 3/1·4.00 SP |
| 5 | 7 | J: Kevin Stott · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 7 2yo · F · b | 5260 | 76 | 44.8 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 6 | 3 | J: Edward Greatrex · T: Jack Channon · draw 6 2yo · C · chpFT P | 113036 | 84 | 48.1 | 3/1·4.00 SP |
| — | — | J: David Egan · T: Charlie Fellowes · draw 3 2yo · G · bp | 40178 | 85 | 42.9 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:00 Newcastle (AW)?
Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Siouxperb, won the race (AI score 53.6).
What were the placings in the 18:00 Newcastle (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Siouxperb (GB) (3.75), 2. Minzelle (IRE) (6.50), 3. Blazing Inferno (IRE) (7.00).
What was the winning time for the 18:00 Newcastle (AW)?
The winning time was 1m 11.97s.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org